2020 Game Projections
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Game projections and results on this page were published in the given season and are provided only for reference. The formula used to calculate game projections has been updated each season. Data comparisons between season results may be misleading.
Game Projections identify the projected winner's per possession team scoring advantage (TA), per possession offensive scoring advantage (OA), and per possession defensive scoring advantage (DA) in the game, calculated from current FEI ratings. The projected win likelihood (PWL) and projected margin of victory (PM) are a function of these ratings and an adjusment for home field advantage. Remaining columns detail the results of the game projections including the actual final score of the game (Final), the actual margin of victory (FM), the game projection error calculated as the absolute value of the delta between projected margin and actual margin (PE), and whether the game projection correctly identified the game winner (SU) and winner against the betting line (ATS).
Average projection error (APE) is the average delta between projected margin and actual margin for all game projections, and median projection error (MPE) is the median delta. The percentage of games won by projected winners (SU) is indicated along with the percentage of games won by projected winners within a given expected win likelihood range. (50-55 indicates games in which the projected win likelihood was between 50 and 55 percent, 95+ indicates games in which the projected win likelihood was greater than 95 percent, etc). The percentage of games won against the spread (ATS) is indicated along with ATS success rates according to the delta between FEI projections and betting lines (3- indicates games in which the FEI projection and betting line differed by fewer than three points, 10+ indicates games in which the FEI projection and betting line differed by more than ten points, etc), and the ATS success rate in games in which FEI projections pick the underdog to win (U).
Results (final)
| APE | MPE | SU | 50-55 | 55-65 | 65-75 | 75-85 | 85-95 | 95+ | ATS | 3- | 3+ | 7- | 7+ | 10- | 10+ | U | ||
| 13.3 | 11.2 |
.728 | .548 | .680 | .717 | .720 | .888 | .923 | .503 | .475 | .512 | .491 | .510 | .491 | .543 | .567 |
Championship Game Projection
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Alabama | Ohio State | .35 | 2.16 | -1.57 | .687 | 6.8 | W 52-24 | 28 | 21.2 | Win | Loss |
Bowl Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Alabama | Notre Dame | .63 | 1.82 | -.65 | .814 | 12.8 | W 31-14 | 17 | 4.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Appalachian State | North Texas | 1.22 | 1.72 | .87 | .965 | 26.0 | W 56-28 | 28 | 2.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Army | West Virginia | .02 | -.72 | .55 | .511 | .3 | L 21-24 | -3 | 3.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Buffalo | Marshall | .16 | .36 | -.01 | .591 | 3.1 | W 17-10 | 7 | 3.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| BYU | UCF | .70 | 1.85 | -.53 | .841 | 14.4 | W 49-23 | 26 | 11.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Coastal Carolina | Liberty | .75 | 1.59 | .12 | .861 | 15.6 | L 34-37 | -3 | 18.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Georgia | Cincinnati | .03 | -.27 | .25 | .516 | .5 | W 24-21 | 3 | 2.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia Southern | Louisiana Tech | .60 | .50 | 1.08 | .804 | 12.3 | W 38-3 | 35 | 22.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia State | Western Kentucky | .40 | .20 | .95 | .714 | 8.0 | W 39-21 | 18 | 10.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Houston | Hawaii | .42 | .84 | -.12 | .725 | 8.4 | L 14-28 | -14 | 22.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Indiana | Ole Miss | .53 | 1.50 | -.40 | .775 | 10.8 | L 20-26 | -6 | 16.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Iowa State | Oregon | .15 | .72 | -.02 | .586 | 2.9 | W 34-17 | 17 | 14.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana | UTSA | .72 | .94 | .82 | .850 | 14.9 | W 31-24 | 7 | 7.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Memphis | Florida Atlantic | .23 | -.17 | .56 | .626 | 4.4 | W 25-10 | 15 | 10.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| NC State | Kentucky | .12 | .06 | .33 | .568 | 2.3 | L 21-23 | -2 | 4.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Northwestern | Auburn | .26 | .02 | .87 | .643 | 5.0 | W 35-19 | 16 | 11.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Clemson | .00 | .40 | -.65 | .502 | .1 | W 49-28 | 21 | 20.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | Florida | .11 | .94 | -.92 | .562 | 2.1 | W 55-20 | 35 | 32.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma State | Miami | .01 | -.03 | -.03 | .507 | .2 | W 37-34 | 3 | 2.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| San Jose State | Ball State | .21 | .59 | -.10 | .614 | 3.9 | L 13-34 | -21 | 24.9 | Loss | Win | |||
| Texas | Colorado | .42 | .60 | .04 | .723 | 8.3 | W 55-23 | 32 | 23.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Texas A&M | North Carolina | .03 | 1.26 | -1.42 | .519 | .6 | W 41-27 | 14 | 13.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Tulane | Nevada | .19 | .57 | -.20 | .606 | 3.7 | L 27-38 | -11 | 14.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Tulsa | Mississippi State | .38 | -.53 | 1.37 | .703 | 7.5 | L 26-28 | -2 | 9.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Wisconsin | Wake Forest | .48 | .21 | .58 | .752 | 9.7 | W 42-28 | 14 | 4.3 | Win | Loss |
Week 16 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Air Force | Army | .18 | .23 | .17 | .516 | .5 | L 7-10 | -3 | 3.5 | Loss | Win | |||
| Alabama | Florida | .84 | 2.32 | -.67 | .889 | 17.6 | W 52-46 | 6 | 11.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Arizona State | Oregon State | .40 | .84 | .01 | .640 | 4.9 | W 46-33 | 13 | 8.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Boise State | San Jose State | .22 | .47 | -.20 | .624 | 4.3 | L 20-34 | -14 | 18.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Buffalo | Ball State | .46 | 1.26 | -.17 | .743 | 9.2 | L 28-38 | -10 | 19.2 | Loss | Win | |||
| Cincinnati | Tulsa | .51 | -.39 | 1.37 | .823 | 13.3 | W 27-24 | 3 | 10.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Clemson | Notre Dame | .18 | .48 | .09 | .600 | 3.4 | W 34-10 | 24 | 20.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| LSU | Ole Miss | -.08 | .94 | -1.42 | .547 | 1.6 | W 53-48 | 5 | 3.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Marshall | UAB | .22 | .02 | .64 | .697 | 7.2 | L 13-22 | -9 | 16.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Mississippi State | Missouri | -.08 | -.06 | .12 | .545 | 1.5 | W 51-32 | 19 | 17.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Northwestern | .66 | .65 | .70 | .828 | 13.6 | W 22-10 | 12 | 1.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | Iowa State | .16 | .46 | -.48 | .591 | 3.1 | W 27-21 | 6 | 2.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Penn State | Illinois | .54 | .64 | .57 | .835 | 14.0 | W 56-21 | 35 | 21.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Rutgers | Nebraska | -.12 | -.46 | .12 | .523 | .8 | L 21-28 | -7 | 7.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Texas A&M | Tennessee | .65 | .60 | .58 | .764 | 10.2 | W 34-13 | 21 | 10.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| UCLA | Stanford | .22 | .99 | -.39 | .696 | 7.2 | L 47-48 | -1 | 8.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| USC | Oregon | .09 | .67 | -.21 | .635 | 4.7 | L 24-31 | -7 | 11.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Utah | Washington State | .40 | .58 | .35 | .778 | 11.0 | W 45-28 | 17 | 6.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Wisconsin | Minnesota | .63 | .72 | .35 | .865 | 15.9 | W 20-17 | 3 | 12.9 | Win | Loss |
Week 15 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Alabama | Arkansas | 1.45 | 2.43 | .41 | .973 | 27.8 | W 52-3 | 49 | 21.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Appalachian State | Georgia Southern | .33 | -.02 | .65 | .599 | 3.4 | W 34-26 | 8 | 4.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Arizona State | Arizona | .41 | .59 | .33 | .648 | 5.2 | W 70-7 | 63 | 57.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Army | Navy | .53 | .54 | .44 | .829 | 13.7 | W 15-0 | 15 | 1.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Auburn | Mississippi State | .40 | .01 | .46 | .639 | 4.9 | W 24-10 | 14 | 9.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Ball State | Western Michigan | -.05 | 1.24 | -1.54 | .564 | 2.2 | W 30-27 | 3 | .8 | Win | Win | |||
