2024 Game Projections
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Game Projections are calculated from current FEI ratings and include the projected win likelihood (PW), projected margin of victory (PM), projected points scored (PF) and allowed (PA), and projected total points scored (PT) for the winner of each FBS game. Game results indicate the final score of the game (Final), the closing betting line (CL) and closing over/under game total (CT). Projection results indicate the game projection error (PE) calculated as the absolute value of the delta between the projected margin and actual margin of victory, and whether the game projection correctly identified the game winner (SU), the winner against the closing betting line (ATS), and the winner against the closing over/under game total (O/U).
Week 4 Game Projections |
Game Results |
Projection Results |
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| Projected Win | Projected Loss | PW | PM | PF | PA | PT | Final | CL | CT | PE | SU | ATS | O/U | |||
| Appalachian State | South Alabama | .674 | 6.6 | 33.0 | 26.4 | 59.3 | ||||||||||
| Army | Rice | .837 | 14.4 | 30.2 | 15.8 | 46.0 | ||||||||||
| Auburn | Arkansas | .737 | 9.3 | 29.1 | 19.8 | 48.9 | ||||||||||
| Ball State | Central Michigan | .509 | .3 | 25.1 | 24.8 | 49.8 | ||||||||||
| Baylor | Colorado | .661 | 6.0 | 28.7 | 22.7 | 51.4 | ||||||||||
| Boston College | Michigan State | .645 | 5.4 | 28.6 | 23.2 | 51.8 | ||||||||||
| Cincinnati | Houston | .625 | 4.6 | 27.1 | 22.5 | 49.6 | ||||||||||
| Clemson | NC State | .911 | 19.2 | 33.1 | 13.9 | 47.1 | ||||||||||
| Coastal Carolina | Virginia | .566 | 2.3 | 27.3 | 25.0 | 52.3 | ||||||||||
| Colorado State | UTEP | .719 | 8.5 | 29.4 | 20.9 | 50.3 | ||||||||||
| Duke | Middle Tennessee | .878 | 16.9 | 35.6 | 18.7 | 54.3 | ||||||||||
| Florida | Mississippi State | .637 | 5.0 | 29.7 | 24.7 | 54.4 | ||||||||||
| Florida Atlantic | Connecticut | .674 | 6.6 | 27.4 | 20.8 | 48.3 | ||||||||||
| Florida State | California | .537 | 1.3 | 24.8 | 23.5 | 48.2 | ||||||||||
| Fresno State | New Mexico | .878 | 16.9 | 36.9 | 20.0 | 56.9 | ||||||||||
| Indiana | Charlotte | .946 | 22.0 | 38.3 | 16.4 | 54.7 | ||||||||||
| Iowa State | Arkansas State | .950 | 22.3 | 38.2 | 15.9 | 54.1 | ||||||||||
| Jacksonville State | Southern Mississippi | .770 | 10.9 | 34.1 | 23.2 | 57.2 | ||||||||||
| Kansas State | BYU | .794 | 12.1 | 31.0 | 18.9 | 49.9 | ||||||||||
| Kentucky | Ohio | .868 | 16.3 | 31.7 | 15.4 | 47.1 | ||||||||||
| Liberty | East Carolina | .793 | 12.1 | 31.7 | 19.6 | 51.3 | ||||||||||
| Louisiana Tech | Tulsa | .588 | 3.1 | 29.5 | 26.4 | 55.9 | ||||||||||
| Louisville | Georgia Tech | .779 | 11.3 | 36.7 | 25.3 | 62.0 | ||||||||||
| LSU | UCLA | .901 | 18.5 | 38.6 | 20.1 | 58.7 | ||||||||||
| Memphis | Navy | .766 | 10.7 | 31.2 | 20.5 | 51.7 | ||||||||||
| Miami | South Florida | .859 | 15.7 | 36.5 | 20.7 | 57.2 | ||||||||||
| Michigan | USC | .697 | 7.5 | 31.7 | 24.2 | 55.9 | ||||||||||
| Minnesota | Iowa | .501 | .0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 40.0 | ||||||||||
| Missouri | Vanderbilt | .960 | 23.3 | 38.5 | 15.2 | 53.7 | ||||||||||
