2025 FEI Game Projections

2025 :: 2024 :: 2023 :: 2022

Game Projections, based on FEI ratings calculated as of the previous week, include the win likelihood (PW), margin of victory (PM), points scored (PF), points allowed (PA), and game total (PT) for the projected winner of each FBS game. Game results indicate the final score of the game, the closing line (CL), and closing over/under game total (CT). Projection results indicate the game projection error (PE) calculated as the absolute value of the delta between the projected margin and actual margin of victory, and whether the game projection correctly identified the game winner (SU), the winner against the closing betting line (ATS), and the winner against the closing over/under game total (O/U).

Week 3 Game Projections
 
Game Results
 

Projection Results

Projected Win
Projected Loss
PW
PM
PF
PA
PT
 
Final
CL
CT
 
PE
 
SU
ATS
O/U
Air ForceUtah State.6013.730.326.757.0
AlabamaWisconsin.82914.033.419.552.9
Appalachian StateSouthern Mississippi.85215.333.618.351.8
Arizona StateTexas State.77611.235.824.660.4
AuburnSouth Alabama.88417.335.718.454.0
Boston CollegeStanford.6375.127.622.550.2
Bowling GreenLiberty.512.426.225.852.0
BuffaloKent State.90018.434.516.150.6
ClemsonGeorgia Tech.6666.227.921.749.7
ColoradoHouston.510.324.123.847.9
ConnecticutDelaware.7228.728.920.249.0
East CarolinaCoastal Carolina.5712.526.824.351.1
Florida InternationalFlorida Atlantic.5391.423.522.145.5
GeorgiaTennessee.6847.029.022.050.9
IllinoisWestern Michigan.94622.038.116.154.3
IowaMassachusetts.99040.344.74.449.1
Iowa StateArkansas State.99026.442.015.657.6
Jacksonville StateGeorgia Southern.6385.130.825.756.5
Kansas StateArizona.7439.630.520.951.3
KentuckyEastern Michigan.99027.139.712.652.3
Louisiana TechNew Mexico State.78411.629.217.646.8
LSUFlorida.7078.030.622.653.1
MemphisTroy.6826.929.322.451.7
MiamiSouth Florida.87316.637.020.357.3
MichiganCentral Michigan.99030.540.39.950.2
MinnesotaCalifornia.6294.724.519.844.4
MissouriLouisiana.85915.734.318.652.9
NavyTulsa.93320.835.414.650.0
NC StateWake Forest.5973.529.425.955.4
NevadaMiddle Tennessee.75410.133.022.855.8
Notre DameTexas A&M.7399.430.721.352.0
Ohio StateOhio.99034.844.29.453.6
OklahomaTemple.98125.435.810.546.3
Ole MissArkansas.86015.836.320.556.8
OregonNorthwestern.99030.740.710.050.7
PittsburghWest Virginia.505.225.024.849.8
SMUMissouri State.99027.641.814.256.0
South CarolinaVanderbilt.76110.530.720.250.9
TexasUTEP.99045.645.2-.544.7
Texas TechOregon State.86916.334.217.952.0
TulaneDuke.75910.431.821.453.2
UABAkron.77911.432.321.053.3
UCLANew Mexico.83714.437.423.060.3
USCPurdue.91819.742.522.865.4
UtahWyoming.91019.129.310.239.6
Virginia TechOld Dominion.76810.828.617.846.3
Washington StateNorth Texas.7068.032.424.556.9