| Boise State | Wyoming | .44 | .18 | .58 | .664 | 5.9 | W 17-9 | 8 | 2.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Buffalo | Akron | 1.49 | 2.02 | 1.34 | .990 | 34.7 | W 56-7 | 49 | 14.3 | Win | Win | |||
| BYU | San Diego State | 1.03 | .92 | 1.48 | .959 | 24.8 | W 28-14 | 14 | 10.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Coastal Carolina | Troy | .77 | .84 | .97 | .818 | 13.0 | W 42-38 | 4 | 9.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Eastern Michigan | Northern Illinois | .19 | .08 | .07 | .682 | 6.6 | W 41-33 | 8 | 1.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida | LSU | .72 | 1.59 | .20 | .893 | 17.9 | L 34-37 | -3 | 20.9 | Loss | Win | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Southern Mississippi | .53 | .28 | .97 | .707 | 7.6 | L 31-45 | -14 | 21.6 | Loss | Win | |||
| Florida State | Duke | -.01 | -.17 | .19 | .585 | 2.9 | W 56-35 | 21 | 18.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Fresno State | New Mexico | .41 | .31 | .65 | .721 | 8.3 | L 39-49 | -10 | 18.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Georgia | Missouri | .68 | .80 | .58 | .781 | 11.1 | W 49-14 | 35 | 23.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Hawaii | UNLV | .57 | 1.47 | -.18 | .846 | 14.7 | W 38-21 | 17 | 2.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Houston | Memphis | .26 | .69 | -.25 | .560 | 2.0 | L 27-30 | -3 | 5.0 | Loss | Win | |||
| Maryland | Rutgers | -.01 | -.03 | .02 | .584 | 2.8 | L 24-27 | -3 | 5.8 | Loss | Win | |||
| Miami | North Carolina | .13 | 1.10 | -1.03 | .655 | 5.5 | L 26-62 | -36 | 41.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Nebraska | Minnesota | -.05 | .64 | -.93 | .560 | 2.0 | L 17-24 | -7 | 9.0 | Loss | Win | |||
| North Texas | UTEP | .32 | 1.00 | -.22 | .596 | 3.3 | W 45-43 | 2 | 1.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Northwestern | Illinois | .65 | .05 | 1.37 | .873 | 16.5 | W 28-10 | 18 | 1.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma State | Baylor | .19 | -.44 | .77 | .519 | .6 | W 42-3 | 39 | 38.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oregon State | Stanford | -.04 | .95 | -1.07 | .569 | 2.3 | L 24-27 | -3 | 5.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Penn State | Michigan State | .30 | -.31 | .98 | .734 | 8.8 | W 39-24 | 15 | 6.2 | Win | Push | |||
| Pittsburgh | Georgia Tech | .43 | -.07 | .55 | .657 | 5.6 | W 34-20 | 14 | 8.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| San Jose State | Nevada | .08 | .56 | -.31 | .545 | 1.5 | W 30-20 | 10 | 8.5 | Win | Win | |||
| TCU | Louisiana Tech | .64 | .42 | 1.08 | .869 | 16.2 | W 52-10 | 42 | 25.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Tennessee | Vanderbilt | .71 | .91 | .44 | .792 | 11.6 | W 42-17 | 25 | 13.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Toledo | Central Michigan | .13 | .19 | .23 | .654 | 5.5 | W 24-23 | 1 | 4.5 | Win | Win | |||
| UAB | Rice | .51 | -.14 | 1.04 | .697 | 7.2 | W 21-16 | 5 | 2.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| USC | UCLA | .25 | .41 | .12 | .556 | 1.9 | W 43-38 | 5 | 3.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Utah | Colorado | .28 | -.15 | .57 | .571 | 2.4 | W 38-21 | 17 | 14.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Virginia Tech | Virginia | -.05 | .17 | -.36 | .559 | 2.0 | W 33-15 | 18 | 16.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Wake Forest | Louisville | .20 | .96 | -.55 | .524 | .8 | L 21-45 | -24 | 24.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Wisconsin | Iowa | .18 | -.24 | .90 | .513 | .4 | L 7-28 | -21 | 21.4 | Loss | Win |
Week 14 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Air Force | Utah State | .80 | 1.06 | .62 | .831 | 13.8 | W 35-7 | 28 | 14.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Akron | Bowling Green | -.03 | .03 | -.11 | .571 | 2.4 | W 31-3 | 28 | 25.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Alabama | LSU | 1.28 | 2.32 | .58 | .955 | 24.2 | W 55-17 | 38 | 13.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Appalachian State | Louisiana | .03 | .09 | .04 | .602 | 3.5 | L 21-24 | -3 | 6.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Arizona State | UCLA | -.04 | -.16 | -.01 | .567 | 2.3 | L 18-25 | -7 | 9.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Arkansas State | UL Monroe | .80 | 1.62 | .15 | .915 | 19.8 | W 48-15 | 33 | 13.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Auburn | Texas A&M | -.15 | -.21 | -.34 | .503 | .1 | L 20-31 | -11 | 11.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| BYU | Coastal Carolina | .50 | 1.27 | -.23 | .696 | 7.2 | L 17-22 | -5 | 12.2 | Loss | Win | |||
| Central Michigan | Ball State | .22 | .48 | -.08 | .696 | 7.2 | L 20-45 | -25 | 32.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Charlotte | Western Kentucky | -.03 | .10 | .02 | .573 | 2.5 | L 19-37 | -18 | 20.5 | Loss | Win | |||
| Clemson | Virginia Tech | .91 | 1.42 | .65 | .869 | 16.2 | W 45-10 | 35 | 18.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Colorado | Arizona | .36 | .93 | .00 | .621 | 4.2 | W 24-13 | 11 | 6.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida | Tennessee | .92 | 1.51 | .25 | .872 | 16.4 | W 31-19 | 12 | 4.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia Southern | Florida Atlantic | -.02 | -.71 | .79 | .575 | 2.5 | W 20-3 | 17 | 14.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa | Illinois | .88 | .24 | 1.25 | .858 | 15.4 | W 35-21 | 14 | 1.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa State | West Virginia | .27 | .13 | .67 | .722 | 8.3 | W 42-6 | 36 | 27.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Kentucky | South Carolina | .24 | .14 | .13 | .706 | 7.6 | W 41-18 | 23 | 15.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Tech | North Texas | .44 | .66 | -.07 | .663 | 5.8 | W 42-31 | 11 | 5.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Marshall | Rice | 1.12 | .92 | 1.43 | .969 | 26.8 | L 0-20 | -20 | 46.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Miami | Duke | .68 | .72 | .97 | .781 | 11.1 | W 48-0 | 48 | 36.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Missouri | Arkansas | .04 | -.21 | .14 | .610 | 3.8 | W 50-48 | 2 | 1.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| NC State | Georgia Tech | .32 | .40 | .10 | .743 | 9.3 | W 23-13 | 10 | .7 | Win | Win | |||
| Nevada | Fresno State | .05 | .20 | -.10 | .612 | 3.9 | W 37-26 | 11 | 7.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | Syracuse | 1.33 | 1.32 | 1.88 | .990 | 31.3 | W 45-21 | 24 | 7.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Michigan State | 1.14 | 1.42 | 1.02 | .930 | 21.2 | W 52-12 | 40 | 18.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma | Baylor | .66 | .86 | .53 | .874 | 16.5 | W 27-14 | 13 | 3.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma State | TCU | .17 | -.30 | .60 | .508 | .3 | L 22-29 | -7 | 7.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Oregon | California | .66 | .81 | .38 | .769 | 10.5 | L 17-21 | -4 | 14.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Penn State | Rutgers | .40 | .38 | .63 | .638 | 4.9 | W 23-7 | 16 | 11.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Purdue | Nebraska | .10 | .77 | -.45 | .638 | 4.9 | L 27-37 | -10 | 14.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| San Diego State | Colorado State | .49 | .00 | 1.06 | .816 | 13.0 | W 29-17 | 12 | 1.0 | Win | Win | |||