| Nebraska | Illinois | .675 | 6.6 | 26.0 | 19.4 | 45.4 | ||||||||||
| North Carolina | James Madison | .591 | 3.3 | 29.6 | 26.3 | 55.9 | ||||||||||
| North Texas | Wyoming | .555 | 1.9 | 30.2 | 28.2 | 58.4 | ||||||||||
| Northern Illinois | Buffalo | .678 | 6.7 | 26.2 | 19.5 | 45.7 | ||||||||||
| Notre Dame | Miami (OH) | .990 | 27.8 | 35.6 | 7.8 | 43.5 | ||||||||||
| Ohio State | Marshall | .990 | 37.7 | 43.7 | 6.0 | 49.7 | ||||||||||
| Oklahoma State | Utah | .560 | 2.1 | 25.5 | 23.4 | 48.9 | ||||||||||
| Ole Miss | Georgia Southern | .990 | 30.0 | 45.6 | 15.6 | 61.1 | ||||||||||
| Oregon State | Purdue | .847 | 15.0 | 36.6 | 21.5 | 58.1 | ||||||||||
| Penn State | Kent State | .990 | 46.4 | 53.2 | 6.8 | 60.0 | ||||||||||
| Sam Houston | New Mexico State | .666 | 6.2 | 27.6 | 21.4 | 49.0 | ||||||||||
| South Carolina | Akron | .990 | 35.9 | 41.5 | 5.6 | 47.1 | ||||||||||
| Syracuse | Stanford | .630 | 4.8 | 29.9 | 25.1 | 55.1 | ||||||||||
| TCU | SMU | .579 | 2.8 | 29.7 | 26.8 | 56.5 | ||||||||||
| Tennessee | Oklahoma | .641 | 5.2 | 29.2 | 24.0 | 53.2 | ||||||||||
| Texas | UL Monroe | .990 | 42.8 | 46.9 | 4.1 | 50.9 | ||||||||||
| Texas A&M | Bowling Green | .970 | 24.2 | 35.9 | 11.7 | 47.5 | ||||||||||
| Texas Tech | Arizona State | .641 | 5.2 | 26.9 | 21.7 | 48.5 | ||||||||||
| Tulane | Louisiana | .505 | .2 | 26.7 | 26.6 | 53.3 | ||||||||||
| Utah State | Temple | .713 | 8.3 | 31.4 | 23.1 | 54.5 | ||||||||||
| Virginia Tech | Rutgers | .662 | 6.1 | 29.3 | 23.2 | 52.6 | ||||||||||
| Washington | Northwestern | .892 | 17.9 | 33.4 | 15.5 | 48.9 | ||||||||||
| Washington State | San Jose State | .850 | 15.2 | 32.0 | 16.8 | 48.8 | ||||||||||
| West Virginia | Kansas | .592 | 3.3 | 30.4 | 27.1 | 57.5 | ||||||||||
| Western Kentucky | Toledo | .537 | 1.3 | 29.5 | 28.2 | 57.8 | ||||||||||
Week 3 Game Projections |
Game Results |
Projection Results |
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| Projected Win | Projected Loss | PW | PM | PF | PA | PT | Final | CL | CT | PE | SU | ATS | O/U | |||
| Alabama | Wisconsin | .790 | 11.9 | 30.3 | 18.3 | 48.6 | W 42-10 | -14.0 | 47.0 | 20.1 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Appalachian State | East Carolina | .629 | 4.8 | 30.3 | 25.5 | 55.8 | W 21-19 | -1.0 | 58.0 | 2.8 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Arizona State | Texas State | .666 | 6.2 | 29.4 | 23.2 | 52.6 | W 31-28 | +2.5 | 57.5 | 3.2 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Arkansas | UAB | .908 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 16.0 | 51.0 | W 37-27 | -22.0 | 61.0 | 9.0 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Auburn | New Mexico | .990 | 26.9 | 39.8 | 12.9 | 52.7 | W 45-19 | -24.0 | 58.0 | .9 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Baylor | Air Force | .581 | 2.9 | 23.9 | 20.9 | 44.8 | W 31-3 | -17.0 | 41.0 | 25.1 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Buffalo | Massachusetts | .895 | 18.1 | 33.9 | 15.8 | 49.7 | W 34-3 | -3.0 | 46.0 | 12.9 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| BYU | Wyoming | .685 | 7.1 | 25.5 | 18.5 | 44.0 | W 34-14 | -9.5 | 40.0 | 12.9 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| California | San Diego State | .851 | 15.2 | 30.0 | 14.8 | 44.8 | W 31-10 | -18.5 | 48.5 | 5.8 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Cincinnati | Miami (OH) | .545 | 1.6 | 24.7 | 23.1 | 47.7 | W 27-16 | -3.5 | 47.5 | 9.4 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Coastal Carolina | Temple | .909 | 19.0 | 35.3 | 16.2 | 51.5 | W 28-20 | -17.0 | 52.0 | 11.0 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Colorado | Colorado State | .633 | 4.9 | 29.1 | 24.2 | 53.3 | W 28-9 | -7.5 | 59.5 | 14.1 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Duke | Connecticut | .990 | 28.4 | 38.7 | 10.3 | 49.0 | W 26-21 | -17.0 | 47.0 | 23.4 | Win | Loss | Push | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Florida International | .727 | 8.9 | 28.9 | 20.0 | 49.0 | W 38-20 | -3.5 | 45.0 | 9.1 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Florida State | Memphis | .577 | 2.7 | 30.4 | 27.7 | 58.1 | L 12-20 | -7.0 | 54.5 | 10.7 | Loss | Win | Loss | |||
| Fresno State | New Mexico State | .806 | 12.8 | 30.9 | 18.2 | 49.1 | W 48-0 | -20.0 | 47.5 | 35.2 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Georgia | Kentucky | .949 | 22.2 | 35.9 | 13.7 | 49.6 | W 13-12 | -21.5 | 45.0 | 21.2 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Houston | Rice | .836 | 14.4 | 31.7 | 17.3 | 49.0 | W 33-7 | -4.5 | 45.0 | 11.6 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Illinois | Central Michigan | .956 | 22.9 | 37.1 | 14.2 | 51.3 | W 30-9 | -21.0 | 50.0 | 1.9 | Win | Push | Loss | |||
| Iowa | Troy | .831 | 14.1 | 28.3 | 14.1 | 42.4 | W 38-21 | -24.0 | 39.0 | 2.9 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Jacksonville State | Eastern Michigan | .540 | 1.4 | 26.4 | 25.0 | 51.4 | L 34-37 | -2.5 | 53.5 | 4.4 | Loss | Win | Loss | |||
| Kansas | UNLV | .701 | 7.7 | 30.8 | 23.1 | 53.9 | L 20-23 | -9.0 | 57.5 | 10.7 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| Kansas State | Arizona | .774 | 11.1 | 34.4 | 23.3 | 57.6 | W 31-7 | -7.0 | 61.0 | 12.9 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Liberty | UTEP | .979 | 25.1 | 41.4 | 16.3 | 57.7 | W 28-10 | -24.0 | 57.5 | 7.1 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| LSU | South Carolina | .749 | 9.9 | 33.7 | 23.8 | 57.4 | W 36-33 | -6.0 | 48.5 | 6.9 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Maryland | Virginia | .604 | 3.8 | 30.5 | 26.7 | 57.2 | W 27-13 | +3.0 | 56.0 | 10.2 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Miami | Ball State | .980 | 25.3 | 36.6 | 11.3 | 47.9 | W 62-0 | -37.0 | 56.0 | 36.7 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Michigan | Arkansas State | .990 | 33.5 | 43.1 | 9.6 | 52.7 | W 28-18 | -21.5 | 47.5 | 23.5 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Minnesota | Nevada | .869 | 16.4 | 32.3 | 16.0 | 48.3 | W 27-0 | -16.5 | 44.5 | 10.6 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Mississippi State | Toledo | .726 | 8.8 | 29.2 | 20.4 | 49.7 | L 17-41 | -10.5 | 57.5 | 32.8 | Loss | Win | Loss | |||
