2018 Game Projections
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Game projections and results on this page were published in the given season and are provided only for reference. The formula used to calculate game projections has been updated each season. Data comparisons between season results may be misleading.
FEI Game Projections are calculated as a function of the current FEI ratings and possession scoring rates of each team, with an adjustment for home field advantage. Projections identify the Win Likelihood (WL) of the projected game winner, a projected final score (PF), and the likelihood of various game results for the projected winner: DW (dominant win by 25+ points), SW (strong win by 17-24 points), MW (moderate win by 9-16 points), NW (narrow win by 1-8 points), NL (narrow loss by 1-8 points), ML (moderate loss by 9-16 points), SL (strong loss by 17-24 points), and DL (dominant loss by 25+ points).
2018 Game Projection Results Summary
FEI game projection results are provided below, including expected results as a function of individual game win likelihoods (Proj Pct), actual results of projected game winners (SU Rec, SU Pct), projected game winner results by win likelihood range, the average absolute error between projected margin and result (ME), and projection results against the betting market line (ATS Rec, ATS Pct).
Week |
Proj Pct | SU Rec | SU Pct | 50-60 | 60-75 | 75-90 | 90+ | ME | ATS Rec | ATS Pct | |||||
1 |
.782 | 34-9 | .791 | .714 | .727 | .636 | 1.000 | 13.7 | 24-17 | .585 | |||||
2 |
.765 | 35-14 | .714 | .455 | .700 | .706 | 1.000 | 14.5 | 25-22 | .532 | |||||
3 |
.769 | 32-17 | .653 | .308 | .571 | .786 | .867 | 14.6 | 22-21 | .512 | |||||
4 |
.779 | 46-9 | .836 | .571 | .800 | .882 | .938 | 12.0 | 28-24 | .538 | |||||
5 |
.750 | 44-11 | .800 | .600 | .750 | .867 | 1.000 | 12.4 | 28-26 | .519 | |||||
6 |
.799 | 33-23 | .589 | .429 | .462 | .571 | .800 | 16.5 | 21-31 | .404 | |||||
7 |
.798 | 38-16 | .704 | .429 | .500 | .813 | .882 | 15.8 | 27-25 | .519 | |||||
8 |
.795 | 43-11 | .796 | .500 | .625 | .867 | 1.000 | 13.5 | 29-24 | .547 | |||||
9 |
.741 | 35-20 | .636 | .667 | .524 | .556 | .846 | 14.3 | 26-27 | .491 | |||||
10 |
.779 | 47-14 | .770 | .444 | .833 | .842 | .800 | 13.0 | 30-28 | .517 | |||||
11 |
.797 | 47-14 | .770 | .500 | .714 | .952 | .722 | 13.1 | 29-31 | .483 | |||||
12 |
.796 | 46-14 | .767 | .750 | .600 | .737 | 1.000 | 13.6 | 28-31 | .475 | |||||
13 |
.792 | 44-20 | .688 | .333 | .474 | .800 | .895 | 14.7 | 27-34 | .443 | |||||
14/15 |
.774 | 12-3 | .800 | .500 | .600 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 10.1 | 7-7 | .500 | |||||
Total |
.780 | 536-195 | .733 | .505 | .635 | .782 | .901 | 13.9 | 351-348 | .502 |
Bowl Game Projections
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
W 45-13 | Win | 12/15 | .737 | Appalachian State | Middle Tennessee | 29-19 | .087 | .433 | .123 | .095 | .167 | .050 | .031 | .015 |
W 31-20 | Win | 12/15 | .750 | Fresno State | Arizona State | 31-20 | .095 | .443 | .121 | .091 | .160 | .047 | .029 | .014 |
W 23-21 | Win | 12/15 | .564 | Georgia Southern | Eastern Michigan | 25-24 | .030 | .287 | .124 | .124 | .263 | .088 | .056 | .028 |
W 41-24 | Win | 12/15 | .659 | Tulane | Louisiana Lafayette | 33-27 | .049 | .371 | .127 | .112 | .212 | .067 | .042 | .021 |
W 52-13 | Win | 12/15 | .711 | Utah State | North Texas | 31-22 | .072 | .413 | .125 | .101 | .182 | .055 | .034 | .017 |
L 13-37 | Lose | 12/18 | .543 | Northern Illinois | UAB | 21-20 | .030 | .266 | .121 | .126 | .274 | .093 | .060 | .030 |
W 27-0 | Win | 12/19 | .729 | Ohio | San Diego State | 33-23 | .082 | .427 | .123 | .097 | .172 | .051 | .032 | .015 |
W 38-20 | Win | 12/20 | .665 | Marshall | South Florida | 27-21 | .051 | .376 | .127 | .111 | .209 | .065 | .041 | .020 |
W 49-18 | Lose | 12/21 | .610 | BYU | Western Michigan | 30-26 | .035 | .329 | .127 | .119 | .239 | .078 | .049 | .024 |
L 32-35 | Win | 12/21 | .540 | Toledo | Florida International | 31-30 | .030 | .263 | .121 | .126 | .276 | .094 | .060 | .030 |
W 70-14 | Win | 12/22 | .838 | Army | Houston | 38-26 | .160 | .502 | .109 | .067 | .108 | .029 | .018 | .008 |
L 32-42 | Lose | 12/22 | .599 | Buffalo | Troy | 29-23 | .033 | .319 | .126 | .121 | .245 | .080 | .051 | .025 |
W 31-14 | n/a | 12/22 | .581 | Louisiana Tech | Hawaii | 29-27 | .031 | .302 | .125 | .123 | .255 | .084 | .054 | .027 |
L 34-37 | Lose | 12/22 | .577 | Memphis | Wake Forest | 33-29 | .030 | .298 | .125 | .123 | .257 | .085 | .054 | .027 |
W 34-10 | Win | 12/26 | .616 | Minnesota | Georgia Tech | 31-29 | .036 | .334 | .127 | .119 | .236 | .076 | .048 | .024 |
W 10-7 | Win | 12/26 | .560 | TCU | California | 20-19 | .030 | .283 | .123 | .125 | .266 | .089 | .057 | .028 |
L 3-35 | Lose | 12/27 | .608 | Miami | Wisconsin | 26-21 | .034 | .327 | .127 | .120 | .240 | .078 | .049 | .024 |
L 27-56 | Lose | 12/27 | .544 | Temple | Duke | 28-22 | .030 | .267 | .121 | .126 | .274 | .093 | .059 | .030 |
L 38-45 | Lose | 12/27 | .658 | Vanderbilt | Baylor | 32-24 | .048 | .371 | .127 | .112 | .212 | .067 | .042 | .021 |
W 63-14 | Lose | 12/28 | .686 | Auburn | Purdue | 26-24 | .060 | .393 | .126 | .106 | .197 | .061 | .038 | .019 |
W 28-26 | Win | 12/28 | .610 | Washington State | Iowa State | 30-26 | .035 | .329 | .127 | .119 | .239 | .077 | .049 | .024 |
L 18-34 | Lose | 12/28 | .654 | West Virginia | Syracuse | 34-26 | .047 | .367 | .127 | .113 | .215 | .068 | .043 | .021 |
W 45-34 | Win | 12/29 | .843 | Alabama | Oklahoma | 43-29 | .164 | .505 | .109 | .065 | .105 | .028 | .017 | .008 |
W 30-3 | Lose | 12/29 | .700 | Clemson | Notre Dame | 27-23 | .066 | .405 | .125 | .103 | .189 | .058 | .036 | .018 |
L 15-41 | Lose | 12/29 | .597 | Michigan | Florida | 29-22 | .033 | .317 | .126 | .121 | .246 | .080 | .051 | .025 |
W 16-13 | Win | 12/29 | .619 | Nevada | Arkansas State | 28-23 | .037 | .337 | .127 | .118 | .234 | .075 | .048 | .024 |