| San Jose State | Hawaii | .23 | .62 | -.51 | .544 | 1.4 | W 35-24 | 11 | 9.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas | Kansas State | .39 | .69 | .27 | .637 | 4.8 | W 69-31 | 38 | 33.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas Tech | Kansas | .80 | 1.06 | .64 | .915 | 19.7 | W 16-13 | 3 | 16.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Toledo | Northern Illinois | .33 | -.02 | .71 | .602 | 3.5 | W 41-24 | 17 | 13.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Troy | South Alabama | .23 | .07 | .46 | .545 | 1.5 | W 29-0 | 29 | 27.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Tulane | Memphis | .10 | .26 | -.39 | .640 | 4.9 | W 35-21 | 14 | 9.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Tulsa | Navy | .65 | .46 | 1.00 | .766 | 10.4 | W 19-6 | 13 | 2.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| USC | Washington State | .15 | .97 | -.39 | .665 | 5.9 | W 38-13 | 25 | 19.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Utah | Oregon State | .43 | .64 | .42 | .791 | 11.6 | W 30-24 | 6 | 5.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Virginia | Boston College | -.01 | .27 | .05 | .580 | 2.7 | W 43-32 | 11 | 8.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Washington | Stanford | .68 | 1.19 | .58 | .881 | 17.0 | L 26-31 | -5 | 22.0 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Western Michigan | Eastern Michigan | .55 | 1.65 | -.32 | .837 | 14.1 | L 42-53 | -11 | 25.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Wisconsin | Indiana | .35 | -.15 | .79 | .756 | 9.8 | L 6-14 | -8 | 17.8 | Loss | Win | |||
| Wyoming | New Mexico | .72 | .41 | .98 | .795 | 11.8 | L 16-17 | -1 | 12.8 | Loss | Win |
Week 13 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Alabama | Auburn | .90 | 1.80 | .22 | .937 | 21.9 | W 42-13 | 29 | 7.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Appalachian State | Troy | .27 | -.11 | .88 | .720 | 8.2 | W 47-10 | 37 | 28.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Arkansas State | South Alabama | .10 | .75 | -.17 | .639 | 4.9 | L 31-38 | -7 | 11.9 | Loss | Win | |||
| Baylor | Kansas State | .09 | -.09 | .40 | .634 | 4.7 | W 32-31 | 1 | 3.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Boston College | Louisville | .03 | .39 | -.56 | .602 | 3.5 | W 34-27 | 7 | 3.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Buffalo | Kent State | .39 | 1.29 | -.29 | .774 | 10.7 | W 70-41 | 29 | 18.3 | Win | Win | |||
| California | Stanford | -.14 | .04 | -.35 | .511 | .4 | L 23-24 | -1 | 1.4 | Loss | Win | |||
| Central Michigan | Eastern Michigan | .38 | .57 | .30 | .631 | 4.6 | W 31-23 | 8 | 3.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Clemson | Pittsburgh | .90 | .80 | 1.54 | .937 | 21.9 | W 52-17 | 35 | 13.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Coastal Carolina | Texas State | .84 | 1.61 | .29 | .843 | 14.5 | W 49-14 | 35 | 20.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Colorado | San Diego State | -.03 | -.17 | .20 | .573 | 2.4 | W 20-10 | 10 | 7.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Duke | Georgia Tech | .21 | -.27 | .26 | .534 | 1.1 | L 33-56 | -23 | 24.1 | Loss | Win | |||
| Florida | Kentucky | .81 | 1.43 | .41 | .918 | 20.0 | W 34-10 | 24 | 4.0 | Win | Push | |||
| Georgia | South Carolina | .90 | .71 | .84 | .866 | 16.0 | W 45-16 | 29 | 13.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Georgia Southern | Georgia State | .18 | .09 | .30 | .512 | .4 | L 24-30 | -6 | 6.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Indiana | Maryland | .66 | .87 | .61 | .875 | 16.6 | W 27-11 | 16 | .6 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa | Nebraska | .82 | .56 | .94 | .919 | 20.1 | W 26-20 | 6 | 14.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Liberty | Massachusetts | 1.35 | 2.09 | .90 | .990 | 31.8 | W 45-0 | 45 | 13.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana | UL Monroe | 1.38 | 1.44 | 1.13 | .967 | 26.3 | W 70-20 | 50 | 23.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Memphis | Navy | .45 | 1.39 | -.26 | .670 | 6.1 | W 10-7 | 3 | 3.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Miami (OH) | Akron | .83 | .84 | .87 | .841 | 14.4 | W 38-7 | 31 | 16.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan | Penn State | .04 | .29 | -.31 | .607 | 3.7 | L 17-27 | -10 | 13.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Missouri | Vanderbilt | .64 | .73 | .34 | .870 | 16.2 | W 41-0 | 41 | 24.8 | Win | Win | |||
| NC State | Syracuse | .50 | .21 | 1.08 | .692 | 7.0 | W 36-29 | 7 | .0 | Win | Win | |||
| Nevada | Hawaii | .22 | .37 | -.16 | .538 | 1.3 | L 21-24 | -3 | 4.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Northwestern | Michigan State | .69 | -.41 | 1.87 | .784 | 11.3 | L 20-29 | -9 | 20.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Notre Dame | North Carolina | .47 | 1.55 | -.79 | .678 | 6.4 | W 31-17 | 14 | 7.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio | Bowling Green | 1.00 | 1.15 | .84 | .954 | 24.0 | W 52-10 | 42 | 18.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | .46 | .38 | .55 | .803 | 12.2 | W 50-44 | 6 | 6.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Ole Miss | Mississippi State | .29 | .95 | -.39 | .732 | 8.7 | W 31-24 | 7 | 1.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Oregon | Oregon State | .73 | 1.59 | .05 | .800 | 12.1 | L 38-41 | -3 | 15.1 | Loss | Win | |||
| Purdue | Rutgers | .40 | .68 | .34 | .778 | 10.9 | L 30-37 | -7 | 17.9 | Loss | Win | |||
| SMU | East Carolina | .51 | 1.00 | .38 | .701 | 7.4 | L 38-52 | -14 | 21.4 | Loss | Win | |||
| TCU | Kansas | 1.04 | .75 | 1.37 | .906 | 18.9 | W 59-23 | 36 | 17.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas | Iowa State | -.03 | .11 | -.50 | .575 | 2.5 | L 20-23 | -3 | 5.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Texas A&M | LSU | .25 | 1.17 | -.24 | .710 | 7.8 | W 20-7 | 13 | 5.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Toledo | Ball State | .29 | .96 | -.11 | .729 | 8.6 | L 24-27 | -3 | 11.6 | Loss | Win | |||
| UCF | South Florida | 1.12 | 1.82 | .74 | .925 | 20.7 | W 58-46 | 12 | 8.7 | Win | Win | |||
| UCLA | Arizona | .37 | 1.09 | -.06 | .768 | 10.4 | W 27-10 | 17 | 6.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Utah State | New Mexico | .01 | .05 | -.20 | .594 | 3.2 | W 41-27 | 14 | 10.8 | Win | Win | |||
| UTSA | North Texas | .31 | .52 | -.29 | .739 | 9.1 | W 49-17 | 32 | 22.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Washington | Utah | .19 | -.14 | .88 | .684 | 6.7 | W 24-21 | 3 | 3.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Western Michigan | Northern Illinois | .72 | 1.27 | .21 | .893 | 17.9 | W 30-27 | 3 | 14.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Wyoming | UNLV | .67 | .63 | .52 | .773 | 10.7 | W 45-14 | 31 | 20.3 | Win | Loss |
Week 12 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Air Force | New Mexico | .81 | 1.24 | .46 | .917 | 19.9 | W 28-0 | 28 | 8.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Alabama | Kentucky | 1.17 | 2.09 | .67 | .973 | 27.8 | W 63-3 | 60 | 32.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Army | Georgia Southern | .17 | -.09 | .25 | .673 | 6.2 | W 28-27 | 1 | 5.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Auburn | Tennessee | .58 | .29 | .69 | .847 | 14.8 | W 30-17 | 13 | 1.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Ball State | Northern Illinois | .19 | .11 | .12 | .682 | 6.6 | W 31-25 | 6 | .6 | Win | Win | |||
| Boise State | Hawaii | .75 | 1.03 | .17 | .810 | 12.6 | W 40-32 | 8 | 4.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Buffalo | Bowling Green | 1.29 | 1.38 | 1.50 | .956 | 24.4 | W 42-17 | 25 | .6 | Win | Win | |||
| California | Oregon State | .34 | .51 | -.27 | .605 | 3.6 | L 27-31 | -4 | 7.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Cincinnati | UCF | .29 | .21 | .01 | .577 | 2.6 | W 36-33 | 3 | .4 | Win | Win | |||
| Coastal Carolina | Appalachian State | .06 | -.11 | -.05 | .618 | 4.1 | W 34-23 | 11 | 6.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida | Vanderbilt | 1.50 | 2.27 | .65 | .975 | 28.7 | W 38-17 | 21 | 7.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Massachusetts | 1.56 | 1.66 | 1.57 | .990 | 36.0 | W 24-2 | 22 | 14.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Georgia | Mississippi State | .83 | -.37 | 1.83 | .921 | 20.2 | W 31-24 | 7 | 13.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia State | South Alabama | .16 | .47 | .15 | .500 | .0 | W 31-14 | 17 | 17.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Iowa | Penn State | .34 | -.32 | .68 | .605 | 3.6 | W 41-21 | 20 | 16.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa State | Kansas State | .09 | .55 | .11 | .635 | 4.7 | W 45-0 | 45 | 40.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Kent State | Akron | .91 | .93 | .90 | .938 | 22.0 | W 69-35 | 34 | 12.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisville | Syracuse | .28 | .57 | .51 | .727 | 8.5 | W 30-0 | 30 | 21.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| LSU | Arkansas | .30 | .48 | -.23 | .584 | 2.8 | W 27-24 | 3 | .2 | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan | Rutgers | .71 | .93 | .69 | .792 | 11.6 | W 48-42 | 6 | 5.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Minnesota | Purdue | -.02 | .74 | -.61 | .580 | 2.7 | W 34-31 | 3 | .3 | Win | Win | |||