| Missouri | Boston College | .873 | 16.6 | 34.5 | 17.9 | 52.3 | W 27-21 | -14.5 | 52.0 | 10.6 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| NC State | Louisiana Tech | .899 | 18.3 | 34.1 | 15.8 | 49.9 | W 30-20 | -20.5 | 48.0 | 8.3 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Notre Dame | Purdue | .810 | 13.0 | 31.9 | 18.9 | 50.8 | W 66-7 | -7.0 | 47.5 | 46.0 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | Tulane | .819 | 13.5 | 32.1 | 18.6 | 50.6 | W 34-19 | -13.0 | 49.5 | 1.5 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma State | Tulsa | .906 | 18.9 | 36.8 | 17.9 | 54.7 | W 45-10 | -17.5 | 63.5 | 16.1 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Ole Miss | Wake Forest | .831 | 14.1 | 36.2 | 22.0 | 58.2 | W 40-6 | -20.5 | 65.5 | 19.9 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Oregon | Oregon State | .704 | 7.9 | 30.8 | 22.9 | 53.7 | W 49-14 | -18.5 | 49.0 | 27.1 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Sam Houston | Hawaii | .514 | .5 | 25.0 | 24.5 | 49.6 | W 31-13 | -3.5 | 48.0 | 17.5 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| San Jose State | Kennesaw State | .960 | 23.3 | 36.8 | 13.5 | 50.3 | W 31-10 | -16.5 | 42.5 | 2.3 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| South Florida | Southern Mississippi | .731 | 9.1 | 31.7 | 22.6 | 54.4 | W 49-24 | -13.0 | 58.5 | 15.9 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| TCU | UCF | .513 | .4 | 29.6 | 29.1 | 58.7 | L 34-35 | -2.5 | 62.0 | 1.4 | Loss | Win | Loss | |||
| Tennessee | Kent State | .990 | 42.0 | 49.6 | 7.6 | 57.2 | W 71-0 | -49.5 | 62.5 | 29.0 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Texas | UTSA | .990 | 40.4 | 47.6 | 7.1 | 54.7 | W 56-7 | -35.5 | 56.5 | 8.6 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas A&M | Florida | .651 | 5.6 | 28.6 | 23.0 | 51.6 | W 33-20 | -3.5 | 46.0 | 7.4 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Texas Tech | North Texas | .865 | 16.1 | 39.1 | 23.0 | 62.0 | W 66-21 | -11.0 | 71.0 | 28.9 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| UCLA | Indiana | .740 | 9.5 | 29.1 | 19.6 | 48.6 | L 13-42 | +3.5 | 46.5 | 38.5 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| Utah | Utah State | .968 | 24.0 | 37.0 | 13.0 | 50.0 | W 38-21 | -20.0 | 43.5 | 7.0 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Vanderbilt | Georgia State | .544 | 1.5 | 28.9 | 27.4 | 56.4 | L 32-36 | -8.5 | 44.5 | 5.5 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| Virginia Tech | Old Dominion | .726 | 8.9 | 29.1 | 20.2 | 49.3 | W 37-17 | -16.0 | 47.5 | 11.1 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Washington | Washington State | .706 | 7.9 | 30.7 | 22.8 | 53.5 | L 19-24 | -6.0 | 54.0 | 12.9 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| West Virginia | Pittsburgh | .525 | .9 | 26.3 | 25.4 | 51.7 | L 34-38 | -2.0 | 62.0 | 4.9 | Loss | Win | Loss | |||
| Western Kentucky | Middle Tennessee | .636 | 5.0 | 29.9 | 24.9 | 54.7 | W 49-21 | -7.0 | 53.5 | 23.0 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
Week 2 Game Projections |
Game Results |
Projection Results |