L 0-28 | Win | 12/29 | .508 | South Carolina | Virginia | 29-27 | .035 | .231 | .116 | .126 | .292 | .101 | .065 | .033 |
W 35-31 | Lose | 12/31 | .882 | Cincinnati | Virginia Tech | 35-15 | .198 | .529 | .102 | .053 | .081 | .020 | .012 | .006 |
L 6-7 | Lose | 12/31 | .700 | Michigan State | Oregon | 27-17 | .067 | .405 | .125 | .103 | .189 | .058 | .036 | .018 |
L 33-38 | Lose | 12/31 | .765 | Missouri | Oklahoma State | 37-23 | .105 | .453 | .120 | .088 | .151 | .044 | .027 | .013 |
W 14-13 | Lose | 12/31 | .644 | Stanford | Pittsburgh | 31-25 | .043 | .358 | .127 | .114 | .221 | .070 | .044 | .022 |
W 52-13 | Lose | 12/31 | .635 | Texas A&M | North Carolina State | 29-27 | .041 | .351 | .127 | .116 | .225 | .072 | .045 | .022 |
L 20-31 | Win | 12/31 | .618 | Utah | Northwestern | 25-20 | .036 | .336 | .127 | .118 | .235 | .076 | .048 | .024 |
L 32-40 | Lose | 1/1 | .550 | Central Florida | LSU | 31-26 | .030 | .273 | .122 | .125 | .271 | .091 | .058 | .029 |
L 21-28 | Lose | 1/1 | .858 | Georgia | Texas | 41-21 | .177 | .514 | .106 | .061 | .096 | .025 | .015 | .007 |
L 22-27 | n/a | 1/1 | .648 | Mississippi State | Iowa | 26-19 | .045 | .363 | .127 | .114 | .218 | .069 | .043 | .021 |
W 28-23 | Lose | 1/1 | .546 | Ohio State | Washington | 28-27 | .030 | .268 | .122 | .125 | .273 | .092 | .059 | .030 |
L 24-27 | Win | 1/1 | .567 | Penn State | Kentucky | 23-21 | .030 | .289 | .124 | .124 | .262 | .087 | .056 | .028 |
1/7 | .765 | Alabama | Clemson | 34-22 | .105 | .453 | .120 | .087 | .151 | .044 | .027 | .013 |
Week 14/15 Game Projections and Results
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
L 29-30 | Lose | 11/30 | .637 | Buffalo | Northern Illinois | 25-20 | .041 | .353 | .127 | .116 | .224 | .072 | .045 | .022 |
W 10-3 | Win | 11/30 | .699 | Washington | Utah | 29-21 | .066 | .404 | .125 | .104 | .189 | .058 | .036 | .018 |
W 35-28 | Win | 12/1 | .637 | Alabama | Georgia | 34-29 | .041 | .353 | .127 | .116 | .224 | .072 | .045 | .022 |
W 30-19 | Lose | 12/1 | .974 | Appalachian State | Louisiana Lafayette | 44-16 | .288 | .580 | .083 | .023 | .022 | .002 | .001 | .001 |
W 56-41 | Win | 12/1 | .965 | Central Florida | Memphis | 46-19 | .279 | .575 | .085 | .026 | .028 | .004 | .002 | .001 |
W 42-10 | Lose | 12/1 | .926 | Clemson | Pittsburgh | 38-15 | .240 | .554 | .093 | .039 | .053 | .011 | .007 | .003 |
W 19-16 | Win | 12/1 | .524 | Fresno State | Boise State | 27-26 | .032 | .247 | .119 | .126 | .285 | .098 | .063 | .032 |
L 20-41 | Lose | 12/1 | .639 | Marshall | Virginia Tech | 26-21 | .042 | .355 | .127 | .115 | .223 | .071 | .045 | .022 |
L 25-27 | Lose | 12/1 | .583 | Middle Tennessee | UAB | 25-22 | .031 | .304 | .125 | .123 | .253 | .084 | .053 | .027 |
W 58-3 | Lose | 12/1 | .909 | North Carolina State | East Carolina | 38-17 | .224 | .545 | .096 | .044 | .064 | .014 | .009 | .004 |
W 45-24 | Lose | 12/1 | .794 | Ohio State | Northwestern | 32-19 | .125 | .473 | .116 | .080 | .134 | .038 | .023 | .011 |
W 39-27 | Win | 12/1 | .776 | Oklahoma | Texas | 41-29 | .112 | .461 | .118 | .085 | .145 | .041 | .026 | .012 |
W 28-3 | Win | 12/1 | .926 | South Carolina | Akron | 37-15 | .240 | .554 | .093 | .039 | .053 | .011 | .007 | .003 |
W 23-13 | Win | 12/1 | .647 | Stanford | California | 26-21 | .045 | .362 | .127 | .114 | .218 | .069 | .044 | .021 |
W 17-10 | Push | 12/8 | .979 | Army | Navy | 48-19 | .293 | .582 | .082 | .021 | .019 | .002 | .001 | .000 |
Week 13 Game Projections
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
W 42-21 | Win | 11/20 | .884 | Miami (OH) | Ball State | 36-17 | .200 | .530 | .101 | .053 | .079 | .019 | .012 | .005 |
L 21-28 | Win | 11/20 | .669 | Northern Illinois | Western Michigan | 28-22 | .053 | .380 | .127 | .110 | .206 | .064 | .040 | .020 |
W 27-19 | Lose | 11/22 | .913 | Air Force | Colorado State | 40-18 | .227 | .547 | .095 | .043 | .061 | .014 | .008 | .004 |
W 35-3 | Win | 11/22 | .828 | Mississippi State | Mississippi | 35-20 | .152 | .496 | .111 | .070 | .114 | .031 | .019 | .009 |
W 44-14 | Win | 11/23 | .907 | Buffalo | Bowling Green | 40-19 | .222 | .544 | .097 | .045 | .065 | .015 | .009 | .004 |
W 38-10 | Win | 11/23 | .981 | Central Florida | South Florida | 44-15 | .296 | .584 | .081 | .020 | .017 | .001 | .001 | .000 |
W 56-6 | Win | 11/23 | .921 | Cincinnati | East Carolina | 35-13 | .235 | .552 | .094 | .041 | .056 | .012 | .007 | .003 |
L 28-31 | Lose | 11/23 | .527 | Coastal Carolina | South Alabama | 32-31 | .032 | .250 | .119 | .126 | .283 | .097 | .062 | .031 |
W 28-20 | Lose | 11/23 | .862 | Eastern Michigan | Kent State | 34-16 | .180 | .517 | .105 | .060 | .093 | .024 | .015 | .007 |
L 31-52 | Lose | 11/23 | .636 | Houston | Memphis | 36-31 | .041 | .352 | .127 | .116 | .225 | .072 | .045 | .022 |
W 31-28 | Lose | 11/23 | .829 | Iowa | Nebraska | 32-17 | .152 | .496 | .111 | .070 | .113 | .031 | .019 | .009 |
W 38-0 | Win | 11/23 | .987 | Missouri | Arkansas | 42-12 | .303 | .587 | .080 | .018 | .012 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 49-28 | Lose | 11/23 | .976 | Ohio | Akron | 40-12 | .290 | .581 | .082 | .022 | .021 | .002 | .001 | .000 |
W 59-56 | Push | 11/23 | .707 | Oklahoma | West Virginia | 40-31 | .070 | .410 | .125 | .102 | .185 | .056 | .035 | .017 |
W 55-15 | Win | 11/23 | .887 | Oregon | Oregon State | 41-22 | .203 | .532 | .101 | .052 | .077 | .019 | .011 | .005 |
W 24-17 | Lose | 11/23 | .939 | Texas | Kansas | 39-15 | .253 | .561 | .090 | .035 | .045 | .009 | .005 | .002 |
W 51-13 | Lose | 11/23 | .733 | Toledo | Central Michigan | 30-20 | .084 | .430 | .123 | .096 | .170 | .051 | .031 | .015 |
L 31-34 | Lose | 11/23 | .756 | Virginia | Virginia Tech | 32-21 | .098 | .446 | .121 | .090 | .157 | .046 | .028 | .014 |
L 15-28 | Win | 11/23 | .530 | Washington State | Washington | 29-28 | .031 | .254 | .120 | .126 | .281 | .096 | .062 | .031 |
W 52-21 | Win | 11/24 | .969 | Alabama | Auburn | 39-12 | .283 | .577 | .084 | .025 | .026 | .003 | .002 | .001 |