| NC State | Liberty | .20 | .82 | -.67 | .686 | 6.8 | W 15-14 | 1 | 5.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Nebraska | Illinois | .43 | .45 | .58 | .792 | 11.7 | L 23-41 | -18 | 29.7 | Loss | Win | |||
| North Texas | Rice | -.09 | .29 | -.38 | .539 | 1.3 | W 27-17 | 10 | 8.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Ohio State | Indiana | .79 | 1.41 | .35 | .911 | 19.4 | W 42-35 | 7 | 12.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | .25 | .39 | .12 | .713 | 7.9 | W 41-13 | 28 | 20.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Oregon | UCLA | .91 | 1.02 | .08 | .939 | 22.1 | W 38-35 | 3 | 19.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| San Diego State | Nevada | .40 | -.04 | .81 | .641 | 5.0 | L 21-26 | -5 | 10.0 | Loss | Loss | |||
| South Carolina | Missouri | -.15 | .19 | -.29 | .504 | .1 | L 10-17 | -7 | 7.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Temple | East Carolina | -.08 | -.10 | .03 | .543 | 1.4 | L 3-28 | -25 | 26.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Texas State | Arkansas State | -.12 | .35 | -.95 | .523 | .7 | W 47-45 | 2 | 1.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Toledo | Eastern Michigan | .21 | .59 | -.24 | .531 | 1.0 | W 45-28 | 17 | 16.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Troy | Middle Tennessee | .79 | .81 | .79 | .913 | 19.5 | L 17-20 | -3 | 22.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Tulsa | Tulane | .14 | .09 | .61 | .658 | 5.6 | W 30-24 | 6 | .4 | Win | Win | |||
| Utah | USC | .38 | .42 | .17 | .768 | 10.4 | L 17-33 | -16 | 26.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| UTSA | Southern Mississippi | .35 | .54 | .00 | .613 | 3.9 | W 23-20 | 3 | .9 | Win | Win | |||
| Virginia Tech | Pittsburgh | .31 | .27 | .48 | .590 | 3.1 | L 14-47 | -33 | 36.1 | Loss | Win | |||
| Washington | Arizona | .72 | .96 | .61 | .894 | 18.0 | W 44-27 | 17 | 1.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Western Kentucky | Florida International | -.03 | -.11 | .11 | .571 | 2.4 | W 38-21 | 17 | 14.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Western Michigan | Central Michigan | .20 | .69 | -.28 | .526 | .8 | W 52-44 | 8 | 7.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Wisconsin | Northwestern | .69 | .18 | 1.27 | .785 | 11.3 | L 7-17 | -10 | 21.3 | Loss | Loss |
Week 11 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Appalachian State | Georgia State | .67 | .87 | .61 | .878 | 16.8 | W 17-13 | 4 | 12.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Army | Tulane | .22 | .45 | .09 | .537 | 1.2 | L 12-38 | -26 | 27.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Ball State | Eastern Michigan | -.03 | .57 | -.50 | .571 | 2.4 | W 38-31 | 7 | 4.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Baylor | Texas Tech | .26 | .41 | .08 | .564 | 2.1 | L 23-24 | -1 | 3.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Boise State | Colorado State | .71 | 1.22 | .35 | .889 | 17.6 | W 52-21 | 31 | 13.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Buffalo | Miami (OH) | .26 | .14 | .56 | .716 | 8.0 | W 42-10 | 32 | 24.0 | Win | Win | |||
| California | UCLA | .16 | .36 | -.04 | .502 | .1 | L 10-34 | -24 | 24.1 | Loss | Win | |||
| Central Michigan | Northern Illinois | .23 | .07 | .49 | .541 | 1.4 | W 40-10 | 30 | 28.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Cincinnati | East Carolina | 1.15 | .76 | 1.69 | .971 | 27.4 | W 55-17 | 38 | 10.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida | Arkansas | .66 | .86 | .42 | .875 | 16.6 | W 63-35 | 28 | 11.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Florida International | .50 | .44 | .81 | .694 | 7.1 | W 38-19 | 19 | 11.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Fresno State | Utah State | .41 | .58 | .27 | .647 | 5.2 | W 35-16 | 19 | 13.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Georgia Southern | Texas State | .47 | .55 | .48 | .806 | 12.4 | W 40-38 | 2 | 10.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Houston | South Florida | .63 | .88 | .62 | .866 | 16.0 | W 56-21 | 35 | 19.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Indiana | Michigan State | .45 | .29 | .52 | .668 | 6.0 | W 24-0 | 24 | 18.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Iowa | Minnesota | .30 | .37 | -.21 | .583 | 2.8 | W 35-7 | 28 | 25.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Kent State | Bowling Green | .61 | .75 | .32 | .746 | 9.4 | W 62-24 | 38 | 28.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Kentucky | Vanderbilt | .87 | .31 | 1.08 | .931 | 21.2 | W 38-35 | 3 | 18.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana | South Alabama | .52 | .60 | .54 | .825 | 13.4 | W 38-10 | 28 | 14.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Marshall | Middle Tennessee | 1.13 | 1.27 | 1.01 | .970 | 26.9 | W 42-14 | 28 | 1.1 | Win | Win | |||
| NC State | Florida State | .33 | .58 | .13 | .746 | 9.4 | W 38-22 | 16 | 6.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Nevada | New Mexico | .51 | .96 | .11 | .763 | 10.2 | W 27-20 | 7 | 3.2 | Win | Win | |||
| North Carolina | Wake Forest | .21 | 1.25 | -.58 | .693 | 7.1 | W 59-53 | 6 | 1.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Northwestern | Purdue | .30 | -.05 | .75 | .586 | 2.9 | W 27-20 | 7 | 4.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | Boston College | .82 | 1.21 | .65 | .836 | 14.1 | W 45-31 | 14 | .1 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio | Akron | 1.15 | 1.29 | 1.01 | .972 | 27.5 | W 24-10 | 14 | 13.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Ole Miss | South Carolina | .31 | 1.31 | -.79 | .740 | 9.1 | W 59-42 | 17 | 7.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oregon | Washington State | .43 | 1.21 | -.29 | .658 | 5.6 | W 43-29 | 14 | 8.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Penn State | Nebraska | .44 | .32 | .44 | .663 | 5.8 | L 23-30 | -7 | 12.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Rutgers | Illinois | .03 | -.30 | .43 | .603 | 3.5 | L 20-23 | -3 | 6.5 | Loss | Win | |||
| San Diego State | Hawaii | .45 | .39 | .43 | .798 | 12.0 | W 34-10 | 24 | 12.0 | Win | Win | |||
| San Jose State | UNLV | .67 | 1.10 | .13 | .878 | 16.8 | W 34-17 | 17 | .2 | Win | Push | |||
| Stanford | Colorado | .08 | .70 | -.53 | .627 | 4.4 | L 32-35 | -3 | 7.4 | Loss | Win | |||
| Tulsa | SMU | .01 | -.07 | -.29 | .594 | 3.2 | W 28-24 | 4 | .8 | Win | Win | |||
| UCF | Temple | .87 | 1.43 | .34 | .930 | 21.1 | W 38-13 | 25 | 3.9 | Win | Win | |||
| USC | Arizona | .56 | 1.13 | -.03 | .722 | 8.3 | W 34-30 | 4 | 4.3 | Win | Win | |||
| UTSA | UTEP | .58 | .45 | .64 | .848 | 14.8 | W 52-21 | 31 | 16.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Virginia | Louisville | .03 | .58 | -.46 | .604 | 3.6 | W 31-17 | 14 | 10.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Virginia Tech | Miami | -.13 | .39 | -.72 | .517 | .6 | L 24-25 | -1 | 1.6 | Loss | Win | |||
| Washington | Oregon State | .86 | 1.26 | .55 | .927 | 20.9 | W 27-21 | 6 | 14.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| West Virginia | TCU | -.12 | -.93 | .71 | .523 | .8 | W 24-6 | 18 | 17.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Western Kentucky | Southern Mississippi | .21 | .33 | .08 | .693 | 7.1 | W 10-7 | 3 | 4.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Western Michigan | Toledo | .31 | 1.05 | -.21 | .741 | 9.1 | W 41-38 | 3 | 6.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Wisconsin | Michigan | .38 | .59 | .24 | .628 | 4.5 | W 49-11 | 38 | 33.5 | Win | Loss |