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| Projected Win | Projected Loss | PW | PM | PF | PA | PT | Final | CL | CT | PE | SU | ATS | O/U | |||
| Air Force | San Jose State | .734 | 9.2 | 29.6 | 20.4 | 49.9 | L 7-17 | -3.0 | 44.5 | 19.2 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Alabama | South Florida | .990 | 42.8 | 49.1 | 6.3 | 55.3 | W 42-16 | -30.5 | 64.5 | 16.8 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Arizona State | Mississippi State | .642 | 5.3 | 25.4 | 20.1 | 45.5 | W 30-23 | -6.5 | 58.0 | 1.7 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Arkansas State | Tulsa | .609 | 4.0 | 29.9 | 25.9 | 55.8 | W 28-24 | -9.0 | 66.5 | .0 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Auburn | California | .739 | 9.5 | 28.1 | 18.7 | 46.8 | L 14-21 | -11.5 | 53.0 | 16.5 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| Central Michigan | Florida International | .624 | 4.5 | 29.3 | 24.8 | 54.1 | L 16-52 | -3.5 | 51.5 | 40.5 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| Cincinnati | Pittsburgh | .549 | 1.7 | 25.5 | 23.7 | 49.2 | L 27-28 | -2.0 | 62.0 | 2.7 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| Clemson | Appalachian State | .846 | 15.0 | 32.2 | 17.3 | 49.5 | W 66-20 | -17.0 | 52.5 | 31.0 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Duke | Northwestern | .545 | 1.6 | 23.9 | 22.3 | 46.3 | W 26-20 | +2.0 | 37.5 | 4.4 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Army | .558 | 2.0 | 21.9 | 19.8 | 41.7 | L 7-24 | -1.0 | 41.5 | 19.0 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Georgia Tech | Syracuse | .586 | 3.1 | 30.1 | 27.0 | 57.0 | L 28-31 | -3.0 | 60.5 | 6.1 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| Iowa State | Iowa | .532 | 1.1 | 21.2 | 20.1 | 41.3 | W 20-19 | +3.0 | 36.5 | .1 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Kansas | Illinois | .529 | 1.0 | 29.1 | 28.1 | 57.3 | L 17-23 | -5.0 | 58.5 | 7.0 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| Kansas State | Tulane | .821 | 13.6 | 32.2 | 18.6 | 50.8 | W 34-27 | -9.5 | 47.5 | 6.6 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Kentucky | South Carolina | .773 | 11.1 | 29.5 | 18.4 | 47.9 | L 6-31 | -9.5 | 40.5 | 36.1 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Liberty | New Mexico State | .827 | 13.9 | 36.0 | 22.1 | 58.1 | W 30-24 | -22.0 | 54.0 | 7.9 | Win | Win | Push | |||
| Louisiana | Kennesaw State | .862 | 15.9 | 35.3 | 19.4 | 54.7 | W 34-10 | -14.5 | 46.5 | 8.1 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisville | Jacksonville State | .938 | 21.3 | 35.6 | 14.3 | 49.8 | W 49-14 | -28.5 | 55.5 | 13.7 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Maryland | Michigan State | .814 | 13.2 | 32.1 | 18.9 | 50.9 | L 24-27 | -8.5 | 44.5 | 16.2 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| Memphis | Troy | .636 | 5.0 | 31.1 | 26.0 | 57.1 | W 38-17 | -19.0 | 55.5 | 16.0 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Michigan | Texas | .677 | 6.7 | 28.2 | 21.6 | 49.8 | L 12-31 | +6.5 | 42.0 | 25.7 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| Missouri | Buffalo | .980 | 25.3 | 35.8 | 10.5 | 46.3 | W 38-0 | -32.0 | 51.5 | 12.7 