W 21-10 | Lose | 11/24 | .796 | Appalachian State | Troy | 31-18 | .127 | .475 | .116 | .079 | .133 | .037 | .023 | .011 |
W 41-40 | Lose | 11/24 | .653 | Arizona State | Arizona | 30-24 | .046 | .366 | .127 | .113 | .216 | .068 | .043 | .021 |
W 33-7 | Lose | 11/24 | .699 | Arkansas State | Texas State | 28-20 | .066 | .404 | .126 | .104 | .190 | .058 | .036 | .018 |
W 33-24 | Lose | 11/24 | .562 | Boise State | Utah State | 29-27 | .030 | .284 | .123 | .124 | .265 | .089 | .057 | .028 |
L 21-42 | Win | 11/24 | .528 | Boston College | Syracuse | 25-24 | .032 | .252 | .119 | .126 | .282 | .096 | .062 | .031 |
W 33-21 | Lose | 11/24 | .638 | California | Colorado | 24-19 | .042 | .354 | .127 | .115 | .224 | .071 | .045 | .022 |
W 56-35 | Win | 11/24 | .913 | Clemson | South Carolina | 38-16 | .228 | .547 | .095 | .043 | .061 | .014 | .008 | .004 |
L 7-59 | Lose | 11/24 | .907 | Duke | Wake Forest | 37-15 | .222 | .544 | .097 | .045 | .065 | .015 | .009 | .004 |
W 41-14 | Win | 11/24 | .869 | Florida | Florida State | 33-15 | .187 | .521 | .104 | .057 | .088 | .022 | .014 | .006 |
L 24-27 | Win | 11/24 | .793 | Florida Atlantic | Charlotte | 33-20 | .125 | .473 | .116 | .080 | .135 | .038 | .023 | .011 |
W 31-13 | Lose | 11/24 | .990 | Fresno State | San Jose State | 43-6 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 45-21 | Win | 11/24 | .947 | Georgia | Georgia Tech | 45-21 | .260 | .566 | .089 | .032 | .040 | .007 | .004 | .002 |
W 35-14 | Win | 11/24 | .872 | Georgia Southern | Georgia State | 40-22 | .189 | .523 | .103 | .056 | .087 | .022 | .013 | .006 |
W 42-38 | Lose | 11/24 | .873 | Iowa State | Kansas State | 33-15 | .190 | .523 | .103 | .056 | .086 | .022 | .013 | .006 |
W 56-10 | Win | 11/24 | .990 | Kentucky | Louisville | 43-7 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 28-21 | Push | 11/24 | .755 | Liberty | New Mexico State | 34-23 | .098 | .446 | .121 | .090 | .157 | .046 | .028 | .014 |
L 28-31 | Lose | 11/24 | .693 | Louisiana Monroe | Louisiana Lafayette | 37-29 | .063 | .399 | .126 | .105 | .193 | .059 | .037 | .018 |
L 15-30 | Win | 11/24 | .705 | Louisiana Tech | Western Kentucky | 28-20 | .069 | .408 | .125 | .102 | .186 | .057 | .035 | .017 |
L 72-74 | Win | 11/24 | .709 | LSU | Texas A&M | 27-19 | .071 | .411 | .125 | .101 | .184 | .056 | .035 | .017 |
W 28-25 | Win | 11/24 | .590 | Marshall | Florida International | 28-25 | .032 | .310 | .126 | .122 | .250 | .082 | .052 | .026 |
W 24-3 | Lose | 11/24 | .638 | Miami | Pittsburgh | 29-24 | .042 | .354 | .127 | .115 | .224 | .071 | .045 | .022 |
L 39-62 | Lose | 11/24 | .644 | Michigan | Ohio State | 29-24 | .044 | .359 | .127 | .114 | .220 | .070 | .044 | .022 |
W 14-10 | Lose | 11/24 | .990 | Michigan State | Rutgers | 38-3 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
L 29-34 | Win | 11/24 | .767 | Nevada | UNLV | 33-21 | .106 | .455 | .119 | .087 | .150 | .043 | .027 | .013 |
W 34-28 | Lose | 11/24 | .786 | North Carolina State | North Carolina | 34-21 | .119 | .468 | .117 | .082 | .139 | .039 | .024 | .012 |
W 24-21 | Lose | 11/24 | .990 | North Texas | UTSA | 38-6 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 24-16 | Lose | 11/24 | .990 | Northwestern | Illinois | 41-10 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 24-17 | Lose | 11/24 | .929 | Notre Dame | USC | 37-13 | .243 | .556 | .092 | .038 | .051 | .011 | .006 | .003 |
L 24-31 | Lose | 11/24 | .664 | Oklahoma State | TCU | 30-24 | .051 | .376 | .127 | .111 | .209 | .066 | .041 | .020 |
L 13-27 | Lose | 11/24 | .741 | Old Dominion | Rice | 34-24 | .090 | .436 | .122 | .094 | .165 | .049 | .030 | .015 |
W 38-3 | Win | 11/24 | .862 | Penn State | Maryland | 33-16 | .181 | .517 | .105 | .059 | .093 | .024 | .014 | .007 |
W 28-21 | Win | 11/24 | .619 | Purdue | Indiana | 30-26 | .037 | .337 | .127 | .118 | .234 | .076 | .048 | .024 |
L 30-31 | Lose | 11/24 | .933 | San Diego State | Hawaii | 39-15 | .246 | .558 | .092 | .037 | .049 | .010 | .006 | .003 |
L 24-27 | Win | 11/24 | .547 | SMU | Tulsa | 26-25 | .030 | .270 | .122 | .125 | .272 | .092 | .059 | .030 |
W 39-7 | Lose | 11/24 | .771 | Southern Mississippi | UTEP | 28-16 | .109 | .457 | .119 | .086 | .148 | .043 | .026 | .013 |
W 49-42 | Push | 11/24 | .769 | Stanford | UCLA | 34-22 | .108 | .456 | .119 | .086 | .149 | .043 | .027 | .013 |
W 57-7 | Win | 11/24 | .990 | Temple | Connecticut | 54-9 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
L 24-35 | Lose | 11/24 | .732 | Texas Tech | Baylor | 34-24 | .084 | .429 | .123 | .096 | .171 | .051 | .032 | .015 |
W 29-28 | Lose | 11/24 | .796 | Tulane | Navy | 35-22 | .126 | .474 | .116 | .079 | .133 | .037 | .023 | .011 |
L 3-27 | Lose | 11/24 | .621 | UAB | Middle Tennessee | 26-22 | .037 | .339 | .127 | .118 | .233 | .075 | .047 | .023 |
W 35-27 | Lose | 11/24 | .881 | Utah | BYU | 34-15 | .197 | .528 | .102 | .054 | .081 | .020 | .012 | .006 |
W 38-13 | Win | 11/24 | .704 | Vanderbilt | Tennessee | 30-21 | .069 | .408 | .125 | .102 | .186 | .057 | .035 | .017 |
L 15-37 | Win | 11/24 | .751 | Wisconsin | Minnesota | 31-21 | .095 | .443 | .121 | .091 | .159 | .047 | .029 | .014 |
W 31-3 | Lose | 11/24 | .633 | Wyoming | New Mexico | 26-22 | .040 | .350 | .127 | .116 | .226 | .072 | .046 | .023 |
Week 12 Game Projections and Results
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
L 41-42 | Win | 11/13 | .695 | Western Michigan | Ball State | 33-25 | .064 | .401 | .126 | .104 | .191 | .059 | .037 | .018 |
L 17-52 | Lose | 11/14 | .606 | Buffalo | Ohio | 32-29 | .034 | .325 | .127 | .120 | .241 | .079 | .050 | .025 |
W 13-7 | Win | 11/14 | .543 | Miami (OH) | Northern Illinois | 23-22 | .030 | .266 | .121 | .126 | .275 | .093 | .060 | .030 |
W 48-17 | Win | 11/15 | .723 | Houston | Tulane | 32-23 | .079 | .423 | .124 | .098 | .175 | .053 | .033 | .016 |
W 41-38 | Lose | 11/15 | .765 | North Texas | Florida Atlantic | 31-20 | .105 | .453 | .120 | .088 | .151 | .044 | .027 | .013 |
