2026 FEI Game Projections
2026 :: 2025 :: 2024 :: 2023 :: 2022
Game Projections, based on FEI ratings calculated as of the previous week, include the win likelihood (PW), margin of victory (PM), points scored (PF), points allowed (PA), and game total (PT) for the projected winner of each FBS game. Game results indicate the final score of the game, the closing line (CL), and closing over/under game total (CT). Projection results indicate the game projection error (PE) calculated as the absolute value of the delta between the projected margin and actual margin of victory, and whether the game projection correctly identified the game winner (SU), the winner against the closing betting line (ATS), and the winner against the closing over/under game total (O/U).
| Week 4 Game Projections | Game Results | Projection Results | ||||||||||||||
| Projected Win | Projected Loss | PW | PM | PF | PA | PT | Final | CL | CT | PE | SU | ATS | O/U | |||
| Air Force | Nevada | .578 | 2.8 | 29.9 | 27.1 | 57.1 | ||||||||||
| Alabama | South Carolina | .849 | 15.2 | 32.8 | 17.6 | 50.4 | ||||||||||
| Arizona | Washington State | .624 | 4.6 | 26.3 | 21.7 | 48.0 | ||||||||||
| Arkansas | Tulsa | .808 | 12.9 | 33.2 | 20.3 | 53.5 | ||||||||||
| Arkansas State | Kennesaw State | .641 | 5.2 | 28.2 | 23.0 | 51.2 | ||||||||||
| Army | Temple | .680 | 6.8 | 31.5 | 24.7 | 56.2 | ||||||||||
| Auburn | Vanderbilt | .612 | 4.1 | 29.5 | 25.4 | 54.9 | ||||||||||
| Baylor | Colorado | .812 | 13.1 | 32.2 | 19.1 | 51.3 | ||||||||||
| Boise State | Western Michigan | .702 | 7.8 | 28.5 | 20.7 | 49.1 | ||||||||||
| Clemson | California | .595 | 3.4 | 24.1 | 20.7 | 44.8 | ||||||||||
| Florida Atlantic | UL Monroe | .688 | 7.2 | 30.3 | 23.1 | 53.4 | ||||||||||
| Fresno State | Rice | .881 | 17.1 | 30.6 | 13.4 | 44.0 | ||||||||||
| Georgia | Oklahoma | .863 | 16.0 | 31.3 | 15.3 | 46.5 | ||||||||||
| Georgia State | Northern Illinois | .687 | 7.1 | 30.8 | 23.6 | 54.4 | ||||||||||
| Georgia Tech | Stanford | .715 | 8.4 | 30.7 | 22.4 | 53.1 | ||||||||||
| Hawaii | Wyoming | .580 | 2.8 | 24.9 | 22.0 | 46.9 | ||||||||||
| Houston | Georgia Southern | .828 | 13.9 | 36.0 | 22.0 | 58.0 | ||||||||||
| Indiana | Northwestern | .946 | 21.9 | 34.9 | 13.0 | 48.0 | ||||||||||
| Jacksonville State | Middle Tennessee | .612 | 4.1 | 26.6 | 22.5 | 49.0 | ||||||||||
| James Madison | Old Dominion | .724 | 8.7 | 26.3 | 17.5 | 43.8 | ||||||||||
| Kansas State | Cincinnati | .730 | 9.0 | 31.9 | 22.9 | 54.8 | ||||||||||
| Kent State | Ball State | .528 | 1.0 | 27.9 | 26.9 | 54.8 | ||||||||||
| Kentucky | South Alabama | .914 | 19.4 | 36.0 | 16.6 | 52.6 | ||||||||||
| Liberty | Coastal Carolina | .617 | 4.3 | 29.6 | 25.3 | 54.9 | ||||||||||
| Louisiana | Charlotte | .694 | 7.4 | 26.7 | 19.3 | 46.1 | ||||||||||
| Louisville | Wake Forest | .752 | 10.1 | 30.3 | 20.2 | 50.6 | ||||||||||
| Massachusetts | Sacramento State | .530 | 1.0 | 25.9 | 24.9 | 50.8 | ||||||||||
| Miami | Central Michigan | .990 | 37.5 | 44.6 | 7.1 | 51.6 | ||||||||||
| Miami (OH) | Connecticut | .573 | 2.6 | 28.7 | 26.1 | 54.8 | ||||||||||
| Michigan | Iowa | .556 | 2.0 | 21.9 | 19.9 | 41.7 | ||||||||||
| Mississippi State | Missouri | .595 | 3.4 | 28.2 | 24.8 | 53.1 | ||||||||||
| Navy | UAB | .739 | 9.4 | 31.8 | 22.3 | 54.1 | ||||||||||
| NC State | Appalachian State | .838 | 14.5 | 33.8 | 19.3 | 53.2 | ||||||||||
| Nebraska | Michigan State | .584 | 3.0 | 28.7 | 25.7 | 54.4 | ||||||||||
| New Mexico | New Mexico State | .830 | 14.1 | 30.7 | 16.6 | 47.3 | ||||||||||