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Navy | Temple | .778 | 11.3 | 28.2 | 16.9 | 45.2 | W 38-11 | -11.5 | 42.0 | 15.7 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Nebraska | Colorado | .713 | 8.3 | 29.5 | 21.2 | 50.7 | W 28-10 | -6.5 | 55.0 | 9.7 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Nevada | Georgia Southern | .539 | 1.4 | 28.7 | 27.3 | 55.9 | L 17-20 | -1.0 | 56.0 | 4.4 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| North Carolina | Charlotte | .990 | 26.3 | 41.1 | 14.8 | 56.0 | W 38-20 | -21.0 | 48.0 | 8.3 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Notre Dame | Northern Illinois | .990 | 33.2 | 41.0 | 7.8 | 48.8 | L 14-16 | -28.0 | 47.5 | 35.2 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Ohio | South Alabama | .552 | 1.8 | 27.9 | 26.1 | 54.0 | W 27-20 | +1.0 | 55.5 | 5.2 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Western Michigan | .990 | 41.4 | 49.0 | 7.7 | 56.7 | W 56-0 | -37.0 | 54.5 | 14.6 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | Houston | .990 | 26.4 | 39.8 | 13.4 | 53.2 | W 16-12 | -27.5 | 50.0 | 22.4 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma State | Arkansas | .790 | 11.9 | 31.5 | 19.6 | 51.2 | W 39-31 | -10.0 | 60.5 | 3.9 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Old Dominion | East Carolina | .630 | 4.8 | 24.9 | 20.1 | 45.0 | L 14-20 | -1.5 | 53.5 | 10.8 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| Ole Miss | Middle Tennessee | .990 | 26.2 | 40.5 | 14.3 | 54.8 | W 52-3 | -42.0 | 61.5 | 22.8 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Oregon | Boise State | .967 | 23.9 | 41.4 | 17.5 | 58.9 | W 37-34 | -18.0 | 61.5 | 20.9 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Oregon State | San Diego State | .840 | 14.6 | 32.0 | 17.3 | 49.3 | W 21-0 | -5.5 | 53.5 | 6.4 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Penn State | Bowling Green | .990 | 35.8 | 40.9 | 5.0 | 45.9 | W 34-27 | -34.0 | 51.5 | 28.8 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Rutgers | Akron | .968 | 24.0 | 34.5 | 10.5 | 45.0 | W 49-17 | -24.5 | 41.5 | 8.0 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| SMU | BYU | .643 | 5.3 | 29.5 | 24.2 | 53.7 | L 15-18 | -12.5 | 56.0 | 8.3 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| Tennessee | NC State | .729 | 9.0 | 29.2 | 20.2 | 49.4 | W 51-10 | -8.0 | 60.0 | 32.0 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Toledo | Massachusetts | .990 | 28.4 | 41.6 | 13.3 | 54.9 | W 38-23 | -17.0 | 51.5 | 13.4 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| UAB | UL Monroe | .617 | 4.3 | 29.6 | 25.3 | 54.9 | L 6-32 | -11.0 | 55.5 | 30.3 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| UCF | Sam Houston | .895 | 18.1 | 34.6 | 16.5 | 51.1 | W 45-14 | -21.5 | 54.0 | 12.9 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| USC | Utah State | .990 | 27.9 | 45.9 | 18.0 | 63.9 | W 48-0 | -31.0 | 64.0 | 20.1 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Utah | Baylor | .823 | 13.7 | 30.2 | 16.5 | 46.6 | W 23-12 | -14.5 | 53.5 | 2.7 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| UTSA | Texas State | .567 | 2.4 | 28.2 | 25.8 | 54.0 | L 10-49 | +2.5 | 58.5 | 41.4 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Virginia Tech | Marshall | .725 | 8.8 | 30.6 | 21.9 | 52.5 | W 31-14 | -21.0 | 54.5 | 8.2 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Wake Forest | Virginia | .611 | 4.1 | 29.8 | 25.7 | 55.5 | L 30-31 | +1.0 | 55.5 | 5.1 | Loss | Push | Win | |||