Week 10 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Appalachian State | Texas State | .84 | 1.12 | 1.05 | .844 | 14.6 | W 38-17 | 21 | 6.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Arkansas | Tennessee | -.03 | -.41 | .18 | .573 | 2.5 | W 24-13 | 11 | 8.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Boston College | Syracuse | .46 | .39 | .64 | .671 | 6.1 | W 16-13 | 3 | 3.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Buffalo | Northern Illinois | .21 | .07 | .63 | .531 | 1.0 | W 49-30 | 19 | 18.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| BYU | Boise State | .34 | 1.28 | -.34 | .609 | 3.7 | W 51-17 | 34 | 30.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Cincinnati | Houston | .44 | -.06 | .91 | .795 | 11.8 | W 38-10 | 28 | 16.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Clemson | Notre Dame | .29 | .50 | .27 | .576 | 2.6 | L 40-47 | -7 | 9.6 | Loss | Win | |||
| Coastal Carolina | South Alabama | .66 | 1.10 | .36 | .874 | 16.5 | W 23-6 | 17 | .5 | Win | Push | |||
| Colorado | UCLA | -.06 | .32 | -.40 | .558 | 1.9 | W 48-42 | 6 | 4.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Western Kentucky | .61 | .33 | 1.07 | .857 | 15.4 | W 10-6 | 4 | 11.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Fresno State | UNLV | .56 | .71 | .16 | .725 | 8.4 | W 40-27 | 13 | 4.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Georgia | Florida | .23 | .17 | .19 | .628 | 4.5 | L 28-44 | -16 | 20.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Georgia Southern | Troy | -.10 | -.44 | .09 | .535 | 1.2 | W 20-13 | 7 | 5.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia State | UL Monroe | .72 | .79 | .55 | .892 | 17.8 | W 52-34 | 18 | .2 | Win | Win | |||
| Hawaii | New Mexico | .48 | 1.23 | -.02 | .810 | 12.6 | W 39-33 | 6 | 6.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa | Michigan State | .26 | -.43 | .70 | .718 | 8.1 | W 49-7 | 42 | 33.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa State | Baylor | .09 | .11 | .38 | .636 | 4.8 | W 38-31 | 7 | 2.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Kent State | Eastern Michigan | -.13 | .24 | -.78 | .518 | .6 | W 27-23 | 4 | 3.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Louisiana | Arkansas State | .48 | .91 | -.21 | .812 | 12.7 | W 27-20 | 7 | 5.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Marshall | Massachusetts | 1.79 | 2.13 | 1.70 | .990 | 40.3 | W 51-10 | 41 | .7 | Win | Win | |||
| Memphis | South Florida | .79 | 1.42 | .41 | .913 | 19.5 | W 34-33 | 1 | 18.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Miami | NC State | .47 | .59 | .45 | .678 | 6.4 | W 44-41 | 3 | 3.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Miami (OH) | Ball State | .08 | -.10 | .16 | .630 | 4.5 | W 38-31 | 7 | 2.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan | Indiana | .44 | .63 | .24 | .664 | 5.9 | L 21-38 | -17 | 22.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Minnesota | Illinois | .37 | .94 | .18 | .623 | 4.3 | W 41-14 | 27 | 22.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Mississippi State | Vanderbilt | .71 | .03 | 1.39 | .890 | 17.7 | W 24-17 | 7 | 10.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Nevada | Utah State | .11 | .48 | -.15 | .642 | 5.0 | W 34-9 | 25 | 20.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| North Carolina | Duke | .41 | .91 | .48 | .647 | 5.2 | W 56-24 | 32 | 26.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Northwestern | Nebraska | .27 | -.13 | .60 | .721 | 8.3 | W 21-13 | 8 | .3 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio | Central Michigan | .28 | .65 | -.23 | .572 | 2.4 | L 27-30 | -3 | 5.4 | Loss | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Rutgers | 1.79 | 2.15 | 1.78 | .990 | 40.3 | W 49-27 | 22 | 18.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma | Kansas | 1.53 | 2.17 | 1.03 | .990 | 35.4 | W 62-9 | 53 | 17.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma State | Kansas State | .27 | .32 | .59 | .570 | 2.3 | W 20-18 | 2 | .3 | Win | Win | |||
| Oregon | Stanford | .48 | .81 | .30 | .810 | 12.6 | W 35-14 | 21 | 8.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Penn State | Maryland | 1.07 | 1.36 | .92 | .964 | 25.7 | L 19-35 | -16 | 41.7 | Loss | Win | |||
| Pittsburgh | Florida State | .19 | -.10 | .56 | .517 | .6 | W 41-17 | 24 | 23.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| San Diego State | San Jose State | .53 | .48 | .68 | .830 | 13.7 | L 17-28 | -11 | 24.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| SMU | Temple | .47 | .88 | .29 | .677 | 6.4 | W 47-23 | 24 | 17.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| TCU | Texas Tech | .32 | .54 | .21 | .742 | 9.2 | W 34-18 | 16 | 6.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas | West Virginia | .31 | -.01 | .56 | .741 | 9.1 | W 17-13 | 4 | 5.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas A&M | South Carolina | .24 | .74 | -.20 | .548 | 1.6 | W 48-3 | 45 | 43.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Toledo | Bowling Green | .62 | 1.14 | .19 | .861 | 15.7 | W 38-3 | 35 | 19.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Tulane | East Carolina | .38 | .36 | .22 | .632 | 4.6 | W 38-21 | 17 | 12.4 | Win | Win | |||
| USC | Arizona State | .24 | .59 | .13 | .705 | 7.6 | W 28-27 | 1 | 6.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Virginia Tech | Liberty | .53 | 1.00 | -.31 | .828 | 13.6 | L 35-38 | -3 | 16.6 | Loss | Win | |||
| Washington State | Oregon State | .49 | 1.61 | -.55 | .691 | 7.0 | W 38-28 | 10 | 3.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Western Michigan | Akron | 1.05 | 1.14 | 1.17 | .910 | 19.3 | W 58-13 | 45 | 25.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Wyoming | Colorado State | .49 | .42 | .63 | .688 | 6.8 | L 24-34 | -10 | 16.8 | Loss | Loss |
Week 9 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Alabama | Mississippi State | 1.18 | 1.64 | .84 | .974 | 28.1 | W 41-0 | 41 | 12.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Appalachian State | UL Monroe | 1.49 | 1.39 | 1.57 | .975 | 28.5 | W 31-13 | 18 | 10.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Arkansas State | Troy | -.11 | .30 | -.55 | .528 | .9 | L 10-38 | -28 | 28.9 | Loss | Win | |||
| Baylor | TCU | .01 | -.43 | .38 | .596 | 3.3 | L 23-33 | -10 | 13.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Boise State | Air Force | .21 | .39 | .12 | .530 | 1.0 | W 49-30 | 19 | 18.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| BYU | Western Kentucky | 1.24 | 1.65 | 1.15 | .976 | 29.3 | W 41-10 | 31 | 1.7 | Win | Push | |||
| Cincinnati | Memphis | .06 | .00 | .14 | .617 | 4.1 | W 49-10 | 39 | 34.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Clemson | Boston College | 1.21 | 1.45 | 1.39 | .975 | 28.7 | W 34-28 | 6 | 22.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia State | .22 | .47 | -.18 | .535 | 1.2 | W 51-0 | 51 | 49.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Duke | Charlotte | .25 | .19 | .38 | .714 | 7.9 | W 53-19 | 34 | 26.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida | Missouri | .40 | .93 | -.18 | .780 | 11.0 | W 41-17 | 24 | 13.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida Atlantic | UTSA | .53 | .50 | .77 | .830 | 13.8 | W 24-3 | 21 | 7.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Fresno State | Colorado State | .03 | .12 | -.25 | .604 | 3.6 | W 38-17 | 21 | 17.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia | Kentucky | .66 | .04 | 1.43 | .770 | 10.5 | W 14-3 | 11 | .5 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia Southern | South Alabama | .29 | .26 | .32 | .728 | 8.6 | W 24-17 | 7 | 1.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Houston | UCF | -.15 | .37 | -.90 | .505 | .2 | L 21-44 | -23 | 23.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Indiana | Rutgers | .72 | .73 | .81 | .798 | 11.9 | W 37-21 | 16 | 4.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa | Northwestern | .24 | -.68 | 1.06 | .705 | 7.6 | L 20-21 | -1 | 8.6 | Loss | Push | |||
| Iowa State | Kansas | 1.17 | 1.39 | 1.31 | .936 | 21.8 | W 52-22 | 30 | 8.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Kansas State | West Virginia | .34 | -.25 | .55 | .606 | 3.7 | L 10-37 | -27 | 30.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Louisiana | Texas State | .79 | 1.03 | .44 | .825 | 13.4 | W 44-34 | 10 | 3.4 | Win | Win | |||
| LSU | Auburn | .30 | .89 | -.34 | .586 | 2.9 | L 11-48 | -37 | 39.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Michigan | Michigan State | .90 | .53 | 1.20 | .936 | 21.8 | L 24-27 | -3 | 24.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Minnesota | Maryland | .80 | 1.34 | .56 | .829 | 13.6 | L 44-45 | -1 | 14.6 | Loss | Win | |||