W 56-34 | Win | 11/15 | .811 | Toledo | Kent State | 36-22 | .138 | .484 | .114 | .075 | .124 | .034 | .021 | .010 |
W 45-14 | Win | 11/16 | .948 | Boise State | New Mexico | 40-15 | .262 | .566 | .088 | .032 | .039 | .007 | .004 | .002 |
W 28-18 | Lose | 11/16 | .601 | Memphis | SMU | 33-30 | .033 | .321 | .126 | .121 | .244 | .080 | .050 | .025 |
L 27-35 | Lose | 11/17 | .734 | Air Force | Wyoming | 30-20 | .085 | .431 | .123 | .095 | .169 | .050 | .031 | .015 |
L 6-21 | Lose | 11/17 | .797 | Akron | Bowling Green | 32-18 | .127 | .475 | .116 | .079 | .132 | .037 | .023 | .011 |
W 45-17 | Win | 11/17 | .990 | Appalachian State | Georgia State | 44-13 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
L 29-31 | Win | 11/17 | .640 | Arizona State | Oregon | 31-25 | .042 | .355 | .127 | .115 | .222 | .071 | .045 | .022 |
W 31-17 | Win | 11/17 | .720 | Arkansas State | Louisiana Monroe | 33-24 | .077 | .420 | .124 | .099 | .178 | .053 | .033 | .016 |
W 53-0 | Lose | 11/17 | .926 | Auburn | Liberty | 37-14 | .240 | .554 | .093 | .039 | .053 | .011 | .007 | .003 |
L 21-22 | Lose | 11/17 | .754 | Boston College | Florida State | 28-18 | .097 | .445 | .121 | .091 | .158 | .046 | .029 | .014 |
W 45-10 | Lose | 11/17 | .902 | BYU | New Mexico State | 37-16 | .217 | .541 | .098 | .047 | .068 | .016 | .009 | .004 |
W 38-13 | Win | 11/17 | .714 | Central Florida | Cincinnati | 32-23 | .074 | .416 | .124 | .100 | .181 | .055 | .034 | .017 |
W 35-6 | Win | 11/17 | .852 | Clemson | Duke | 33-16 | .172 | .511 | .107 | .063 | .099 | .026 | .016 | .007 |
W 55-21 | Win | 11/17 | .978 | East Carolina | Connecticut | 44-16 | .292 | .582 | .082 | .022 | .019 | .002 | .001 | .000 |
W 42-35 | Win | 11/17 | .630 | Florida International | Charlotte | 29-24 | .040 | .347 | .127 | .117 | .228 | .073 | .046 | .023 |
W 23-14 | Lose | 11/17 | .792 | Fresno State | San Diego State | 29-16 | .124 | .472 | .116 | .080 | .135 | .038 | .024 | .011 |
W 66-27 | Lose | 11/17 | .990 | Georgia | Massachusetts | 59-6 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 41-17 | Win | 11/17 | .798 | Georgia Southern | Coastal Carolina | 37-23 | .128 | .476 | .115 | .078 | .131 | .037 | .023 | .011 |
W 30-27 | Win | 11/17 | .633 | Georgia Tech | Virginia | 33-28 | .040 | .349 | .127 | .116 | .227 | .072 | .046 | .023 |
W 63-0 | Win | 11/17 | .990 | Iowa | Illinois | 42-11 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
L 10-24 | Lose | 11/17 | .538 | Iowa State | Texas | 27-26 | .031 | .261 | .121 | .126 | .277 | .094 | .060 | .030 |
W 34-23 | Lose | 11/17 | .886 | Kentucky | Middle Tennessee | 31-12 | .202 | .531 | .101 | .052 | .078 | .019 | .011 | .005 |
W 48-38 | Win | 11/17 | .737 | Louisiana Lafayette | South Alabama | 38-28 | .087 | .432 | .123 | .095 | .168 | .050 | .031 | .015 |
W 42-10 | Lose | 11/17 | .990 | LSU | Rice | 45-0 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 23-0 | Lose | 11/17 | .976 | Marshall | UTSA | 36-8 | .290 | .581 | .082 | .022 | .021 | .002 | .001 | .000 |
W 38-14 | Win | 11/17 | .799 | Miami | Virginia Tech | 31-18 | .129 | .476 | .115 | .078 | .131 | .037 | .023 | .011 |
W 31-20 | Win | 11/17 | .957 | Michigan | Indiana | 39-13 | .271 | .571 | .086 | .029 | .033 | .005 | .003 | .001 |
L 6-9 | Lose | 11/17 | .837 | Michigan State | Nebraska | 32-16 | .159 | .502 | .109 | .067 | .108 | .029 | .018 | .008 |
W 52-6 | Win | 11/17 | .953 | Mississippi State | Arkansas | 35-10 | .267 | .569 | .087 | .030 | .036 | .006 | .003 | .002 |
W 50-17 | Win | 11/17 | .883 | Missouri | Tennessee | 36-17 | .199 | .529 | .101 | .053 | .080 | .020 | .012 | .006 |
W 21-12 | Lose | 11/17 | .873 | Nevada | San Jose State | 35-16 | .190 | .523 | .103 | .056 | .086 | .022 | .013 | .006 |
W 52-10 | Win | 11/17 | .990 | North Carolina State | Louisville | 46-14 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 24-14 | Win | 11/17 | .717 | Northwestern | Minnesota | 28-19 | .075 | .418 | .124 | .100 | .179 | .054 | .034 | .016 |
W 36-3 | Win | 11/17 | .828 | Notre Dame | Syracuse | 35-19 | .152 | .496 | .111 | .070 | .114 | .031 | .019 | .009 |
W 52-51 | Lose | 11/17 | .864 | Ohio State | Maryland | 35-17 | .182 | .518 | .105 | .059 | .092 | .023 | .014 | .007 |
W 55-40 | Lose | 11/17 | .990 | Oklahoma | Kansas | 51-11 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 20-7 | Lose | 11/17 | .990 | Penn State | Rutgers | 40-6 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 34-13 | Win | 11/17 | .750 | Pittsburgh | Wake Forest | 34-24 | .095 | .442 | .121 | .092 | .160 | .047 | .029 | .014 |
L 44-47 | Lose | 11/17 | .677 | Purdue | Wisconsin | 30-23 | .056 | .386 | .127 | .108 | .202 | .063 | .039 | .019 |
W 21-20 | Lose | 11/17 | .710 | Southern Mississippi | Louisiana Tech | 25-16 | .072 | .413 | .125 | .101 | .183 | .055 | .035 | .017 |
W 16-9 | Win | 11/17 | .605 | TCU | Baylor | 28-25 | .034 | .324 | .127 | .120 | .242 | .079 | .050 | .025 |
W 27-17 | Lose | 11/17 | .901 | Temple | South Florida | 38-17 | .215 | .540 | .098 | .047 | .069 | .016 | .010 | .004 |
W 41-20 | Lose | 11/17 | .614 | Texas A&M | UAB | 26-22 | .036 | .333 | .127 | .119 | .237 | .077 | .049 | .024 |
L 6-21 | Lose | 11/17 | .804 | Texas Tech | Kansas State | 36-22 | .133 | .480 | .115 | .077 | .128 | .036 | .022 | .010 |
W 12-7 | Win | 11/17 | .897 | Troy | Texas State | 35-15 | .212 | .538 | .099 | .049 | .072 | .017 | .010 | .005 |
L 29-37 | Lose | 11/17 | .715 | Tulsa | Navy | 33-24 | .075 | .417 | .124 | .100 | .180 | .054 | .034 | .016 |
L 28-35 | Lose | 11/17 | .626 | UNLV | Hawaii | 34-29 | .038 | .343 | .127 | .117 | .230 | .074 | .047 | .023 |
L 27-34 | Lose | 11/17 | .636 | USC | UCLA | 28-23 | .041 | .352 | .127 | .116 | .225 | .072 | .045 | .022 |
W 30-7 | Win | 11/17 | .756 | Utah | Colorado | 32-21 | .099 | .446 | .121 | .090 | .157 | .046 | .028 | .014 |