| Washington | Eastern Michigan | .990 | 33.5 | 42.9 | 9.4 | 52.3 | W 30-9 | -24.5 | 49.0 | 12.5 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Washington State | Texas Tech | .579 | 2.8 | 27.5 | 24.7 | 52.1 | W 37-16 | +2.5 | 65.5 | 18.2 | Win | Win | Win | |||
Week 1 Game Projections |
Game Results |
Projection Results |
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| Projected Win | Projected Loss | PW | PM | PF | PA | PT | Final | CL | CT | PE | SU | ATS | O/U | |||
| Alabama | Western Kentucky | .990 | 31.8 | 42.8 | 11.0 | 53.8 | W 63-0 | -34.0 | 59.5 | 31.2 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Arizona | New Mexico | .990 | 27.8 | 41.7 | 13.9 | 55.6 | W 61-39 | -28.0 | 60.0 | 5.8 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Arizona State | Wyoming | .587 | 3.1 | 24.7 | 21.6 | 46.2 | W 48-7 | -6.5 | 46.0 | 37.9 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Boise State | Georgia Southern | .779 | 11.4 | 33.1 | 21.8 | 54.9 | W 56-45 | -13.0 | 57.5 | .4 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Eastern Michigan | Massachusetts | .697 | 7.6 | 29.9 | 22.4 | 52.3 | W 28-14 | +2.5 | 51.0 | 6.4 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida | Miami | .633 | 4.9 | 28.7 | 23.8 | 52.6 | L 17-41 | +2.0 | 54.0 | 28.9 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Florida State | Boston College | .884 | 17.3 | 36.2 | 18.9 | 55.0 | L 13-28 | -16.5 | 51.5 | 32.3 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Georgia | Clemson | .851 | 15.3 | 32.2 | 16.9 | 49.1 | W 34-3 | -10.5 | 50.0 | 15.7 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia State | .765 | 10.7 | 34.2 | 23.5 | 57.6 | W 35-12 | -20.5 | 54.5 | 12.3 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Houston | UNLV | .694 | 7.4 | 31.1 | 23.6 | 54.7 | L 7-27 | -3.5 | 55.5 | 27.4 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| Indiana | Florida International | .924 | 20.2 | 36.7 | 16.5 | 53.2 | W 31-7 | -26.0 | 51.5 | 3.8 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Jacksonville State | Coastal Carolina | .564 | 2.3 | 26.8 | 24.6 | 51.4 | L 27-55 | -3.5 | 54.5 | 30.3 | Loss | Win | Loss | |||
| James Madison | Charlotte | .940 | 21.5 | 36.8 | 15.4 | 52.2 | W 30-7 | -6.5 | 47.5 | 1.5 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Kentucky | Southern Mississippi | .966 | 23.8 | 37.0 | 13.2 | 50.2 | W 31-0 | -24.5 | 49.0 | 7.2 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| LSU | USC | .700 | 7.7 | 39.6 | 31.9 | 71.4 | L 20-27 | -4.0 | 66.0 | 14.7 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| Maryland | Connecticut | .990 | 28.4 | 40.0 | 11.6 | 51.6 | W 50-7 | -18.5 | 45.0 | 14.6 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan | Fresno State | .990 | 