| Notre Dame | Purdue | .990 | 27.2 | 41.3 | 14.1 | 55.4 | ||||||||||
| Ohio State | Illinois | .913 | 19.3 | 36.9 | 17.6 | 54.5 | ||||||||||
| Ole Miss | Florida | .614 | 4.1 | 32.4 | 28.3 | 60.7 | ||||||||||
| Oregon State | UTEP | .812 | 13.1 | 31.7 | 18.6 | 50.4 | ||||||||||
| Penn State | Wisconsin | .859 | 15.8 | 31.0 | 15.2 | 46.1 | ||||||||||
| SMU | Missouri State | .980 | 25.3 | 41.4 | 16.0 | 57.4 | ||||||||||
| South Florida | Bowling Green | .889 | 17.7 | 33.3 | 15.6 | 48.9 | ||||||||||
| TCU | UCF | .551 | 1.8 | 23.7 | 21.9 | 45.6 | ||||||||||
| Texas | Tennessee | .558 | 2.0 | 26.6 | 24.6 | 51.2 | ||||||||||
| Texas A&M | LSU | .502 | .1 | 24.4 | 24.4 | 48.8 | ||||||||||
| Texas Tech | Sam Houston | .990 | 34.3 | 40.6 | 6.3 | 46.9 | ||||||||||
| Toledo | San Diego State | .612 | 4.1 | 24.9 | 20.9 | 45.8 | ||||||||||
| Tulane | Southern Mississippi | .930 | 20.6 | 33.6 | 13.0 | 46.6 | ||||||||||
| UCLA | Maryland | .541 | 1.4 | 28.8 | 27.3 | 56.1 | ||||||||||
| UNLV | Akron | .862 | 15.9 | 31.9 | 16.0 | 47.9 | ||||||||||
| USC | Oregon | .557 | 2.0 | 32.6 | 30.6 | 63.2 | ||||||||||
| Utah | Iowa State | .781 | 11.5 | 31.4 | 19.9 | 51.3 | ||||||||||
| Utah State | Troy | .652 | 5.7 | 25.8 | 20.2 | 46.0 | ||||||||||
| UTSA | Colorado State | .822 | 13.6 | 33.0 | 19.4 | 52.4 | ||||||||||
| Virginia | Delaware | .906 | 18.8 | 34.5 | 15.7 | 50.2 | ||||||||||
| Virginia Tech | Boston College | .691 | 7.3 | 30.9 | 23.6 | 54.4 | ||||||||||
| Washington | Minnesota | .814 | 13.2 | 30.9 | 17.7 | 48.6 | ||||||||||
| West Virginia | Oklahoma State | .655 | 5.8 | 27.6 | 21.9 | 49.5 | ||||||||||
| Week 3 Game Projections | Game Results | Projection Results | ||||||||||||||
| Projected Win | Projected Loss | PW | PM | PF | PA | PT | Final | CL | CT | PE | SU | ATS | O/U | |||
| Alabama | Florida State | .884 | 17.3 | 35.8 | 18.4 | 54.2 | W 50-36 | -18.5 | 50.5 | 3.3 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Appalachian State | Charlotte | .846 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 18.1 | 51.1 | W 26-21 | -15.5 | 52.5 | 10.0 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Arizona | Northern Illinois | .973 | 24.5 | 37.2 | 12.8 | 50.0 | W 42-17 | -34.5 | 50.5 | .5 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Arizona State | Kansas | .512 | .4 | 28.0 | 27.6 | 55.6 | W 24-17 | -4.5 | 51.5 | 6.6 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Auburn | Florida | .568 | 2.4 | 24.8 | 22.4 | 47.3 | L 39-44 | +2.5 | 53.5 | 7.4 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Baylor | Louisiana Tech | .874 | 16.7 | 33.2 | 16.6 | 49.8 | W 36-19 | -20.5 | 50.5 | .3 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| BYU | Colorado State | .919 | 19.8 | 36.7 | 16.9 | 53.6 | W 41-23 | -17.5 | 54.5 | 1.8 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Cincinnati | Miami (OH) | .909 | 19.0 | 36.5 | 17.5 | 54.0 | W 35-31 | -14.5 | 50.5 | 15.0 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Clemson | North Carolina | .704 | 7.9 | 26.2 | 18.4 | 44.6 | W 28-20 | -2.5 | 44.5 | .1 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Connecticut | Southern Mississippi | .540 | 1.4 | 26.6 | 25.2 | 51.8 | W 48-20 | -3.5 | 54.5 | 26.6 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Delaware | Coastal Carolina | .525 | .9 | 26.1 | 25.3 | 51.4 | W 22-14 | -5.5 | 56.5 | 7.1 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Duke | Stanford | .860 | 15.8 | 34.6 | 18.8 | 53.5 | W 35-7 | -9.5 | 51.5 | 12.2 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Florida International | .598 | 3.5 | 27.8 | 24.3 | 52.1 | W 16-10 | -5.5 | 62.5 | 2.5 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Fresno State | San Jose State | .697 | 7.6 | 26.3 | 18.7 | 45.0 | W 26-10 | -4.5 | 47.5 | 8.4 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia | Arkansas | .963 | 23.5 | 40.8 | 17.2 | 58.0 | W 45-17 | -24.5 | 54.5 | 4.5 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Georgia Southern | Jacksonville State | .505 | .2 | 26.4 | 26.3 | 52.7 | L 27-31 | +3.5 | 51.5 | 4.2 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| Indiana | Western Kentucky | .990 | 40.9 | 47.0 | 6.0 | 53.0 | W 38-0 | -44.5 | 58.5 | 2.9 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa State | Bowling Green | .990 | 28.9 | 37.0 | 8.1 | 45.0 | W 55-7 | -23.5 | 43.5 | 19.1 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| James Madison | San Diego State | .651 | 5.6 | 24.2 | 18.6 | 42.7 | W 26-13 | +2.5 | 46.5 | 7.4 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Kansas State | Tulane | .880 | 17.0 | 32.9 | 15.8 | 48.7 | W 31-20 | -20.5 | 49.5 | 6.0 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Liberty | Ball State | .820 | 13.5 | 32.4 | 18.9 | 51.3 | W 51-15 | -14.5 | 49.5 | 22.5 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Louisiana | UAB | .707 | 8.0 | 31.1 | 23.1 | 54.1 | W 21-14 | -6.5 | 55.5 | 1.0 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Louisville | SMU | .618 | 4.3 | 27.0 | 22.7 | 49.6 | W 41-31 | -2.5 | 59.5 | 5.7 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Marshall | Missouri State | .531 | 1.1 | 27.0 | 26.0 | 53.0 | W 30-24 | -3.5 | 53.5 | 4.9 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Maryland | Virginia Tech | .593 | 3.3 | 26.8 | 23.4 | 50.2 | L 26-35 | +2.5 | 53.5 | 12.3 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Miami | Wake Forest | .828 | 13.9 | 32.8 | 18.9 | 51.7 | W 33-20 | -19.5 | 55.5 | .9 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan | UTEP | .990 | 38.9 | 43.0 | 4.1 | 47.1 | W 52-17 | -34.5 | 49.5 | 3.9 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Minnesota | Akron | .983 | 25.6 | 37.2 | 11.6 | 48.8 | W 41-7 | -23.5 | 47.5 | 8.4 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Missouri | Troy | .970 | 24.2 | 34.0 | 9.8 | 43.9 | W 27-17 | -26.5 | 49.5 | 14.2 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Nevada | Middle Tennessee | .590 | 3.3 | 26.3 | 23.0 | 49.3 | L 20-27 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 10.3 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| North Dakota State | Sacramento State | .731 | 9.1 | 30.7 | 21.7 | 52.4 | W 31-10 | -27.5 | 50.5 | 11.9 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| North Texas | Texas State | .721 | 8.6 | 35.0 | 26.4 | 61.4 | L 35-49 | +3.5 | 62.5 | 22.6 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Northwestern | Colorado | .671 | 6.4 | 26.0 | 19.6 | 45.6 | W 41-7 | -3.5 | 47.5 | 27.6 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | Michigan State | .990 | 27.2 | 39.3 | 12.1 | 51.5 | W 27-10 | -28.5 | 51.5 | 10.2 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Kent State | .990 | 55.1 | 55.3 | .2 | 55.5 | W 59-3 | -52.5 | 58.5 | .9 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma | New Mexico | .954 | 22.7 | 34.2 | 11.5 | 45.7 | W 14-6 | -21.5 | 45.5 | 14.7 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Old Dominion | East Carolina | .501 | .0 | 23.1 | 23.0 | 46.1 | L 17-20 | -2.5 | 48.5 | 3.0 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| Ole Miss | LSU | .641 | 5.2 | 29.4 | 24.2 | 53.5 | W 32-24 | +2.5 | 58.5 | 2.8 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Penn State | Buffalo | .990 | 38.8 | 42.6 | 3.9 | 46.5 | W 55-13 | -39.5 | 48.5 | 3.2 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Pittsburgh | Syracuse | .893 | 17.9 | 31.7 | 13.7 | 45.4 | W 27-13 | -11.5 | 50.5 | 3.9 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| South Alabama | Ohio | .512 | .4 | 28.9 | 28.5 | 57.4 | W 41-36 | -6.5 | 49.5 | 4.6 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| South Carolina | Mississippi State | .613 | 4.1 | 27.7 | 23.5 | 51.2 | L 34-41 | -3.5 | 59.5 | 11.1 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| TCU | Arkansas State | .954 | 22.7 | 36.2 | 13.5 | 49.7 | W 31-7 | -18.5 | 56.5 | 1.3 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Tennessee | Kennesaw State | .990 | 35.4 | 45.1 | 9.7 | 54.7 | W 42-9 | -35.5 | 60.5 | 2.4 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Texas | UTSA | .985 | 25.8 | 38.7 | 12.9 | 51.5 | W 30-6 | -29.5 | 58.5 | 1.8 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Texas A&M | Kentucky | .876 | 16.8 | 30.5 | 13.7 | 44.2 | L 21-31 | -16.5 | 48.5 | 26.8 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Texas Tech | Houston | .835 | 14.3 | 30.8 | 16.5 | 47.3 | W 28-26 | -7.5 | 52.5 | 12.3 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Toledo | Temple | .841 | 14.7 | 32.3 | 17.6 | 49.9 | W 49-48 | -4.5 | 48.5 | 13.7 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| UCF | Georgia State | .880 | 17.0 | 32.6 | 15.6 | 48.2 | W 44-30 | -17.5 | 50.5 | 3.0 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| UCLA | Purdue | .741 | 9.5 | 32.7 | 23.2 | 55.8 | W 52-38 | -13.5 | 53.5 | 4.5 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| USC | Rutgers | .990 | 27.0 | 44.9 | 17.8 | 62.7 | W 42-35 | -21.5 | 59.5 | 20.0 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Utah | Utah State | .990 | 28.2 | 40.2 | 12.0 | 52.2 | W 33-0 | -26.5 | 55.5 | 4.8 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Vanderbilt | NC State | .709 | 8.1 | 32.3 | 24.2 | 56.5 | W 35-31 | -2.5 | 50.5 | 4.1 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Virginia | West Virginia | .763 | 10.6 | 29.4 | 18.8 | 48.2 | L 27-38 | -11.5 | 51.5 | 21.6 | Loss | Win | Loss | |||
| Western Michigan | Rice | .837 | 14.4 | 28.7 | 14.3 | 43.0 | W 28-21 | -8.5 | 43.5 | 7.4 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Wisconsin | Eastern Michigan | .981 | 25.4 | 35.0 | 9.6 | 44.6 | W 54-10 | -23.5 | 43.5 | 18.6 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Wyoming | Central Michigan | .545 | 1.6 | 23.2 | 21.6 | 44.8 | L 10-24 | -1.5 | 39.5 | 15.6 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Week 2 Game Projections | Game Results | Projection Results | ||||||||||||||
| Projected Win | Projected Loss | PW | PM | PF | PA | PT | Final | CL | CT | PE | SU | ATS | O/U | |||