W 29-24 | Lose | 11/17 | .990 | Utah State | Colorado State | 47-10 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 36-29 | n/a | 11/17 | .590 | Vanderbilt | Mississippi | 31-28 | .032 | .311 | .126 | .122 | .250 | .082 | .052 | .026 |
W 42-23 | Lose | 11/17 | .990 | Washington | Oregon State | 50-10 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 69-28 | Win | 11/17 | .869 | Washington State | Arizona | 37-19 | .186 | .521 | .104 | .057 | .089 | .022 | .014 | .006 |
L 41-45 | Lose | 11/17 | .760 | West Virginia | Oklahoma State | 37-26 | .101 | .449 | .120 | .089 | .154 | .045 | .028 | .013 |
W 40-16 | Lose | 11/17 | .553 | Western Kentucky | UTEP | 25-24 | .030 | .276 | .123 | .125 | .269 | .091 | .058 | .029 |
Week 11 Game Projections and Results
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
W 48-14 | Win | 11/6 | .990 | Buffalo | Kent State | 43-12 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 38-15 | Win | 11/7 | .662 | Northern Illinois | Toledo | 28-22 | .050 | .374 | .127 | .111 | .210 | .066 | .041 | .020 |
L 28-30 | Lose | 11/7 | .699 | Ohio | Miami (OH) | 35-27 | .066 | .404 | .126 | .104 | .189 | .058 | .036 | .018 |
L 23-27 | Lose | 11/8 | .981 | North Carolina State | Wake Forest | 44-15 | .296 | .584 | .081 | .020 | .017 | .001 | .001 | .000 |
L 17-24 | Lose | 11/9 | .695 | Fresno State | Boise State | 31-23 | .064 | .401 | .126 | .104 | .191 | .059 | .037 | .018 |
W 54-23 | Win | 11/9 | .990 | Syracuse | Louisville | 47-11 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 42-24 | Lose | 11/10 | .784 | Air Force | New Mexico | 34-22 | .118 | .466 | .117 | .083 | .140 | .040 | .025 | .012 |
W 24-0 | Lose | 11/10 | .874 | Alabama | Mississippi State | 36-18 | .191 | .524 | .103 | .056 | .086 | .021 | .013 | .006 |
W 38-7 | Win | 11/10 | .900 | Appalachian State | Texas State | 33-13 | .215 | .539 | .098 | .048 | .070 | .016 | .010 | .005 |
W 31-28 | Lose | 11/10 | .850 | Arizona State | UCLA | 36-19 | .170 | .509 | .107 | .063 | .100 | .026 | .016 | .008 |
W 44-16 | Lose | 11/10 | .590 | Arkansas State | Coastal Carolina | 31-28 | .032 | .311 | .126 | .122 | .250 | .082 | .052 | .026 |
W 35-16 | Lose | 11/10 | .784 | BYU | Massachusetts | 35-23 | .118 | .466 | .117 | .083 | .140 | .040 | .025 | .012 |
W 35-24 | Lose | 11/10 | .990 | Central Florida | Navy | 54-10 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
L 13-24 | Lose | 11/10 | .801 | Central Michigan | Bowling Green | 32-19 | .131 | .478 | .115 | .078 | .130 | .036 | .022 | .011 |
W 35-23 | Lose | 11/10 | .944 | Cincinnati | South Florida | 37-12 | .258 | .564 | .089 | .033 | .042 | .008 | .004 | .002 |
W 27-7 | Win | 11/10 | .866 | Clemson | Boston College | 34-16 | .184 | .519 | .104 | .058 | .090 | .023 | .014 | .007 |
W 42-35 | Lose | 11/10 | .933 | Duke | North Carolina | 36-13 | .247 | .558 | .091 | .037 | .049 | .010 | .006 | .003 |
W 27-7 | Win | 11/10 | .765 | Eastern Michigan | Akron | 27-15 | .105 | .453 | .120 | .087 | .151 | .044 | .027 | .013 |
W 35-31 | Win | 11/10 | .579 | Florida | South Carolina | 28-26 | .030 | .301 | .125 | .123 | .255 | .085 | .054 | .027 |
W 34-15 | Lose | 11/10 | .800 | Florida Atlantic | Western Kentucky | 32-19 | .129 | .477 | .115 | .078 | .131 | .037 | .022 | .011 |
W 45-7 | Win | 11/10 | .843 | Florida International | UTSA | 35-19 | .164 | .505 | .108 | .065 | .104 | .028 | .017 | .008 |
W 27-10 | Win | 11/10 | .892 | Georgia | Auburn | 35-15 | .207 | .535 | .100 | .050 | .075 | .018 | .011 | .005 |
L 21-35 | Lose | 11/10 | .554 | Georgia Southern | Troy | 27-26 | .030 | .277 | .123 | .125 | .269 | .090 | .058 | .029 |
W 34-32 | Win | 11/10 | .609 | Indiana | Maryland | 28-24 | .034 | .328 | .127 | .120 | .240 | .078 | .049 | .024 |
L 10-14 | Win | 11/10 | .718 | Iowa | Northwestern | 27-18 | .076 | .419 | .124 | .099 | .178 | .054 | .033 | .016 |
W 28-14 | Lose | 11/10 | .955 | Iowa State | Baylor | 39-13 | .269 | .570 | .087 | .029 | .034 | .006 | .003 | .001 |
W 21-17 | Win | 11/10 | .634 | Kansas State | Kansas | 27-23 | .040 | .350 | .127 | .116 | .226 | .072 | .046 | .022 |
L 7-24 | Lose | 11/10 | .915 | Kentucky | Tennessee | 33-11 | .229 | .548 | .095 | .043 | .060 | .013 | .008 | .004 |
W 36-22 | Lose | 11/10 | .563 | Louisiana Lafayette | Georgia State | 36-35 | .030 | .286 | .124 | .124 | .264 | .088 | .056 | .028 |
W 38-10 | Lose | 11/10 | .636 | Louisiana Monroe | South Alabama | 32-27 | .041 | .352 | .127 | .116 | .225 | .072 | .045 | .022 |
W 28-13 | Win | 11/10 | .887 | Louisiana Tech | Rice | 35-16 | .203 | .532 | .101 | .052 | .078 | .019 | .011 | .005 |
W 24-17 | Lose | 11/10 | .956 | LSU | Arkansas | 36-10 | .269 | .570 | .087 | .029 | .034 | .006 | .003 | .001 |
W 30-13 | Win | 11/10 | .805 | Marshall | Charlotte | 29-15 | .134 | .481 | .114 | .076 | .127 | .035 | .022 | .010 |
W 47-21 | Lose | 11/10 | .585 | Memphis | Tulsa | 31-28 | .031 | .306 | .125 | .123 | .253 | .083 | .053 | .026 |
L 21-27 | Lose | 11/10 | .537 | Miami | Georgia Tech | 28-27 | .031 | .260 | .120 | .126 | .278 | .094 | .061 | .030 |
W 42-7 | Lose | 11/10 | .990 | Michigan | Rutgers | 44-0 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
L 6-26 | Lose | 11/10 | .656 | Michigan State | Ohio State | 28-22 | .047 | .369 | .127 | .112 | .214 | .067 | .042 | .021 |
W 48-32 | Lose | 11/10 | .632 | Middle Tennessee | UTEP | 26-22 | .040 | .348 | .127 | .116 | .227 | .073 | .046 | .023 |
W 33-28 | Lose | 11/10 | .885 | Missouri | Vanderbilt | 36-17 | .201 | .530 | .101 | .052 | .079 | .019 | .012 | .005 |
W 54-35 | Win | 11/10 | .888 | Nebraska | Illinois | 39-20 | .204 | .532 | .100 | .051 | .077 | .019 | .011 | .005 |
W 49-10 | Win | 11/10 | .871 | Nevada | Colorado State | 35-17 | .189 | .522 | .104 | .057 | .087 | .022 | .013 | .006 |
L 31-34 | Lose | 11/10 | .953 | North Texas | Old Dominion | 40-14 | .267 | .569 | .087 | .030 | .036 | .006 | .003 | .002 |
W 42-13 | Win | 11/10 | .984 | Notre Dame | Florida State | 38-9 | .299 | .585 | .080 | .020 | .015 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