29.4 | 40.3 | 10.9 | 51.2 | W 30-10 | -20.5 | 45.5 | 9.4 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Michigan State | Florida Atlantic | .672 | 6.5 | 27.2 | 20.8 | 48.0 | W 16-10 | -12.0 | 44.5 | .5 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Nebraska | UTEP | .940 | 21.4 | 33.5 | 12.1 | 45.6 | W 40-7 | -27.5 | 48.5 | 11.6 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| North Carolina | Minnesota | .517 | .6 | 29.3 | 28.7 | 58.0 | W 19-17 | -2.0 | 52.5 | 1.4 | Win | Push | Loss | |||
| Northwestern | Miami (OH) | .684 | 7.0 | 24.4 | 17.4 | 41.8 | W 13-6 | -3.0 | 40.0 | .0 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | Texas A&M | .613 | 4.1 | 26.4 | 22.2 | 48.6 | W 23-13 | +3.0 | 47.5 | 5.9 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Ohio State | Akron | .990 | 55.1 | 55.1 | .0 | 55.1 | W 52-6 | -49.0 | 56.0 | 9.1 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma | Temple | .990 | 40.5 | 48.8 | 8.3 | 57.1 | W 51-3 | -42.5 | 57.5 | 7.5 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Penn State | West Virginia | .784 | 11.6 | 31.2 | 19.6 | 50.7 | W 34-12 | -7.5 | 48.5 | 10.4 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Pittsburgh | Kent State | .976 | 24.8 | 38.3 | 13.5 | 51.7 | W 55-24 | -24.0 | 55.5 | 6.2 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Rice | Sam Houston | .577 | 2.8 | 25.1 | 22.3 | 47.4 | L 14-34 | -10.0 | 49.0 | 22.8 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| South Alabama | North Texas | .799 | 12.4 | 35.3 | 22.9 | 58.1 | L 38-52 | -6.0 | 61.5 | 26.4 | Loss | Loss | Loss | |||
| South Carolina | Old Dominion | .883 | 17.3 | 32.0 | 14.7 | 46.7 | W 23-19 | -20.5 | 49.0 | 13.3 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| Syracuse | Ohio | .562 | 2.2 | 25.1 | 22.8 | 47.9 | W 38-22 | -17.0 | 44.5 | 13.8 | Win | Win | Win | |||
| TCU | Stanford | .757 | 10.3 | 33.7 | 23.4 | 57.1 | W 34-27 | -7.5 | 59.0 | 3.3 | Win | Loss | Loss | |||
| Texas | Colorado State | .990 | 33.9 | 42.3 | 8.4 | 50.6 | W 52-0 | -35.0 | 62.5 | 18.1 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| Troy | Nevada | .891 | 17.8 | 31.8 | 14.0 | 45.8 | L 26-28 | -7.5 | 44.5 | 19.8 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| UCLA | Hawaii | .907 | 18.9 | 35.0 | 16.2 | 51.2 | W 16-13 | -13.5 | 52.0 | 15.9 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
| UTSA | Kennesaw State | .918 | 19.7 | 37.2 | 17.5 | 54.7 | W 28-16 | -23.5 | 48.0 | 7.7 | Win | Win | Loss | |||
| Virginia Tech | Vanderbilt | .758 | 10.3 | 32.2 | 21.9 | 54.1 | L 27-34 | -13.0 | 49.0 | 17.3 | Loss | Win | Win | |||
| Wisconsin | Western Michigan | .980 | 25.3 | 38.9 | 13.6 | 52.5 | W 28-14 | -24.0 | 57.0 | 11.3 | Win | Loss | Win | |||
Week 0 Game Projections |
Game Results |
Projection Results |
||||||||||||||
| Projected Win | Projected Loss | PW | PM | PF | PA | PT | Final | CL | CT | PE | SU | ATS | O/U | |||
| Florida State | Georgia Tech | .828 | 14.0 | 33.6 | 19.6 | 53.3 | L 21-24 | -10.0 | 55.0 | 17.0 | Loss | Loss | Win | |||
| SMU | Nevada | .910 | 19.1 | 34.8 | 15.7 | 50.6 | W 29-24 | -27.0 | 55.5 | 14.1 | Win | Win | Win | |||