| Nevada | UNLV | .27 | .38 | .15 | .567 | 2.3 | W 37-19 | 18 | 15.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| North Carolina | Virginia | .39 | .81 | .03 | .633 | 4.7 | L 41-44 | -3 | 7.7 | Loss | Win | |||
| Notre Dame | Georgia Tech | 1.22 | 1.22 | .98 | .945 | 22.9 | W 31-13 | 18 | 4.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Ohio State | Penn State | .74 | .93 | .59 | .806 | 12.4 | W 38-25 | 13 | .6 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | Texas Tech | .59 | 1.61 | -.49 | .739 | 9.1 | W 62-28 | 34 | 24.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma State | Texas | .06 | .06 | .07 | .618 | 4.1 | L 34-41 | -7 | 11.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Ole Miss | Vanderbilt | .62 | 1.21 | -.02 | .754 | 9.8 | W 54-21 | 33 | 23.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Purdue | Illinois | .28 | .35 | .37 | .572 | 2.4 | W 31-24 | 7 | 4.6 | Win | Win | |||
| San Diego State | Utah State | .39 | -.10 | .81 | .634 | 4.7 | W 38-7 | 31 | 26.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| San Jose State | New Mexico | .41 | .77 | .14 | .781 | 11.1 | W 38-21 | 17 | 5.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| SMU | Navy | .32 | .86 | -.07 | .743 | 9.2 | W 51-37 | 14 | 4.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Southern Mississippi | Rice | .19 | .46 | -.11 | .685 | 6.7 | L 6-30 | -24 | 30.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Texas A&M | Arkansas | .25 | .08 | .52 | .713 | 7.9 | W 42-31 | 11 | 3.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Tulane | Temple | .01 | -.01 | -.35 | .591 | 3.1 | W 38-3 | 35 | 31.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Tulsa | East Carolina | .70 | .42 | 1.20 | .887 | 17.5 | W 34-30 | 4 | 13.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| UAB | Louisiana Tech | .47 | .13 | .73 | .681 | 6.5 | L 34-37 | -3 | 9.5 | Loss | Win | |||
| Virginia Tech | Louisville | .23 | .78 | -.58 | .541 | 1.4 | W 42-35 | 7 | 5.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Wake Forest | Syracuse | .41 | .45 | .59 | .648 | 5.2 | W 38-14 | 24 | 18.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Wyoming | Hawaii | .04 | .22 | -.42 | .607 | 3.7 | W 31-7 | 24 | 20.3 | Win | Win |
Week 8 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Air Force | San Jose State | .98 | 1.47 | .39 | .889 | 17.6 | L 6-17 | -11 | 28.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Alabama | Tennessee | 1.14 | 1.88 | .45 | .931 | 21.2 | W 48-17 | 31 | 9.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Appalachian State | Arkansas State | .46 | .61 | .37 | .802 | 12.2 | W 45-17 | 28 | 15.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Auburn | Ole Miss | .32 | 1.00 | -.58 | .598 | 3.4 | W 35-28 | 7 | 3.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Boise State | Utah State | .56 | .56 | .62 | .839 | 14.3 | W 42-13 | 29 | 14.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Boston College | Georgia Tech | .22 | -.02 | -.02 | .697 | 7.2 | W 48-27 | 21 | 13.8 | Win | Win | |||
| BYU | Texas State | 1.28 | 1.60 | 1.10 | .990 | 30.1 | W 52-14 | 38 | 7.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Charlotte | UTEP | .69 | .92 | .39 | .884 | 17.2 | W 38-28 | 10 | 7.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Cincinnati | SMU | .17 | -.20 | .32 | .510 | .3 | W 42-13 | 29 | 28.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Clemson | Syracuse | 1.69 | 1.79 | 2.29 | .990 | 38.4 | W 47-21 | 26 | 12.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia Southern | -.01 | .51 | -.56 | .583 | 2.8 | W 28-14 | 14 | 11.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Fresno State | Hawaii | .09 | .64 | -.45 | .636 | 4.8 | L 19-34 | -15 | 19.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Houston | Navy | .38 | .89 | -.04 | .631 | 4.6 | W 37-21 | 16 | 11.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Iowa | Purdue | .67 | .53 | .76 | .775 | 10.8 | L 20-24 | -4 | 14.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Kansas State | Kansas | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.00 | .957 | 24.5 | W 55-14 | 41 | 16.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Kentucky | Missouri | .22 | -.10 | .34 | .536 | 1.2 | L 10-20 | -10 | 11.2 | Loss | Win | |||
| Liberty | Southern Mississippi | .39 | 1.04 | -.03 | .773 | 10.7 | W 56-35 | 21 | 10.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisville | Florida State | .00 | .60 | -.26 | .589 | 3.0 | W 48-16 | 32 | 29.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| LSU | South Carolina | .38 | .69 | .01 | .768 | 10.4 | W 52-24 | 28 | 17.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Marshall | Florida Atlantic | .15 | -.05 | .35 | .664 | 5.9 | W 20-9 | 11 | 5.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Memphis | Temple | .52 | 1.14 | -.20 | .826 | 13.5 | W 41-29 | 12 | 1.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Miami | Virginia | .48 | .25 | .39 | .810 | 12.6 | W 19-14 | 5 | 7.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan | Minnesota | .37 | .28 | .16 | .626 | 4.4 | W 49-24 | 25 | 20.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan State | Rutgers | .98 | .69 | 1.55 | .952 | 23.7 | L 27-38 | -11 | 34.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| North Carolina | NC State | .24 | .79 | -.12 | .709 | 7.7 | W 48-21 | 27 | 19.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Northwestern | Maryland | .28 | -.26 | .94 | .728 | 8.5 | W 43-3 | 40 | 31.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | Pittsburgh | .72 | .53 | 1.08 | .798 | 12.0 | W 45-3 | 42 | 30.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Nebraska | 1.30 | 1.65 | 1.12 | .990 | 30.7 | W 52-17 | 35 | 4.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | TCU | .29 | .69 | -.12 | .579 | 2.7 | W 33-14 | 19 | 16.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma State | Iowa State | .21 | .09 | .02 | .691 | 7.0 | W 24-21 | 3 | 4.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Penn State | Indiana | .62 | .86 | .29 | .753 | 9.7 | L 35-36 | -1 | 10.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Rice | Middle Tennessee | .08 | .06 | -.18 | .628 | 4.5 | L 34-40 | -6 | 10.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| San Diego State | UNLV | .70 | .27 | .99 | .886 | 17.4 | W 34-6 | 28 | 10.6 | Win | Win | |||
| South Alabama | UL Monroe | .50 | .62 | .20 | .818 | 13.0 | W 38-14 | 24 | 11.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas | Baylor | .05 | -.09 | .28 | .613 | 3.9 | W 27-16 | 11 | 7.1 | Win | Push | |||
| Texas Tech | West Virginia | -.12 | -.07 | -.20 | .520 | .7 | W 34-27 | 7 | 6.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Troy | Georgia State | .14 | .51 | -.22 | .660 | 5.7 | L 34-36 | -2 | 7.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Tulsa | South Florida | .70 | .23 | 1.26 | .790 | 11.6 | W 42-13 | 29 | 17.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| UAB | Louisiana | -.15 | -.37 | -.05 | .503 | .1 | L 20-24 | -4 | 4.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| UCF | Tulane | .39 | .89 | .26 | .773 | 10.7 | W 51-34 | 17 | 6.3 | Win | Win | |||
| UTSA | Louisiana Tech | -.07 | -.09 | -.35 | .553 | 1.8 | W 27-26 | 1 | .8 | Win | Win | |||
| Virginia Tech | Wake Forest | .22 | .66 | -.37 | .536 | 1.2 | L 16-23 | -7 | 8.2 | Loss | Win | |||
| Wisconsin | Illinois | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.30 | .964 | 25.7 | W 45-7 | 38 | 12.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Wyoming | Nevada | .49 | .23 | .72 | .689 | 6.9 | L 34-37 | -3 | 9.9 | Loss | Loss |
Week 7 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Alabama | Georgia | .28 | .81 | .12 | .726 | 8.5 | W 41-24 | 17 | 8.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Arkansas State | Georgia State | .00 | .20 | -.26 | .589 | 3.0 | W 59-52 | 7 | 4.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Army | UTSA | .66 | .79 | .67 | .769 | 10.5 | W 28-16 | 12 | 1.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Auburn | South Carolina | .38 | .24 | .43 | .632 | 4.6 | L 22-30 | -8 | 12.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| BYU | Houston | .42 | .74 | .17 | .650 | 5.3 | W 43-26 | 17 | 11.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Clemson | Georgia Tech | 1.45 | 1.57 | 1.51 | .972 | 27.7 | W 73-7 | 66 | 38.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia Southern | Massachusetts | 1.15 | 1.78 | .69 | .971 | 27.3 | W 41-0 | 41 | 13.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana | Coastal Carolina | .33 | .78 | -.02 | .747 | 9.4 | L 27-30 | -3 | 12.4 | Loss | Win | |||