W 48-47 | Lose | 11/10 | .977 | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | 50-21 | .292 | .582 | .082 | .022 | .020 | .002 | .001 | .000 |
W 22-10 | Win | 11/10 | .739 | Penn State | Wisconsin | 30-20 | .088 | .434 | .122 | .094 | .166 | .049 | .031 | .015 |
W 52-22 | Win | 11/10 | .663 | Pittsburgh | Virginia Tech | 31-24 | .050 | .375 | .127 | .111 | .210 | .066 | .041 | .020 |
L 10-41 | Lose | 11/10 | .913 | Purdue | Minnesota | 38-16 | .228 | .547 | .095 | .043 | .061 | .014 | .008 | .004 |
L 24-27 | n/a | 11/10 | .930 | San Diego State | UNLV | 37-13 | .244 | .557 | .092 | .038 | .050 | .010 | .006 | .003 |
W 62-50 | Lose | 11/10 | .967 | SMU | Connecticut | 43-15 | .281 | .576 | .084 | .025 | .027 | .003 | .002 | .001 |
W 48-17 | Win | 11/10 | .967 | Stanford | Oregon State | 44-17 | .281 | .576 | .084 | .025 | .027 | .003 | .002 | .001 |
W 59-49 | Win | 11/10 | .621 | Temple | Houston | 30-26 | .037 | .339 | .127 | .118 | .233 | .075 | .047 | .023 |
W 38-24 | Lose | 11/10 | .614 | Texas A&M | Mississippi | 31-27 | .036 | .332 | .127 | .119 | .237 | .077 | .049 | .024 |
L 34-41 | Lose | 11/10 | .547 | Texas Tech | Texas | 30-29 | .030 | .270 | .122 | .125 | .273 | .092 | .059 | .030 |
W 24-18 | Win | 11/10 | .631 | Tulane | East Carolina | 27-22 | .040 | .347 | .127 | .117 | .228 | .073 | .046 | .023 |
W 26-23 | Win | 11/10 | .780 | UAB | Southern Mississippi | 27-15 | .115 | .463 | .118 | .084 | .142 | .041 | .025 | .012 |
L 14-15 | Win | 11/10 | .582 | USC | California | 23-21 | .031 | .303 | .125 | .123 | .254 | .084 | .053 | .027 |
W 32-25 | Win | 11/10 | .781 | Utah | Oregon | 33-21 | .116 | .465 | .118 | .083 | .141 | .040 | .025 | .012 |
W 62-24 | Win | 11/10 | .990 | Utah State | San Jose State | 43-10 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 45-24 | Win | 11/10 | .846 | Virginia | Liberty | 35-18 | .166 | .507 | .108 | .064 | .103 | .027 | .017 | .008 |
W 31-7 | Win | 11/10 | .771 | Washington State | Colorado | 36-24 | .109 | .457 | .119 | .086 | .147 | .042 | .026 | .013 |
W 47-10 | Win | 11/10 | .843 | West Virginia | TCU | 34-18 | .164 | .505 | .108 | .065 | .104 | .028 | .017 | .008 |
Week 10 Game Projections and Results
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
W 51-42 | Win | 10/30 | .782 | Buffalo | Miami (OH) | 31-19 | .117 | .465 | .117 | .083 | .141 | .040 | .025 | .012 |
W 35-28 | Win | 10/30 | .569 | Kent State | Bowling Green | 32-30 | .030 | .291 | .124 | .124 | .261 | .087 | .055 | .028 |
W 45-13 | Lose | 10/31 | .781 | Toledo | Ball State | 36-23 | .116 | .464 | .118 | .083 | .142 | .040 | .025 | .012 |
W 52-40 | Lose | 11/1 | .702 | Central Florida | Temple | 30-22 | .067 | .406 | .125 | .103 | .188 | .057 | .036 | .017 |
W 36-26 | Win | 11/1 | .670 | Northern Illinois | Akron | 21-14 | .053 | .380 | .127 | .110 | .206 | .064 | .040 | .020 |
W 59-14 | Win | 11/1 | .709 | Ohio | Western Michigan | 38-29 | .071 | .412 | .125 | .101 | .184 | .056 | .035 | .017 |
L 34-42 | Lose | 11/2 | .547 | Colorado | Arizona | 25-24 | .030 | .270 | .122 | .125 | .272 | .092 | .059 | .030 |
W 29-10 | Lose | 11/2 | .686 | Middle Tennessee | Western Kentucky | 29-22 | .060 | .393 | .126 | .106 | .197 | .061 | .038 | .019 |
L 13-23 | Lose | 11/2 | .809 | Virginia | Pittsburgh | 34-20 | .137 | .483 | .114 | .075 | .125 | .035 | .021 | .010 |
W 29-0 | Lose | 11/3 | .613 | Alabama | LSU | 30-26 | .035 | .332 | .127 | .119 | .237 | .077 | .049 | .024 |
W 23-7 | Win | 11/3 | .924 | Appalachian State | Coastal Carolina | 42-19 | .238 | .553 | .093 | .040 | .054 | .011 | .007 | .003 |
W 38-14 | Lose | 11/3 | .731 | Arkansas State | South Alabama | 34-24 | .084 | .429 | .123 | .096 | .171 | .051 | .032 | .015 |
W 17-14 | Lose | 11/3 | .887 | Army | Air Force | 42-22 | .203 | .532 | .101 | .052 | .078 | .019 | .011 | .005 |
W 28-24 | Win | 11/3 | .724 | Auburn | Texas A&M | 26-17 | .079 | .423 | .124 | .098 | .175 | .053 | .033 | .016 |
W 21-16 | Lose | 11/3 | .890 | Boise State | BYU | 37-17 | .206 | .534 | .100 | .051 | .076 | .018 | .011 | .005 |
W 31-21 | Win | 11/3 | .720 | Boston College | Virginia Tech | 30-21 | .077 | .420 | .124 | .099 | .177 | .053 | .033 | .016 |
W 42-0 | Win | 11/3 | .977 | Cincinnati | Navy | 40-12 | .291 | .581 | .082 | .022 | .020 | .002 | .001 | .000 |
W 77-16 | Win | 11/3 | .990 | Clemson | Louisville | 56-0 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
L 41-59 | Lose | 11/3 | .551 | East Carolina | Memphis | 29-28 | .030 | .274 | .122 | .125 | .270 | .091 | .058 | .029 |
W 17-7 | Lose | 11/3 | .817 | Eastern Michigan | Central Michigan | 30-15 | .143 | .488 | .113 | .073 | .120 | .033 | .020 | .010 |
L 17-38 | Win | 11/3 | .624 | Florida | Missouri | 28-23 | .038 | .341 | .127 | .118 | .231 | .074 | .047 | .023 |
L 14-49 | Lose | 11/3 | .727 | Florida International | Florida Atlantic | 33-24 | .081 | .425 | .123 | .097 | .173 | .052 | .032 | .016 |
W 48-3 | Win | 11/3 | .985 | Fresno State | UNLV | 43-13 | .300 | .586 | .080 | .019 | .014 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
W 34-17 | Lose | 11/3 | .696 | Georgia | Kentucky | 27-20 | .064 | .401 | .126 | .104 | .191 | .059 | .037 | .018 |
L 25-44 | Lose | 11/3 | .968 | Georgia Southern | Louisiana Monroe | 41-14 | .282 | .577 | .084 | .025 | .026 | .003 | .002 | .001 |
W 38-28 | Win | 11/3 | .778 | Georgia Tech | North Carolina | 36-24 | .114 | .462 | .118 | .084 | .144 | .041 | .025 | .012 |
L 31-45 | Lose | 11/3 | .913 | Houston | SMU | 38-16 | .228 | .547 | .095 | .043 | .061 | .014 | .008 | .004 |
L 36-38 | Lose | 11/3 | .548 | Iowa | Purdue | 24-23 | .030 | .271 | .122 | .125 | .272 | .092 | .059 | .030 |
W 27-3 | Win | 11/3 | .963 | Iowa State | Kansas | 36-10 | .277 | .575 | .085 | .027 | .029 | .004 | .002 | .001 |
L 59-62 | Lose | 11/3 | .754 | Liberty | Massachusetts | 36-25 | .097 | .445 | .121 | .090 | .158 | .046 | .029 | .014 |
L 12-20 | Win | 11/3 | .546 | Miami | Duke | 25-24 | .030 | .269 | .122 | .125 | .273 | .092 | .059 | .030 |