Week 2 Game Projections
 
Game Results
 

Projection Results

Projected Win
Projected Loss
PW
PM
PF
PA
PT
 
Final
CL
CT
 
PE
 
SU
ATS
O/U
AlabamaUL Monroe.99033.241.58.449.9W 73-0-34.050.039.8WinLossLoss
Arizona StateMississippi State.6877.131.424.355.7L 20-24-5.559.011.1LossLossWin
ArkansasArkansas State.90318.636.517.954.4W 56-14-23.562.523.4WinLossLoss
AuburnBall State.99030.040.710.751.5W 42-3-43.052.59.0WinWinWin
BYUStanford.92620.335.214.950.1W 27-3-20.044.53.7WinWinLoss
CincinnatiBowling Green.86215.931.815.847.6W 34-20-23.046.51.9WinWinWin
ClemsonTroy.97725.036.411.447.7W 27-16-30.551.014.0WinWinWin
ColoradoDelaware.97925.238.313.151.4W 31-7-24.050.01.2WinPushLoss
FloridaSouth Florida.87516.732.615.948.5L 16-18-18.058.018.7LossWinWin
HawaiiSam Houston.5421.524.823.348.1W 37-20-7.049.015.5WinLossLoss
HoustonRice.6806.824.317.541.8W 35-9-14.038.519.2WinLossWin
IllinoisDuke.6164.225.921.747.6W 45-19-2.549.021.8WinWinLoss
IndianaKennesaw State.99036.341.85.547.2W 56-9-35.551.010.7WinWinLoss
Iowa StateIowa.5762.723.220.543.8W 16-13-3.042.5.3WinPushLoss
Jacksonville StateLiberty.6214.428.424.052.4W 34-24+6.550.55.6WinWinWin
Kansas StateArmy.7088.130.722.653.3L 21-24-17.048.011.1LossWinLoss
LouisvilleJames Madison.80912.930.817.948.6W 28-14-15.056.01.1WinWinWin
LSULouisiana Tech.99032.140.68.549.1W 23-7-36.549.516.1WinWinWin
MarshallMissouri State.95422.737.514.852.4L 20-21-7.054.023.7LossLossWin
MarylandNorthern Illinois.80112.529.016.545.4W 20-9-16.545.01.5WinWinLoss
MemphisGeorgia State.76910.933.522.656.1W 38-16-14.558.011.1WinLossWin
Michigan StateBoston College.514.523.322.846.1W 42-40-3.545.51.5WinWinWin
MissouriKansas.6134.129.725.555.2W 42-31-5.550.56.9WinLossWin
NavyUAB.88217.234.717.552.2W 38-24-20.559.03.2WinWinLoss
NC StateVirginia.5271.025.124.149.2W 35-31-3.054.03.0WinLossLoss
NebraskaAkron.99027.536.79.346.0W 68-0-34.047.040.5WinLossLoss
North CarolinaCharlotte.79612.233.621.354.9W 20-3-15.549.54.8WinLossLoss
OklahomaMichigan.511.422.121.743.8W 24-13-4.044.010.6WinLossWin
Ole MissKentucky.78211.530.719.249.9W 30-23-8.551.04.5WinLossLoss
OregonOklahoma State.97224.440.816.457.1W 69-3-28.555.541.6WinLossWin
Oregon StateFresno State.5301.027.626.654.2L 27-36-1.046.010.0LossLossWin
Penn StateFlorida International.99042.645.12.547.6W 34-0-42.053.58.6WinLossWin
PittsburghCentral Michigan.87917.030.813.844.6W 45-17-21.549.011.0WinLossLoss
RutgersMiami (OH).7248.829.320.549.8W 45-17-16.545.019.2WinLossWin
SMUBaylor.6616.129.723.753.4L 45-48-3.065.09.1LossLossLoss
SyracuseConnecticut.85015.234.118.953.0W 27-20-7.057.08.2WinPushWin
TexasSan Jose State.99031.938.86.845.6W 38-7-37.052.0.9WinWinWin
Texas A&MUtah State.99027.140.613.554.1W 44-22-33.557.55.1WinWinLoss
Texas StateUTSA.5933.329.426.155.5W 43-36+4.564.53.7WinWinLoss
Texas TechKent State.99033.243.510.353.8W 62-14-48.560.014.8WinWinLoss
ToledoWestern Kentucky.5863.126.323.249.6W 45-21-7.557.520.9WinLossLoss
TulaneSouth Alabama.7158.329.220.950.1W 33-31-13.051.56.3WinWinLoss
TulsaNew Mexico State.510.324.824.549.3L 14-21-3.552.07.3LossWinWin
UNLVUCLA.5983.527.924.452.3W 30-23+1.554.53.5WinWinWin
USCGeorgia Southern.99027.042.315.357.7W 59-20-29.062.012.0WinLossLoss
Virginia TechVanderbilt.6726.528.121.649.8L 20-44-1.545.530.5LossLossWin
Washington StateSan Diego State.85815.732.917.350.2W 36-13-2.046.57.3WinWinWin
West VirginiaOhio.516.628.528.056.5L 10-17-3.558.57.6LossWinWin
Western MichiganNorth Texas.509.328.428.056.4L 30-33+11.556.53.3LossWinLoss
WisconsinMiddle Tennessee.99032.940.98.048.9W 42-10-28.545.0.9WinWinWin