| Marshall | Louisiana Tech | .55 | .19 | .65 | .717 | 8.1 | W 35-17 | 18 | 9.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Memphis | UCF | .07 | .35 | -.44 | .622 | 4.2 | W 50-49 | 1 | 3.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Miami | Pittsburgh | .38 | .04 | .68 | .771 | 10.6 | W 31-19 | 12 | 1.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Middle Tennessee | North Texas | .09 | .52 | -.26 | .632 | 4.6 | L 35-52 | -17 | 21.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Mississippi State | Texas A&M | -.11 | -.33 | .21 | .530 | 1.0 | L 14-28 | -14 | 15.0 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Navy | East Carolina | .31 | .97 | -.20 | .593 | 3.2 | W 27-23 | 4 | .8 | Win | Loss | |||
| NC State | Duke | .08 | -.03 | .35 | .627 | 4.4 | W 31-20 | 11 | 6.6 | Win | Win | |||
| North Carolina | Florida State | .51 | 1.13 | .21 | .700 | 7.3 | L 28-31 | -3 | 10.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Notre Dame | Louisville | .87 | 1.35 | .23 | .930 | 21.2 | W 12-7 | 5 | 16.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Ole Miss | Arkansas | .19 | 1.09 | -.65 | .518 | .6 | L 21-33 | -12 | 12.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| SMU | Tulane | .20 | .64 | .04 | .523 | .8 | W 37-34 | 3 | 2.2 | Win | Win | |||
| South Alabama | Texas State | -.04 | .05 | -.10 | .566 | 2.2 | W 30-20 | 10 | 7.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Syracuse | Liberty | .10 | -.27 | -.04 | .641 | 5.0 | L 21-38 | -17 | 22.0 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Temple | South Florida | .56 | .37 | .80 | .842 | 14.5 | W 39-37 | 2 | 12.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Tennessee | Kentucky | .08 | -.10 | .37 | .629 | 4.5 | L 7-34 | -27 | 31.5 | Loss | Win | |||
| UAB | Western Kentucky | .26 | .12 | .46 | .715 | 8.0 | W 37-14 | 23 | 15.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Virginia Tech | Boston College | .21 | .58 | -.06 | .694 | 7.1 | W 40-14 | 26 | 18.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Wake Forest | Virginia | -.12 | -.15 | -.24 | .524 | .8 | W 40-23 | 17 | 16.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| West Virginia | Kansas | .87 | .81 | 1.17 | .931 | 21.3 | W 38-17 | 21 | .3 | Win | Push |
Week 6 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Alabama | Ole Miss | 1.16 | 2.39 | .22 | .935 | 21.6 | W 63-48 | 15 | 6.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Auburn | Arkansas | .68 | .27 | 1.08 | .879 | 16.9 | W 30-28 | 2 | 14.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Boston College | Pittsburgh | -.05 | -.46 | .10 | .561 | 2.0 | W 31-30 | 1 | 1.0 | Win | Win | |||
| BYU | UTSA | 1.37 | 1.64 | 1.41 | .990 | 32.1 | W 27-20 | 7 | 25.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Charlotte | North Texas | .18 | .71 | -.37 | .516 | .5 | W 49-21 | 28 | 27.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Clemson | Miami | .75 | .90 | .70 | .901 | 18.5 | W 42-17 | 25 | 6.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida | Texas A&M | .38 | .52 | .08 | .629 | 4.5 | L 38-41 | -3 | 7.5 | Loss | Win | |||
| Florida International | Middle Tennessee | .35 | .64 | -.32 | .757 | 9.9 | L 28-31 | -3 | 12.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Georgia | Tennessee | .67 | .36 | .81 | .878 | 16.8 | W 44-21 | 23 | 6.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Houston | Tulane | .11 | .23 | -.15 | .642 | 5.0 | W 49-31 | 18 | 13.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Iowa State | Texas Tech | .23 | .88 | -.32 | .702 | 7.4 | W 31-15 | 16 | 8.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Liberty | UL Monroe | .58 | 1.50 | -.21 | .850 | 14.9 | W 40-7 | 33 | 18.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Tech | UTEP | .86 | 1.06 | .68 | .927 | 20.9 | W 21-17 | 4 | 16.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisville | Georgia Tech | .45 | .68 | .15 | .668 | 6.0 | L 27-46 | -19 | 25.0 | Loss | Loss | |||
| LSU | Missouri | .90 | 1.30 | .64 | .864 | 15.9 | L 41-45 | -4 | 19.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Marshall | Western Kentucky | .20 | .02 | .36 | .526 | .8 | W 38-14 | 24 | 23.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Mississippi State | Kentucky | .28 | .41 | .35 | .571 | 2.4 | L 2-24 | -22 | 24.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Navy | Temple | -.13 | -.23 | .07 | .517 | .6 | W 31-29 | 2 | 1.4 | Win | Win | |||
| North Carolina | Virginia Tech | .03 | .23 | -.14 | .605 | 3.6 | W 56-45 | 11 | 7.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Notre Dame | Florida State | 1.06 | .99 | 1.12 | .962 | 25.3 | W 42-26 | 16 | 9.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma | Texas | .16 | 1.18 | -.92 | .588 | 3.0 | W 53-45 | 8 | 5.0 | Win | Win | |||
| South Carolina | Vanderbilt | .37 | -.01 | .75 | .624 | 4.3 | W 41-7 | 34 | 29.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| South Florida | East Carolina | .22 | .28 | .42 | .699 | 7.3 | L 24-44 | -20 | 27.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Syracuse | Duke | -.09 | -.81 | .54 | .539 | 1.3 | L 24-38 | -14 | 15.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| TCU | Kansas State | .07 | .11 | .19 | .623 | 4.3 | L 14-21 | -7 | 11.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Troy | Texas State | .32 | .49 | .11 | .744 | 9.3 | W 37-17 | 20 | 10.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Virginia | NC State | .38 | .79 | .09 | .772 | 10.6 | L 21-38 | -17 | 27.6 | Loss | Loss |
Week 5 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Air Force | Navy | -.08 | .70 | -.99 | .544 | 1.5 | W 40-7 | 33 | 31.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Alabama | Texas A&M | .89 | 1.40 | .71 | .934 | 21.6 | W 52-24 | 38 | 6.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Arkansas State | Coastal Carolina | .35 | .78 | .07 | .613 | 3.9 | L 23-52 | -29 | 32.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Baylor | West Virginia | .39 | .36 | .65 | .635 | 4.7 | L 21-27 | -6 | 10.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| BYU | Louisiana Tech | .10 | .02 | .10 | .638 | 4.8 | W 45-14 | 31 | 26.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Cincinnati | South Florida | .37 | -.04 | .67 | .764 | 10.2 | W 28-7 | 21 | 10.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Clemson | Virginia | 1.10 | 1.36 | 1.25 | .967 | 26.4 | W 41-23 | 18 | 8.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida | South Carolina | .55 | .10 | .90 | .838 | 14.2 | W 38-24 | 14 | .2 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Charlotte | .73 | 1.10 | .42 | .896 | 18.1 | W 21-17 | 4 | 14.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Georgia | Auburn | .03 | -.32 | .57 | .603 | 3.5 | W 27-6 | 21 | 17.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Georgia Southern | UL Monroe | .36 | .62 | -.26 | .618 | 4.1 | W 35-30 | 5 | .9 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia State | East Carolina | .07 | 1.00 | -.69 | .624 | 4.3 | W 49-29 | 20 | 15.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Kansas State | Texas Tech | .26 | .60 | -.16 | .714 | 8.0 | W 31-21 | 10 | 2.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Kentucky | Ole Miss | -.11 | .03 | -.34 | .526 | .8 | L 41-42 | -1 | 1.8 | Loss | Win | |||
| LSU | Vanderbilt | 1.50 | 2.07 | 1.33 | .975 | 28.8 | W 41-7 | 34 | 5.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Memphis | SMU | .49 | 1.22 | -.42 | .686 | 6.8 | L 27-30 | -3 | 9.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Mississippi State | Arkansas | .54 | 1.01 | .30 | .835 | 14.1 | L 14-21 | -7 | 21.1 | Loss | Win | |||
| North Carolina | Boston College | .30 | .56 | -.08 | .583 | 2.8 | W 26-22 | 4 | 1.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | Iowa State | .46 | 1.55 | -.52 | .673 | 6.2 | L 30-37 | -7 | 13.2 | Loss | Win | |||