W 42-7 | Lose | 11/3 | .681 | Michigan | Penn State | 27-20 | .058 | .389 | .126 | .107 | .200 | .062 | .039 | .019 |
W 24-3 | Win | 11/3 | .854 | Michigan State | Maryland | 31-14 | .174 | .512 | .107 | .062 | .098 | .025 | .015 | .007 |
L 31-55 | Lose | 11/3 | .930 | Minnesota | Illinois | 40-17 | .244 | .557 | .092 | .038 | .050 | .010 | .006 | .003 |
W 45-3 | Lose | 11/3 | .913 | Mississippi State | Louisiana Tech | 33-11 | .228 | .547 | .095 | .043 | .061 | .014 | .008 | .004 |
W 47-28 | Win | 11/3 | .918 | North Carolina State | Florida State | 36-13 | .232 | .550 | .094 | .042 | .058 | .013 | .008 | .003 |
W 31-21 | Push | 11/3 | .672 | Notre Dame | Northwestern | 26-20 | .054 | .382 | .127 | .109 | .205 | .064 | .040 | .020 |
W 36-31 | Lose | 11/3 | .912 | Ohio State | Nebraska | 40-19 | .227 | .547 | .096 | .043 | .062 | .014 | .008 | .004 |
W 51-46 | n/a | 11/3 | .810 | Oklahoma | Texas Tech | 40-26 | .138 | .484 | .114 | .075 | .124 | .034 | .021 | .010 |
L 31-35 | Lose | 11/3 | .753 | Oklahoma State | Baylor | 37-26 | .097 | .445 | .121 | .091 | .158 | .046 | .029 | .014 |
W 42-21 | Lose | 11/3 | .739 | Oregon | UCLA | 33-23 | .088 | .434 | .122 | .094 | .166 | .049 | .031 | .015 |
W 31-23 | Lose | 11/3 | .897 | San Diego State | New Mexico | 34-13 | .213 | .538 | .099 | .048 | .071 | .017 | .010 | .005 |
W 48-44 | Win | 11/3 | .684 | South Carolina | Mississippi | 34-27 | .059 | .392 | .126 | .107 | .198 | .061 | .038 | .019 |
L 15-41 | Win | 11/3 | .596 | South Florida | Tulane | 28-25 | .032 | .316 | .126 | .121 | .246 | .081 | .051 | .025 |
W 26-24 | Win | 11/3 | .531 | Southern Mississippi | Marshall | 21-20 | .031 | .254 | .120 | .126 | .281 | .096 | .061 | .031 |
W 41-24 | Win | 11/3 | .893 | Syracuse | Wake Forest | 38-18 | .208 | .535 | .100 | .050 | .074 | .018 | .011 | .005 |
W 14-13 | Lose | 11/3 | .789 | TCU | Kansas State | 33-20 | .122 | .470 | .117 | .081 | .137 | .039 | .024 | .011 |
W 14-3 | Win | 11/3 | .802 | Tennessee | Charlotte | 33-20 | .132 | .479 | .115 | .077 | .129 | .036 | .022 | .011 |
W 40-31 | Win | 11/3 | .563 | Texas State | Georgia State | 28-26 | .030 | .285 | .124 | .124 | .264 | .088 | .056 | .028 |
W 26-16 | Win | 11/3 | .888 | Troy | Louisiana Lafayette | 43-23 | .204 | .533 | .100 | .051 | .077 | .019 | .011 | .005 |
W 49-19 | Win | 11/3 | .977 | Tulsa | Connecticut | 42-13 | .291 | .582 | .082 | .022 | .020 | .002 | .001 | .000 |
W 52-3 | Win | 11/3 | .990 | UAB | UTSA | 38-6 | .305 | .588 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 38-21 | Win | 11/3 | .841 | USC | Oregon State | 38-21 | .162 | .504 | .109 | .066 | .106 | .028 | .017 | .008 |
L 20-38 | Lose | 11/3 | .727 | Utah | Arizona State | 30-20 | .081 | .425 | .123 | .097 | .173 | .052 | .032 | .016 |
W 56-17 | Win | 11/3 | .928 | Utah State | Hawaii | 42-19 | .242 | .555 | .092 | .038 | .052 | .011 | .006 | .003 |
W 34-26 | Win | 11/3 | .715 | UTEP | Rice | 30-21 | .074 | .416 | .124 | .100 | .180 | .054 | .034 | .016 |
W 27-23 | Lose | 11/3 | .801 | Washington | Stanford | 32-19 | .131 | .478 | .115 | .078 | .130 | .036 | .022 | .011 |
W 19-13 | Lose | 11/3 | .875 | Washington State | California | 35-17 | .192 | .525 | .103 | .055 | .085 | .021 | .013 | .006 |
W 42-41 | Push | 11/3 | .596 | West Virginia | Texas | 29-26 | .032 | .317 | .126 | .121 | .246 | .081 | .051 | .025 |
W 31-17 | Win | 11/3 | .969 | Wisconsin | Rutgers | 38-11 | .283 | .578 | .084 | .025 | .025 | .003 | .002 | .001 |
W 24-9 | Win | 11/3 | .702 | Wyoming | San Jose State | 27-19 | .068 | .406 | .125 | .103 | .188 | .057 | .036 | .017 |
Week 9 Game Projections and Results
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
L 14-34 | Lose | 10/25 | .739 | Appalachian State | Georgia Southern | 34-22 | .201 | .219 | .193 | .127 | .181 | .044 | .025 | .011 |
W 52-14 | Win | 10/25 | .875 | Ohio | Ball State | 38-22 | .253 | .260 | .222 | .139 | .088 | .021 | .012 | .005 |
L 28-49 | Lose | 10/25 | .728 | Virginia Tech | Georgia Tech | 31-26 | .110 | .179 | .228 | .212 | .170 | .053 | .033 | .016 |
W 58-14 | Win | 10/25 | .900 | West Virginia | Baylor | 37-20 | .297 | .267 | .215 | .121 | .073 | .015 | .008 | .003 |
L 24-51 | Lose | 10/25 | .804 | Western Michigan | Toledo | 36-26 | .167 | .228 | .230 | .179 | .129 | .036 | .021 | .010 |
L 31-38 | Lose | 10/26 | .599 | Indiana | Minnesota | 29-24 | .104 | .159 | .181 | .155 | .256 | .076 | .047 | .022 |
W 21-13 | Win | 10/26 | .695 | Louisiana Tech | Florida Atlantic | 29-21 | .164 | .202 | .191 | .138 | .205 | .054 | .032 | .014 |
L 14-27 | Lose | 10/26 | .704 | Miami | Boston College | 29-20 | .171 | .206 | .192 | .136 | .200 | .052 | .030 | .013 |
W 41-10 | Win | 10/26 | .860 | Utah | UCLA | 33-16 | .354 | .248 | .180 | .078 | .109 | .018 | .009 | .003 |
W 34-21 | Lose | 10/26 | .531 | Wyoming | Colorado State | 25-22 | .076 | .125 | .169 | .162 | .291 | .092 | .058 | .028 |
W 17-10 | Lose | 10/27 | .633 | Akron | Central Michigan | 22-20 | .071 | .098 | .216 | .247 | .219 | .076 | .048 | .024 |
L 31-45 | Lose | 10/27 | .531 | Arkansas | Vanderbilt | 24-23 | .061 | .004 | .191 | .275 | .270 | .100 | .065 | .034 |
L 43-47 | Lose | 10/27 | .751 | Arkansas State | Louisiana Lafayette | 37-26 | .212 | .223 | .193 | .123 | .174 | .041 | .023 | .010 |
W 37-22 | Win | 10/27 | .600 | Army | Eastern Michigan | 32-25 | .105 | .160 | .181 | .155 | .256 | .076 | .046 | .022 |
W 48-38 | Push | 10/27 | .700 | Boise State | Air Force | 32-21 | .167 | .204 | .191 | .137 | .203 | .053 | .031 | .014 |
W 26-20 | Lose | 10/27 | .964 | Cincinnati | SMU | 37-8 | .619 | .214 | .125 | .007 | .035 | .000 | .000 | .001 |
W 59-10 | Win | 10/27 | .959 | Clemson | Florida State | 36-6 | .606 | .222 | .131 | .001 | .039 | .001 | .000 | .001 |
W 37-34 | Lose | 10/27 | .502 | Coastal Carolina | Georgia State | 34-32 | .066 | .109 | .163 | .163 | .305 | .099 | .063 | .031 |