| Air Force | North Dakota State | .821 | 13.6 | 36.0 | 22.4 | 58.4 | L 32-38 | +1.5 | 48.5 | 19.6 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| Alabama | Kentucky | .850 | 15.2 | 31.3 | 16.1 | 47.4 | W 45-17 | -8.5 | 46.5 | 12.8 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Army | South Florida | .535 | 1.2 | 25.6 | 24.4 | 50.0 | L 24-28 | -3.5 | 45.5 | 5.2 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| Auburn | Southern Mississippi | .990 | 26.3 | 35.0 | 8.7 | 43.7 | W 43-8 | -31.5 | 57.5 | 8.7 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Boise State | Memphis | .692 | 7.3 | 30.5 | 23.2 | 53.7 | W 38-20 | -9.5 | 54.5 | 10.7 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Boston College | Rutgers | .609 | 4.0 | 29.9 | 26.0 | 55.9 | W 28-21 | -2.5 | 53.5 | 3.0 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| BYU | Arizona | .689 | 7.2 | 29.5 | 22.3 | 51.8 | W 28-17 | -6.5 | 48.5 | 3.8 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Clemson | Georgia Southern | .916 | 19.5 | 36.6 | 17.1 | 53.8 | W 22-7 | -19.5 | 54.5 | 4.5 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| East Carolina | Appalachian State | .802 | 12.6 | 32.3 | 19.7 | 52.0 | L 24-27 | -6.5 | 55.5 | 15.6 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| Florida International | Buffalo | .536 | 1.3 | 21.1 | 19.8 | 40.9 | W 33-20 | -7.5 | 47.5 | 11.7 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Fresno State | Sacramento State | .896 | 18.1 | 31.4 | 13.3 | 44.7 | W 49-3 | -17.5 | 43.5 | 27.9 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia | Western Kentucky | .990 | 41.2 | 47.2 | 6.0 | 53.2 | W 70-20 | -40.5 | 56.5 | 8.8 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Hawaii | New Mexico State | .746 | 9.8 | 29.7 | 20.0 | 49.7 | W 29-19 | -7.5 | 50.5 | .2 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Illinois | Duke | .713 | 8.3 | 31.9 | 23.6 | 55.5 | L 27-31 | -6.5 | 51.5 | 12.3 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| Iowa | Iowa State | .752 | 10.0 | 26.2 | 16.1 | 42.3 | W 16-13 | -14.5 | 42.5 | 7.0 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Kansas State | Washington State | .757 | 10.3 | 28.6 | 18.3 | 46.9 | W 34-7 | -17.5 | 48.5 | 16.7 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Kennesaw State | Georgia State | .665 | 6.2 | 29.9 | 23.7 | 53.6 | L 17-31 | -7.5 | 55.5 | 20.2 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| LSU | Louisiana Tech | .990 | 28.8 | 37.9 | 9.1 | 47.0 | W 45-14 | -34.5 | 54.5 | 2.2 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Marshall | Middle Tennessee | .780 | 11.4 | 30.7 | 19.3 | 50.1 | W 28-26 | -11.5 | 56.5 | 9.4 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Maryland | Connecticut | .723 | 8.7 | 29.5 | 20.9 | 50.4 | W 38-14 | -11.5 | 52.5 | 15.3 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Michigan State | Eastern Michigan | .917 | 19.6 | 35.4 | 15.8 | 51.1 | W 35-7 | -16.5 | 50.5 | 8.4 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Minnesota | Mississippi State | .509 | .3 | 26.4 | 26.1 | 52.4 | L 13-38 | +1.5 | 53.5 | 25.3 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| Missouri | Kansas | .592 | 3.3 | 29.3 | 26.0 | 55.2 | W 38-21 | -3.5 | 51.5 | 13.7 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Navy | Florida Atlantic | .832 | 14.2 | 35.5 | 21.3 | 56.9 | L 30-38 | -4.5 | 59.5 | 22.2 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Nebraska | Bowling Green | .963 | 23.5 | 35.3 | 11.7 | 47.0 | W 56-7 | -30.5 | 48.5 | 25.5 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| North Texas | UNLV | .604 | 3.8 | 31.3 | 27.5 | 58.8 | W 44-6 | +2.5 | 57.5 | 34.2 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | Rice | .990 | 46.1 | 47.1 | 1.0 | 48.2 | W 52-0 | -44.5 | 54.5 | 5.9 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio | Jacksonville State | .752 | 10.0 | 30.6 | 20.5 | 51.1 | W 29-27 | -1.5 | 48.5 | 8.0 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Texas | .684 | 7.0 | 28.3 | 21.3 | 49.6 | L 23-24 | +2.5 | 50.5 | 8.0 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | Michigan | .533 | 1.1 | 24.0 | 22.8 | 46.8 | L 10-17 | -5.5 | 43.5 | 8.1 | Loss | Win | Loss | |||