Week 1 Game Projections
 
Game Results
 

Projection Results

Projected Win
Projected Loss
PW
PM
PF
PA
PT
 
Final
CL
CT
 
PE
 
SU
ATS
O/U
AlabamaFlorida State.92520.234.414.248.6L 17-31-13.547.034.2LossLossWin
Appalachian StateCharlotte.7118.232.624.457.0W 34-11-3.048.514.8WinWinLoss
ArizonaHawaii.7439.631.221.652.8W 40-6-15.055.024.4WinLossWin
BaylorAuburn.5953.426.723.350.0L 24-38+1.057.017.4LossLossLoss
Boise StateSouth Florida.85115.333.518.251.8L 7-34-4.561.542.3LossLossWin
CaliforniaOregon State.5602.126.424.350.7W 34-15-2.548.516.9WinLossWin
ClemsonLSU.5531.927.425.552.9L 10-17-5.555.58.9LossWinWin
ColoradoGeorgia Tech.6063.927.323.450.7L 20-27+3.549.510.9LossLossLoss
Fresno StateGeorgia Southern.5903.226.423.249.5W 42-14-1.049.024.8WinWinWin
GeorgiaMarshall.99027.238.110.949.0W 45-7-38.552.010.8WinWinPush
IndianaOld Dominion.93921.435.814.450.2W 27-14-23.053.08.4WinWinWin
KentuckyToledo.82213.629.215.544.7W 24-16-10.048.55.6WinLossWin
LouisianaRice.81513.231.318.149.5L 12-14-10.048.515.2LossLossLoss
MarylandFlorida Atlantic.88017.133.015.948.9W 39-7-14.561.514.9WinWinWin
MichiganNew Mexico.99033.743.910.354.2W 34-17-34.549.016.7WinWinWin
Michigan StateWestern Michigan.75510.231.221.052.3W 23-6-21.549.56.8WinWinLoss
MinnesotaBuffalo.94221.633.912.246.1W 23-10-17.043.08.6WinLossLoss
Mississippi StateSouthern Mississippi.93020.636.415.852.2W 34-17-14.060.53.6WinWinWin
NC StateEast Carolina.75010.029.219.348.5W 24-17-13.561.03.0WinWinWin
NebraskaCincinnati.5742.725.022.347.3W 20-17-6.051.0.3WinWinWin
Notre DameMiami.7248.731.222.553.7L 24-27-3.050.511.7LossLossWin
Ohio StateTexas.79812.331.819.451.2W 14-7-2.046.55.3WinWinLoss
Ole MissGeorgia State.99031.142.611.554.1W 63-7-33.560.524.9WinLossLoss
Penn StateNevada.99035.343.78.452.1W 46-11-42.555.0.3WinWinLoss
PurdueBall State.7228.731.923.355.2W 31-0-17.048.522.3WinLossLoss
RutgersOhio.6837.029.622.752.3W 34-31-15.551.54.0WinWinWin
San Jose StateCentral Michigan.77611.229.618.447.9L 14-16-14.051.513.2LossWinWin
South CarolinaVirginia Tech.6465.424.819.344.1W 24-11-6.551.57.6WinLossWin
TCUNorth Carolina.6154.230.626.457.0W 48-14-3.554.029.8WinWinWin
TempleMassachusetts.6304.828.223.451.7W 42-10-2.548.027.2WinWinWin
TennesseeSyracuse.82413.733.619.953.4W 45-26-14.052.05.3WinLossWin
Texas A&MUTSA.93320.935.014.149.0W 42-24-23.559.52.9WinWinLoss
Texas StateEastern Michigan.78111.531.720.251.9W 52-27-14.056.013.5WinLossLoss
TulaneNorthwestern.77911.428.717.346.0W 23-3-4.546.58.6WinWinWin
UCFJacksonville State.78711.733.321.554.8W 17-10-20.552.54.7WinWinLoss
UNLVSam Houston.7088.026.418.444.8W 38-21-9.060.59.0WinLossWin
USCMissouri State.99035.446.010.656.7W 73-13-35.559.524.6WinLossLoss
UtahUCLA.5341.222.321.143.4W 43-10-6.549.031.8WinLossLoss
Utah StateUTEP.77111.031.220.251.4W 28-16-5.058.51.0WinWinWin
VirginiaCoastal Carolina.6847.029.222.251.4W 48-7-13.554.534.0WinLossLoss
Wake ForestKennesaw State.98525.837.311.548.8W 10-9-18.051.024.8WinLossWin
WashingtonColorado State.93421.034.513.548.0W 38-21-23.052.54.0WinWinLoss
WisconsinMiami (OH).83914.629.414.944.3W 17-0-17.541.52.4WinWinLoss
WyomingAkron.6264.625.721.146.8W 10-0-4.547.55.4WinWinWin