| Oklahoma State | Kansas | .89 | 1.34 | .60 | .862 | 15.7 | W 47-7 | 40 | 24.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Pittsburgh | NC State | .27 | .06 | .52 | .719 | 8.2 | L 29-30 | -1 | 9.2 | Loss | Win | |||
| Southern Mississippi | North Texas | .33 | .45 | .43 | .604 | 3.6 | W 41-31 | 10 | 6.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Tennessee | Missouri | -.01 | -.29 | .30 | .582 | 2.8 | W 35-12 | 23 | 20.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas | TCU | .09 | -.08 | .29 | .634 | 4.7 | L 31-33 | -2 | 6.7 | Loss | Win | |||
| UAB | UTSA | .46 | .48 | .61 | .802 | 12.2 | W 21-13 | 8 | 4.2 | Win | Win | |||
| UCF | Tulsa | .43 | .65 | .29 | .791 | 11.6 | L 26-34 | -8 | 19.6 | Loss | Win | |||
| Virginia Tech | Duke | .25 | -.15 | .57 | .558 | 1.9 | W 38-31 | 7 | 5.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Western Kentucky | Middle Tennessee | .33 | .56 | .22 | .602 | 3.5 | W 20-17 | 3 | .5 | Win | Win |
Week 4 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Alabama | Missouri | 1.18 | 1.59 | 1.11 | .939 | 22.1 | W 38-19 | 19 | 3.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Auburn | Kentucky | .68 | .41 | .95 | .881 | 17.0 | W 29-13 | 16 | 1.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Baylor | Kansas | .93 | 1.02 | 1.06 | .942 | 22.5 | W 47-14 | 33 | 10.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Boston College | Texas State | .86 | .81 | 1.04 | .927 | 20.9 | W 24-21 | 3 | 17.9 | Win | Win | |||
| BYU | Troy | .26 | .60 | -.05 | .716 | 8.0 | W 48-7 | 41 | 33.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Cincinnati | Army | .36 | .39 | .37 | .760 | 10.1 | W 24-10 | 14 | 3.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida | Ole Miss | .38 | .43 | .22 | .632 | 4.6 | W 51-35 | 16 | 11.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Georgia | Arkansas | 1.09 | 1.28 | 1.20 | .920 | 20.2 | W 37-10 | 27 | 6.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Liberty | Florida International | -.01 | .42 | -.26 | .583 | 2.8 | W 36-34 | 2 | .8 | Win | Win | |||
| Louisiana | Georgia Southern | .16 | .48 | .00 | .670 | 6.1 | W 20-18 | 2 | 4.1 | Win | Win | |||
| LSU | Mississippi State | .84 | 1.51 | .46 | .925 | 20.6 | L 34-44 | -10 | 30.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Miami | Florida State | .00 | -.54 | .47 | .588 | 3.0 | W 52-10 | 42 | 39.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Middle Tennessee | UTSA | .53 | .85 | .32 | .710 | 7.8 | L 35-37 | -2 | 9.8 | Loss | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | Kansas State | .52 | 1.44 | -.18 | .828 | 13.6 | L 35-38 | -3 | 16.6 | Loss | Win | |||
| Oklahoma State | West Virginia | .35 | .68 | .18 | .757 | 9.9 | W 27-13 | 14 | 4.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Pittsburgh | Louisville | -.02 | .15 | -.25 | .579 | 2.7 | W 23-20 | 3 | .3 | Win | Push | |||
| South Carolina | Tennessee | -.06 | -.56 | .41 | .556 | 1.9 | L 27-31 | -4 | 5.9 | Loss | Push | |||
| Syracuse | Georgia Tech | .03 | .17 | -.14 | .605 | 3.6 | W 37-20 | 17 | 13.4 | Win | Win | |||
| TCU | Iowa State | -.03 | -.18 | .08 | .573 | 2.5 | L 34-37 | -3 | 5.5 | Loss | Win | |||
| Texas | Texas Tech | .38 | .93 | -.16 | .631 | 4.6 | W 63-56 | 7 | 2.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Texas A&M | Vanderbilt | .82 | .81 | .90 | .918 | 20.0 | W 17-12 | 5 | 15.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Tulane | Southern Mississippi | .20 | .17 | .25 | .524 | .8 | W 66-24 | 42 | 41.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| UAB | South Alabama | .32 | .07 | .63 | .594 | 3.2 | W 42-10 | 32 | 28.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| UCF | East Carolina | .96 | 1.67 | .47 | .885 | 17.3 | W 51-28 | 23 | 5.7 | Win | Win | |||
| UL Monroe | UTEP | .76 | 1.57 | .17 | .904 | 18.8 | L 6-31 | -25 | 43.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Virginia | Duke | .14 | -.01 | .31 | .660 | 5.7 | W 38-20 | 18 | 12.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Virginia Tech | NC State | .45 | .31 | .45 | .799 | 12.0 | W 45-24 | 21 | 9.0 | Win | Win |
Week 3 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Appalachian State | Marshall | .57 | .37 | .96 | .729 | 8.6 | L 7-17 | -10 | 18.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Duke | Boston College | .06 | -.23 | .21 | .619 | 4.1 | L 6-26 | -20 | 24.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Louisiana | Georgia State | .53 | 1.20 | -.27 | .711 | 7.8 | W 34-31 | 3 | 4.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Louisville | Miami | -.08 | .00 | -.15 | .545 | 1.5 | L 34-47 | -13 | 14.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Middle Tennessee | Troy | -.01 | .57 | -.59 | .584 | 2.9 | L 14-47 | -33 | 35.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Navy | Tulane | .43 | .98 | -.11 | .656 | 5.5 | W 27-24 | 3 | 2.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Notre Dame | South Florida | .97 | .66 | 1.17 | .949 | 23.4 | W 52-0 | 52 | 28.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma State | Tulsa | .53 | .82 | .17 | .828 | 13.6 | W 16-7 | 9 | 4.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Pittsburgh | Syracuse | .24 | .04 | .52 | .705 | 7.6 | W 21-10 | 11 | 3.4 | Win | Win | |||
| SMU | North Texas | .61 | 1.23 | .29 | .749 | 9.5 | W 65-35 | 30 | 20.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Southern Mississippi | Louisiana Tech | -.10 | -.27 | -.02 | .531 | 1.0 | L 30-31 | -1 | 2.0 | Loss | Win | |||
| UCF | Georgia Tech | .52 | .93 | .32 | .705 | 7.6 | W 49-21 | 28 | 20.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| UL Monroe | Texas State | .36 | .86 | .14 | .760 | 10.0 | L 17-38 | -21 | 31.0 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Wake Forest | NC State | .22 | .23 | .33 | .537 | 1.2 | L 42-45 | -3 | 4.2 | Loss | Win | |||
| Western Kentucky | Liberty | .49 | .60 | .40 | .815 | 12.9 | L 24-30 | -6 | 18.9 | Loss | Win |
Week 2 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Appalachian State | Charlotte | .98 | 1.17 | .83 | .951 | 23.6 | W 35-20 | 15 | 8.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Army | UL Monroe | .35 | .94 | -.46 | .756 | 9.9 | W 37-7 | 30 | 20.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Clemson | Wake Forest | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.47 | .946 | 23.0 | W 37-13 | 24 | 1.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida State | Georgia Tech | .37 | .47 | .44 | .764 | 10.3 | L 13-16 | -3 | 13.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Iowa State | Louisiana | .42 | .94 | -.08 | .787 | 11.4 | L 14-31 | -17 | 28.4 | Loss | Win | |||
| Kansas | Coastal Carolina | .15 | .56 | -.29 | .661 | 5.8 | L 23-38 | -15 | 20.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Kansas State | Arkansas State | .58 | .48 | .58 | .850 | 14.9 | L 31-35 | -4 | 18.9 | Loss | Win | |||
| Louisville | Western Kentucky | .11 | .46 | -.29 | .644 | 5.1 | W 35-21 | 14 | 8.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Miami | UAB | .60 | .12 | 1.04 | .853 | 15.1 | W 31-14 | 17 | 1.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| North Carolina | Syracuse | .40 | .67 | .16 | .779 | 11.0 | W 31-6 | 25 | 14.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | Duke | .75 | .46 | 1.13 | .900 | 18.5 | W 27-13 | 14 | 4.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Texas | UTEP | 1.76 | 2.04 | 1.50 | .990 | 39.8 | W 59-3 | 56 | 16.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas State | UTSA | -.03 | -.17 | .12 | .571 | 2.4 | L 48-51 | -3 | 5.4 | Loss | Win | |||
| Tulane | South Alabama | .65 | .56 | .79 | .767 | 10.4 | W 27-24 | 3 | 7.4 | Win | Win |
Week 1 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Army | Middle Tennessee | .14 | .52 | -.26 | .659 | 5.7 | W 42-0 | 42 | 36.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Memphis | Arkansas State | .74 | 1.18 | .24 | .899 | 18.4 | W 37-24 | 13 | 5.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Navy | BYU | .42 | .90 | -.02 | .788 | 11.5 | L 3-55 | -52 | 63.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| SMU | Texas State | .91 | 1.19 | .84 | .867 | 16.0 | W 31-24 | 7 | 9.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Southern Mississippi | South Alabama | .45 | .18 | .76 | .801 | 12.1 | L 21-32 | -11 | 23.1 | Loss | Win |