| Ole Miss | Charlotte | .990 | 42.2 | 48.6 | 6.3 | 54.9 | W 41-9 | -44.5 | 59.5 | 10.2 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Oregon | Oklahoma State | .990 | 31.3 | 41.9 | 10.6 | 52.5 | L 31-39 | -23.5 | 55.5 | 39.3 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Penn State | Temple | .990 | 31.4 | 42.9 | 11.5 | 54.3 | W 27-9 | -24.5 | 49.5 | 13.4 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Pittsburgh | UCF | .791 | 12.0 | 29.6 | 17.7 | 47.3 | W 12-7 | -7.5 | 55.5 | 7.0 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Syracuse | California | .524 | .8 | 24.3 | 23.5 | 47.8 | L 18-21 | -4.5 | 56.5 | 3.8 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| Tennessee | Georgia Tech | .767 | 10.8 | 33.3 | 22.5 | 55.7 | W 45-24 | -11.5 | 55.5 | 10.2 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Texas A&M | Arizona State | .865 | 16.1 | 32.2 | 16.0 | 48.2 | W 48-20 | -14.5 | 51.5 | 11.9 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas Tech | Oregon State | .962 | 23.4 | 34.0 | 10.5 | 44.5 | W 35-24 | -25.5 | 52.5 | 12.4 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Tulane | South Alabama | .836 | 14.4 | 32.1 | 17.7 | 49.8 | W 28-24 | -9.5 | 48.5 | 10.4 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Tulsa | Sam Houston | .667 | 6.3 | 27.0 | 20.7 | 47.7 | W 23-17 | -12.5 | 52.5 | .3 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| UAB | UL Monroe | .760 | 10.4 | 33.1 | 22.7 | 55.8 | W 26-20 | -9.5 | 53.5 | 4.4 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| UCLA | San Diego State | .699 | 7.6 | 27.7 | 20.1 | 47.8 | W 28-10 | -13.5 | 53.5 | 10.4 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| USC | Louisiana | .990 | 32.2 | 45.7 | 13.6 | 59.3 | W 49-30 | -29.5 | 59.5 | 13.2 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Utah | Arkansas | .871 | 16.5 | 37.1 | 20.6 | 57.7 | W 43-10 | -13.5 | 55.5 | 16.5 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| UTSA | Texas State | .648 | 5.5 | 31.7 | 26.2 | 57.8 | W 31-26 | +1.5 | 65.5 | .5 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Vanderbilt | Delaware | .990 | 30.8 | 45.0 | 14.2 | 59.2 | W 35-26 | -21.5 | 55.5 | 21.8 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Virginia Tech | Old Dominion | .542 | 1.5 | 24.6 | 23.2 | 47.8 | W 44-21 | -17.5 | 47.5 | 21.5 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Wake Forest | Purdue | .618 | 4.3 | 26.1 | 21.7 | 47.8 | W 38-36 | -2.5 | 51.5 | 2.3 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Washington | Utah State | .970 | 24.3 | 38.7 | 14.5 | 53.2 | W 16-14 | -28.5 | 55.5 | 22.3 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Week 1 Game Projections | Game Results | Projection Results | ||||||||||||||
| Projected Win | Projected Loss | PW | PM | PF | PA | PT | Final | CL | CT | PE | SU | ATS | O/U | |||