Week 0 Game Projections
 
Game Results
 

Projection Results

Projected Win
Projected Loss
PW
PM
PF
PA
PT
 
Final
CL
CT
 
PE
 
SU
ATS
O/U
KansasFresno State.75610.232.722.455.1W 31-7-13.550.013.8WinLossLoss
Kansas StateIowa State.525.925.624.850.4L 21-24-3.052.03.9LossWinWin
StanfordHawaii.6606.028.622.651.2L 20-23+2.050.59.0LossLossLoss
Western KentuckySam Houston.6867.126.619.646.2W 41-24-10.061.59.9WinLossLoss

Week 3 Game Projections							Game Results			Projection Results
Projected Win	Projected Loss	PW	PM	PF	PA	PT	Final	CL	CT	PE	SU	ATS	O/U
Air Force	Utah State	.601	3.7	30.3	26.7	57.0
Alabama	Wisconsin	.829	14.0	33.4	19.5	52.9
Appalachian State	Southern Mississippi	.852	15.3	33.6	18.3	51.8
Arizona State	Texas State	.776	11.2	35.8	24.6	60.4
Auburn	South Alabama	.884	17.3	35.7	18.4	54.0
Boston College	Stanford	.637	5.1	27.6	22.5	50.2
Bowling Green	Liberty	.512	.4	26.2	25.8	52.0
Buffalo	Kent State	.900	18.4	34.5	16.1	50.6
Clemson	Georgia Tech	.666	6.2	27.9	21.7	49.7
Colorado	Houston	.510	.3	24.1	23.8	47.9
Connecticut	Delaware	.722	8.7	28.9	20.2	49.0
East Carolina	Coastal Carolina	.571	2.5	26.8	24.3	51.1
Florida International	Florida Atlantic	.539	1.4	23.5	22.1	45.5
Georgia	Tennessee	.684	7.0	29.0	22.0	50.9
Illinois	Western Michigan	.946	22.0	38.1	16.1	54.3
Iowa	Massachusetts	.990	40.3	44.7	4.4	49.1
Iowa State	Arkansas State	.990	26.4	42.0	15.6	57.6
Jacksonville State	Georgia Southern	.638	5.1	30.8	25.7	56.5
Kansas State	Arizona	.743	9.6	30.5	20.9	51.3
Kentucky	Eastern Michigan	.990	27.1	39.7	12.6	52.3
Louisiana Tech	New Mexico State	.784	11.6	29.2	17.6	46.8
LSU	Florida	.707	8.0	30.6	22.6	53.1
Memphis	Troy	.682	6.9	29.3	22.4	51.7
Miami	South Florida	.873	16.6	37.0	20.3	57.3
Michigan	Central Michigan	.990	30.5	40.3	9.9	50.2
Minnesota	California	.629	4.7	24.5	19.8	44.4
Missouri	Louisiana	.859	15.7	34.3	18.6	52.9
Navy	Tulsa	.933	20.8	35.4	14.6	50.0
NC State	Wake Forest	.597	3.5	29.4	25.9	55.4
Nevada	Middle Tennessee	.754	10.1	33.0	22.8	55.8
Notre Dame	Texas A&M	.739	9.4	30.7	21.3	52.0
Ohio State	Ohio	.990	34.8	44.2	9.4	53.6
Oklahoma	Temple	.981	25.4	35.8	10.5	46.3
Ole Miss	Arkansas	.860	15.8	36.3	20.5	56.8
Oregon	Northwestern	.990	30.7	40.7	10.0	50.7
Pittsburgh	West Virginia	.505	.2	25.0	24.8	49.8
SMU	Missouri State	.990	27.6	41.8	14.2	56.0
South Carolina	Vanderbilt	.761	10.5	30.7	20.2	50.9