| Alabama | East Carolina | .962 | 23.4 | 36.7 | 13.3 | 50.0 | W 48-10 | -27.5 | 52.5 | 14.6 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Auburn | Baylor | .666 | 6.2 | 28.1 | 21.9 | 50.0 | W 17-16 | -6.5 | 58.5 | 5.2 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Cincinnati | Boston College | .788 | 11.8 | 33.9 | 22.1 | 56.0 | W 34-15 | -7.5 | 51.5 | 7.2 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Colorado State | Wyoming | .506 | .2 | 23.0 | 22.7 | 45.7 | W 35-13 | -2.5 | 46.5 | 21.8 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Duke | Tulane | .583 | 3.0 | 28.8 | 25.8 | 54.6 | W 17-3 | -9.5 | 51.5 | 11.0 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Florida | Florida Atlantic | .959 | 23.1 | 37.2 | 14.1 | 51.2 | W 66-21 | -26.5 | 59.5 | 21.9 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Florida State | SMU | .561 | 2.2 | 28.7 | 26.5 | 55.2 | L 24-27 | +2.5 | 54.5 | 5.2 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Georgia Tech | Colorado | .744 | 9.7 | 31.1 | 21.4 | 52.6 | L 13-14 | -6.5 | 53.5 | 10.7 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| Houston | Oregon State | .804 | 12.7 | 31.9 | 19.3 | 51.2 | W 33-20 | -20.5 | 50.5 | .3 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Illinois | UAB | .990 | 27.5 | 41.8 | 14.3 | 56.1 | W 42-23 | -25.5 | 54.5 | 8.5 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Indiana | North Texas | .972 | 24.4 | 40.6 | 16.1 | 56.7 | W 52-16 | -40.5 | 55.5 | 11.6 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa | Northern Illinois | .990 | 31.4 | 36.6 | 5.2 | 41.8 | W 40-0 | -52.5 | 67.5 | 8.6 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| James Madison | Liberty | .877 | 16.9 | 34.4 | 17.5 | 51.9 | W 20-13 | -5.5 | 50.5 | 9.9 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| LSU | Clemson | .615 | 4.2 | 24.7 | 20.5 | 45.2 | W 51-10 | -10.5 | 49.5 | 36.8 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Memphis | Arkansas State | .878 | 16.9 | 33.8 | 16.9 | 50.7 | W 42-24 | -10.5 | 52.5 | 1.1 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Miami | Stanford | .919 | 19.8 | 34.1 | 14.3 | 48.4 | W 45-6 | -24.5 | 46.5 | 19.2 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Michigan | Western Michigan | .985 | 25.8 | 37.3 | 11.5 | 48.8 | W 13-12 | -28.5 | 49.5 | 24.8 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan State | Toledo | .518 | .6 | 24.5 | 23.8 | 48.3 | W 30-20 | -9.5 | 48.5 | 9.4 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Mississippi State | UL Monroe | .990 | 27.7 | 39.2 | 11.5 | 50.6 | W 62-13 | -28.5 | 54.5 | 21.3 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Nebraska | Ohio | .816 | 13.3 | 32.3 | 19.0 | 51.3 | W 49-21 | -23.5 | 47.5 | 14.7 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| New Mexico | Central Michigan | .705 | 7.9 | 27.8 | 19.9 | 47.7 | W 38-7 | -10.5 | 47.5 | 23.1 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | Wisconsin | .932 | 20.8 | 32.6 | 11.7 | 44.3 | W 41-13 | -21.5 | 46.5 | 7.2 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Ohio State | Ball State | .990 | 52.8 | 50.1 | -2.7 | 47.4 | W 56-3 | -49.5 | 55.5 | .2 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma | UTEP | .990 | 37.0 | 39.8 | 2.8 | 42.6 | W 51-0 | -40.5 | 51.5 | 14.0 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Oklahoma State | Tulsa | .661 | 6.0 | 26.7 | 20.6 | 47.3 | L 10-24 | -13.5 | 57.5 | 20.0 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| Ole Miss | Louisville | .726 | 8.8 | 30.6 | 21.8 | 52.5 | W 41-38 | -6.5 | 54.5 | 5.8 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Oregon | Boise State | .990 | 27.2 | 39.8 | 12.7 | 52.5 | W 34-27 | -25.5 | 53.5 | 20.2 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Penn State | Marshall | .990 | 26.7 | 37.9 | 11.2 | 49.1 | W 45-0 | -23.5 | 53.5 | 18.3 