Week 2 Game Projections							Game Results			Projection Results
Projected Win	Projected Loss	PW	PM	PF	PA	PT	Final	CL	CT	PE	SU	ATS	O/U
Alabama	UL Monroe	.990	33.2	41.5	8.4	49.9	W 73-0	-34.0	50.0	39.8	Win	Loss	Loss
Arizona State	Mississippi State	.687	7.1	31.4	24.3	55.7	L 20-24	-5.5	59.0	11.1	Loss	Loss	Win
Arkansas	Arkansas State	.903	18.6	36.5	17.9	54.4	W 56-14	-23.5	62.5	23.4	Win	Loss	Loss
Auburn	Ball State	.990	30.0	40.7	10.7	51.5	W 42-3	-43.0	52.5	9.0	Win	Win	Win
BYU	Stanford	.926	20.3	35.2	14.9	50.1	W 27-3	-20.0	44.5	3.7	Win	Win	Loss
Cincinnati	Bowling Green	.862	15.9	31.8	15.8	47.6	W 34-20	-23.0	46.5	1.9	Win	Win	Win
Clemson	Troy	.977	25.0	36.4	11.4	47.7	W 27-16	-30.5	51.0	14.0	Win	Win	Win
Colorado	Delaware	.979	25.2	38.3	13.1	51.4	W 31-7	-24.0	50.0	1.2	Win	Push	Loss
Florida	South Florida	.875	16.7	32.6	15.9	48.5	L 16-18	-18.0	58.0	18.7	Loss	Win	Win
Hawaii	Sam Houston	.542	1.5	24.8	23.3	48.1	W 37-20	-7.0	49.0	15.5	Win	Loss	Loss
Houston	Rice	.680	6.8	24.3	17.5	41.8	W 35-9	-14.0	38.5	19.2	Win	Loss	Win
Illinois	Duke	.616	4.2	25.9	21.7	47.6	W 45-19	-2.5	49.0	21.8	Win	Win	Loss
Indiana	Kennesaw State	.990	36.3	41.8	5.5	47.2	W 56-9	-35.5	51.0	10.7	Win	Win	Loss
Iowa State	Iowa	.576	2.7	23.2	20.5	43.8	W 16-13	-3.0	42.5	.3	Win	Push	Loss
Jacksonville State	Liberty	.621	4.4	28.4	24.0	52.4	W 34-24	+6.5	50.5	5.6	Win	Win	Win
Kansas State	Army	.708	8.1	30.7	22.6	53.3	L 21-24	-17.0	48.0	11.1	Loss	Win	Loss
Louisville	James Madison	.809	12.9	30.8	17.9	48.6	W 28-14	-15.0	56.0	1.1	Win	Win	Win
LSU	Louisiana Tech	.990	32.1	40.6	8.5	49.1	W 23-7	-36.5	49.5	16.1	Win	Win	Win
Marshall	Missouri State	.954	22.7	37.5	14.8	52.4	L 20-21	-7.0	54.0	23.7	Loss	Loss	Win
Maryland	Northern Illinois	.801	12.5	29.0	16.5	45.4	W 20-9	-16.5	45.0	1.5	Win	Win	Loss
Memphis	Georgia State	.769	10.9	33.5	22.6	56.1	W 38-16	-14.5	58.0	11.1	Win	Loss	Win
Michigan State	Boston College	.514	.5	23.3	22.8	46.1	W 42-40	-3.5	45.5	1.5	Win	Win	Win
Missouri	Kansas	.613	4.1	29.7	25.5	55.2	W 42-31	-5.5	50.5	6.9	Win	Loss	Win
Navy	UAB	.882	17.2	34.7	17.5	52.2	W 38-24	-20.5	59.0	3.2	Win	Win	Loss
NC State	Virginia	.527	1.0	25.1	24.1	49.2	W 35-31	-3.0	54.0	3.0	Win	Loss	Loss
Nebraska	Akron	.990	27.5	36.7	9.3	46.0	W 68-0	-34.0	47.0	40.5	Win	Loss	Loss
North Carolina	Charlotte	.796	12.2	33.6	21.3	54.9	W 20-3	-15.5	49.5	4.8	Win	Loss	Loss
Oklahoma	Michigan	.511	.4	22.1	21.7	43.8	W 24-13	-4.0	44.0	10.6	Win	Loss	Win
Ole Miss	Kentucky	.782	11.5	30.7	19.2	49.9	W 30-23	-8.5	51.0	4.5	Win	Loss	Loss
Oregon	Oklahoma State	.972	24.4	40.8	16.4	57.1	W 69-3	-28.5	55.5	41.6	Win	Loss	Win
Oregon State	Fresno State	.530	1.0	27.6	26.6	54.2	L 27-36	-1.0	46.0	10.0	Loss	Loss	Win
Penn State	Florida International	.990	42.6	45.1	2.5	47.6	W 34-0	-42.0	53.5	8.6	Win	Loss	Win
Pittsburgh	Central Michigan	.879	17.0	30.8	13.8	44.6	W 45-17	-21.5	49.0	11.0	Win	Loss	Loss
Rutgers	Miami (OH)	.724	8.8	29.3	20.5	49.8	W 45-17	-16.5	45.0	19.2	Win	Loss	Win
SMU	Baylor	.661	6.1	29.7	23.7	53.4	L 45-48	-3.0	65.0	9.1	Loss	Loss	Loss
Syracuse	Connecticut	.850	15.2	34.1	18.9	53.0	W 27-20	-7.0	57.0	8.2	Win	Push	Win
Texas	San Jose State	.990	31.9	38.8	6.8	45.6	W 38-7	-37.0	52.0	.9	Win	Win	Win
Texas A&M	Utah State	.990	27.1	40.6	13.5	54.1	W 44-22	-33.5	57.5	5.1	Win	Win	Loss

Week 1 Game Projections							Game Results			Projection Results
Projected Win	Projected Loss	PW	PM	PF	PA	PT	Final	CL	CT	PE	SU	ATS	O/U
Alabama	Florida State	.925	20.2	34.4	14.2	48.6	L 17-31	-13.5	47.0	34.2	Loss	Loss	Win
Appalachian State	Charlotte	.711	8.2	32.6	24.4	57.0	W 34-11	-3.0	48.5	14.8	Win	Win	Loss
Arizona	Hawaii	.743	9.6	31.2	21.6	52.8	W 40-6	-15.0	55.0	24.4	Win	Loss	Win
Baylor	Auburn	.595	3.4	26.7	23.3	50.0	L 24-38	+1.0	57.0	17.4	Loss	Loss	Loss
Boise State	South Florida	.851	15.3	33.5	18.2	51.8	L 7-34	-4.5	61.5	42.3	Loss	Loss	Win
California	Oregon State	.560	2.1	26.4	24.3	50.7	W 34-15	-2.5	48.5	16.9	Win	Loss	Win
Clemson	LSU	.553	1.9	27.4	25.5	52.9	L 10-17	-5.5	55.5	8.9	Loss	Win	Win
Colorado	Georgia Tech	.606	3.9	27.3	23.4	50.7	L 20-27	+3.5	49.5	10.9	Loss	Loss	Loss
Fresno State	Georgia Southern	.590	3.2	26.4	23.2	49.5	W 42-14	-1.0	49.0	24.8	Win	Win	Win
Georgia	Marshall	.990	27.2	38.1	10.9	49.0	W 45-7	-38.5	52.0	10.8	Win	Win	Push
Indiana	Old Dominion	.939	21.4	35.8	14.4	50.2	W 27-14	-23.0	53.0	8.4	Win	Win	Win
Kentucky	Toledo	.822	13.6	29.2	15.5	44.7	W 24-16	-10.0	48.5	5.6	Win	Loss	Win
Louisiana	Rice	.815	13.2	31.3	18.1	49.5	L 12-14	-10.0	48.5	15.2	Loss	Loss	Loss
Maryland	Florida Atlantic	.880	17.1	33.0	15.9	48.9	W 39-7	-14.5	61.5	14.9	Win	Win	Win
Michigan	New Mexico	.990	33.7	43.9	10.3	54.2	W 34-17	-34.5	49.0	16.7	Win	Win	Win
Michigan State	Western Michigan	.755	10.2	31.2	21.0	52.3	W 23-6	-21.5	49.5	6.8	Win	Win	Loss
Minnesota	Buffalo	.942	21.6	33.9	12.2	46.1	W 23-10	-17.0	43.0	8.6	Win	Loss	Loss
Mississippi State	Southern Mississippi	.930	20.6	36.4	15.8	52.2	W 34-17	-14.0	60.5	3.6	Win	Win	Win
NC State	East Carolina	.750	10.0	29.2	19.3	48.5	W 24-17	-13.5	61.0	3.0	Win	Win	Win
Nebraska	Cincinnati	.574	2.7	25.0	22.3	47.3	W 20-17	-6.0	51.0	.3	Win	Win	Win
Notre Dame	Miami	.724	8.7	31.2	22.5	53.7	L 24-27	-3.0	50.5	11.7	Loss	Loss	Win