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Pittsburgh | Miami (OH) | .862 | 15.9 | 29.7 | 13.8 | 43.5 | W 59-14 | -16.5 | 47.5 | 29.1 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Rutgers | Massachusetts | .990 | 34.1 | 46.3 | 12.3 | 58.6 | L 21-37 | -29.5 | 54.5 | 50.1 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| San Jose State | Eastern Michigan | .516 | .6 | 26.6 | 26.0 | 52.6 | W 27-21 | +1.5 | 55.5 | 5.4 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| South Carolina | Kent State | .990 | 32.9 | 41.2 | 8.3 | 49.5 | W 57-0 | -35.5 | 53.5 | 24.1 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| South Florida | Florida International | .941 | 21.5 | 35.4 | 13.9 | 49.3 | W 19-9 | -14.5 | 52.5 | 11.5 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Texas | Texas State | .990 | 26.1 | 39.5 | 13.4 | 52.8 | W 59-7 | -29.5 | 60.5 | 25.9 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Texas A&M | Missouri State | .990 | 32.2 | 42.9 | 10.8 | 53.7 | W 50-0 | -38.5 | 53.5 | 17.8 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Troy | Sam Houston | .864 | 16.0 | 29.7 | 13.7 | 43.5 | W 24-21 | -16.5 | 53.5 | 13.0 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| UCLA | California | .515 | .5 | 25.7 | 25.2 | 51.0 | W 45-24 | -2.5 | 53.5 | 20.5 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| UNLV | Hawaii | .588 | 3.2 | 28.9 | 25.7 | 54.6 | W 21-6 | -1.5 | 55.5 | 11.8 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| USC | Fresno State | .957 | 23.0 | 38.6 | 15.6 | 54.2 | W 39-0 | -21.5 | 51.5 | 16.0 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Wake Forest | Akron | .990 | 28.1 | 36.7 | 8.6 | 45.3 | W 38-16 | -27.5 | 50.5 | 6.1 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Washington | Washington State | .823 | 13.7 | 31.3 | 17.6 | 48.8 | W 24-10 | -23.5 | 51.5 | .3 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| West Virginia | Coastal Carolina | .810 | 12.9 | 31.3 | 18.3 | 49.6 | W 31-24 | -20.5 | 54.5 | 5.9 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Western Kentucky | Nevada | .682 | 6.9 | 27.4 | 20.5 | 47.9 | L 14-49 | -1.5 | 51.5 | 41.9 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Week 0 Game Projections | Game Results | Projection Results | ||||||||||||||
| Projected Win | Projected Loss | PW | PM | PF | PA | PT | Final | CL | CT | PE | SU | ATS | O/U | |||
| Eastern Michigan | Sacramento State | .675 | 6.6 | 31.1 | 24.4 | 55.5 | W 28-17 | -9.5 | 53.5 | 4.4 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Florida State | New Mexico State | .990 | 30.2 | 40.8 | 10.6 | 51.5 | W 34-17 | -31.5 | 54.5 | 13.2 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Jacksonville State | North Dakota State | .704 | 7.9 | 29.8 | 22.0 | 51.8 | L 7-33 | +6.5 | 46.5 | 33.9 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Memphis | UNLV | .533 | 1.1 | 27.8 | 26.7 | 54.5 | W 27-21 | +4.5 | 55.5 | 4.9 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Stanford | Hawaii | .638 | 5.1 | 26.8 | 21.7 | 48.4 | W 37-27 | -4.5 | 49.5 | 4.9 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| TCU | North Carolina | .821 | 13.6 | 33.4 | 19.8 | 53.2 | L 10-15 | -7.5 | 45.5 | 18.6 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| USC | San Jose State | .990 | 29.4 | 43.7 | 14.4 | 58.1 | W 42-26 | -37.5 | 61.5 | 13.4 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Virginia | NC State | .506 | .2 | 24.6 | 24.4 | 49.1 | W 34-8 | -4.5 | 50.5 | 25.8 | Win | Loss | Win | |||