Ohio State	Texas	.798	12.3	31.8	19.4	51.2	W 14-7	-2.0	46.5	5.3	Win	Win	Loss
Ole Miss	Georgia State	.990	31.1	42.6	11.5	54.1	W 63-7	-33.5	60.5	24.9	Win	Loss	Loss
Penn State	Nevada	.990	35.3	43.7	8.4	52.1	W 46-11	-42.5	55.0	.3	Win	Win	Loss
Purdue	Ball State	.722	8.7	31.9	23.3	55.2	W 31-0	-17.0	48.5	22.3	Win	Loss	Loss
Rutgers	Ohio	.683	7.0	29.6	22.7	52.3	W 34-31	-15.5	51.5	4.0	Win	Win	Win
San Jose State	Central Michigan	.776	11.2	29.6	18.4	47.9	L 14-16	-14.0	51.5	13.2	Loss	Win	Win
South Carolina	Virginia Tech	.646	5.4	24.8	19.3	44.1	W 24-11	-6.5	51.5	7.6	Win	Loss	Win
TCU	North Carolina	.615	4.2	30.6	26.4	57.0	W 48-14	-3.5	54.0	29.8	Win	Win	Win
Temple	Massachusetts	.630	4.8	28.2	23.4	51.7	W 42-10	-2.5	48.0	27.2	Win	Win	Win
Tennessee	Syracuse	.824	13.7	33.6	19.9	53.4	W 45-26	-14.0	52.0	5.3	Win	Loss	Win
Texas A&M	UTSA	.933	20.9	35.0	14.1	49.0	W 42-24	-23.5	59.5	2.9	Win	Win	Loss
Texas State	Eastern Michigan	.781	11.5	31.7	20.2	51.9	W 52-27	-14.0	56.0	13.5	Win	Loss	Loss
Tulane	Northwestern	.779	11.4	28.7	17.3	46.0	W 23-3	-4.5	46.5	8.6	Win	Win	Win
UCF	Jacksonville State	.787	11.7	33.3	21.5	54.8	W 17-10	-20.5	52.5	4.7	Win	Win	Loss
UNLV	Sam Houston	.708	8.0	26.4	18.4	44.8	W 38-21	-9.0	60.5	9.0	Win	Loss	Win
USC	Missouri State	.990	35.4	46.0	10.6	56.7	W 73-13	-35.5	59.5	24.6	Win	Loss	Loss
Utah	UCLA	.534	1.2	22.3	21.1	43.4	W 43-10	-6.5	49.0	31.8	Win	Loss	Loss

Week 0 Game Projections							Game Results			Projection Results
Projected Win	Projected Loss	PW	PM	PF	PA	PT	Final	CL	CT	PE	SU	ATS	O/U
Kansas	Fresno State	.756	10.2	32.7	22.4	55.1	W 31-7	-13.5	50.0	13.8	Win	Loss	Loss
Kansas State	Iowa State	.525	.9	25.6	24.8	50.4	L 21-24	-3.0	52.0	3.9	Loss	Win	Win
Stanford	Hawaii	.660	6.0	28.6	22.6	51.2	L 20-23	+2.0	50.5	9.0	Loss	Loss	Loss
Western Kentucky	Sam Houston	.686	7.1	26.6	19.6	46.2	W 41-24	-10.0	61.5	9.9	Win	Loss	Loss