L 34-41 | Lose | 10/27 | .989 | Colorado | Oregon State | 48-15 | .593 | .239 | .146 | .011 | .011 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
L 45-54 | Lose | 10/27 | .898 | Duke | Pittsburgh | 34-14 | .427 | .247 | .169 | .055 | .085 | .011 | .005 | .001 |
W 38-17 | Win | 10/27 | .552 | Florida International | Western Kentucky | 30-24 | .083 | .136 | .173 | .160 | .280 | .087 | .054 | .026 |
W 50-20 | Win | 10/27 | .982 | Fresno State | Hawaii | 44-13 | .552 | .249 | .157 | .025 | .016 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
W 36-17 | Lose | 10/27 | .571 | Georgia | Florida | 29-23 | .070 | .112 | .189 | .199 | .260 | .087 | .055 | .027 |
W 57-36 | Win | 10/27 | .870 | Houston | South Florida | 36-20 | .247 | .259 | .223 | .142 | .091 | .021 | .012 | .005 |
W 40-31 | Lose | 10/27 | .674 | Iowa State | Texas Tech | 29-24 | .084 | .135 | .222 | .232 | .198 | .066 | .042 | .021 |
W 15-14 | Win | 10/27 | .614 | Kentucky | Missouri | 26-23 | .112 | .166 | .183 | .153 | .249 | .073 | .044 | .021 |
W 63-33 | Win | 10/27 | .907 | Maryland | Illinois | 36-16 | .310 | .269 | .212 | .116 | .069 | .014 | .008 | .003 |
W 22-17 | Win | 10/27 | .707 | Massachusetts | Connecticut | 41-30 | .173 | .207 | .192 | .135 | .199 | .051 | .030 | .013 |
W 23-13 | Win | 10/27 | .586 | Michigan State | Purdue | 24-23 | .064 | .054 | .207 | .262 | .242 | .087 | .056 | .028 |
W 28-13 | Win | 10/27 | .790 | Mississippi State | Texas A&M | 27-17 | .154 | .220 | .230 | .185 | .137 | .039 | .023 | .011 |
L 41-51 | Lose | 10/27 | .690 | North Carolina State | Syracuse | 32-21 | .160 | .200 | .191 | .139 | .208 | .055 | .032 | .014 |
W 41-17 | Lose | 10/27 | .990 | North Texas | Rice | 45-6 | .676 | .184 | .100 | .030 | .009 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
W 7-6 | Win | 10/27 | .647 | Northern Illinois | BYU | 26-20 | .131 | .182 | .187 | .148 | .231 | .065 | .039 | .018 |
W 31-17 | Win | 10/27 | .606 | Northwestern | Wisconsin | 24-23 | .066 | .071 | .211 | .258 | .232 | .082 | .053 | .027 |
W 44-22 | Win | 10/27 | .990 | Notre Dame | Navy | 46-9 | .673 | .186 | .102 | .028 | .009 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
W 51-14 | Win | 10/27 | .983 | Oklahoma | Kansas State | 48-18 | .560 | .247 | .155 | .022 | .015 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
L 17-51 | Lose | 10/27 | .698 | Old Dominion | Middle Tennessee | 29-26 | .094 | .156 | .225 | .223 | .186 | .060 | .038 | .018 |
L 15-44 | Lose | 10/27 | .725 | Oregon | Arizona | 33-21 | .188 | .214 | .192 | .131 | .189 | .047 | .027 | .012 |
W 30-24 | Lose | 10/27 | .509 | Penn State | Iowa | 24-23 | .056 | .029 | .167 | .257 | .281 | .106 | .069 | .036 |
L 24-28 | Lose | 10/27 | .712 | San Diego State | Nevada | 27-17 | .177 | .209 | .192 | .134 | .196 | .050 | .029 | .013 |
W 27-24 | Lose | 10/27 | .921 | South Carolina | Tennessee | 36-17 | .341 | .270 | .207 | .104 | .059 | .011 | .006 | .002 |
L 17-20 | Lose | 10/27 | .653 | Southern Mississippi | Charlotte | 26-19 | .134 | .185 | .188 | .147 | .228 | .063 | .038 | .017 |
L 26-27 | Win | 10/27 | .713 | TCU | Kansas | 27-16 | .178 | .209 | .192 | .134 | .196 | .050 | .029 | .013 |
L 35-38 | Lose | 10/27 | .711 | Texas | Oklahoma State | 33-24 | .176 | .209 | .192 | .135 | .197 | .050 | .029 | .013 |
W 27-20 | Win | 10/27 | .763 | Texas State | New Mexico State | 29-22 | .133 | .203 | .230 | .197 | .151 | .045 | .027 | .013 |
L 17-24 | Lose | 10/27 | .794 | Tulsa | Tulane | 27-18 | .158 | .222 | .230 | .184 | .134 | .038 | .023 | .011 |
W 19-0 | Win | 10/27 | .750 | UAB | UTEP | 32-17 | .211 | .223 | .193 | .124 | .175 | .042 | .024 | .010 |
L 37-50 | Lose | 10/27 | .520 | UNLV | San Jose State | 29-26 | .072 | .119 | .167 | .162 | .297 | .095 | .060 | .029 |
L 35-38 | Win | 10/27 | .565 | USC | Arizona State | 25-24 | .062 | .033 | .202 | .268 | .253 | .092 | .060 | .030 |
W 61-19 | n/a | 10/27 | .913 | Utah State | New Mexico | 37-17 | .322 | .270 | .210 | .111 | .065 | .013 | .007 | .003 |
W 31-21 | Win | 10/27 | .961 | Virginia | North Carolina | 36-12 | .454 | .265 | .181 | .060 | .033 | .004 | .002 | .000 |
W 56-35 | Win | 10/27 | .504 | Wake Forest | Louisville | 27-25 | .067 | .110 | .163 | .163 | .305 | .099 | .062 | .031 |
L 10-12 | Lose | 10/27 | .942 | Washington | California | 37-9 | .544 | .234 | .146 | .018 | .053 | .004 | .001 | .000 |
W 41-38 | Win | 10/27 | .562 | Washington State | Stanford | 30-26 | .087 | .141 | .175 | .159 | .276 | .085 | .053 | .025 |
Week 8 Game Projections and Results
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
W 24-23 | Lose | 10/20 | .810 | Akron | Kent State | 33-17 | .278 | .240 | .189 | .103 | .141 | .029 | .015 | .006 |
W 58-21 | Win | 10/20 | .934 | Alabama | Tennessee | 44-13 | .519 | .238 | .151 | .026 | .059 | .005 | .002 | .000 |
W 27-17 | Lose | 10/20 | .990 | Appalachian State | Louisiana Lafayette | 58-14 | .764 | .109 | .053 | .064 | .007 | .001 | .001 | .001 |
W 23-0 | Lose | 10/20 | .517 | Arkansas | Tulsa | 24-23 | .057 | .020 | .175 | .263 | .277 | .104 | .068 | .035 |
W 31-30 | Lose | 10/20 | .882 | Army | Miami (OH) | 37-20 | .265 | .262 | .220 | .135 | .084 | .019 | .011 | .004 |
W 31-16 | Win | 10/20 | .700 | Auburn | Mississippi | 30-23 | .167 | .204 | .191 | .137 | .203 | .053 | .031 | .014 |
W 31-17 | Win | 10/20 | .903 | Buffalo | Toledo | 42-20 | .439 | .247 | .167 | .051 | .081 | .010 | .005 | .001 |
W 49-7 | Win | 10/20 | .701 | California | Oregon State | 34-24 | .168 | .205 | .191 | .137 | .202 | .052 | .031 | .014 |
W 37-10 | Win | 10/20 | .914 | Central Florida | East Carolina | 41-16 | .466 | .244 | .162 | .043 | .074 | .008 | .003 | .000 |
L 17-24 | Lose | 10/20 | .545 | Cincinnati | Temple | 24-23 | .081 | .132 | .172 | .161 | .284 | .089 | .055 | .027 |
W 41-7 | Lose | 10/20 | .738 | Clemson | North Carolina State | 29-23 | .115 | .186 | .229 | .208 | .165 | .051 | .031 | .015 |
L 14-28 | Lose | 10/20 | .893 | Duke | Virginia | 31-16 | .284 | .266 | .217 | .127 | .077 | .017 | .009 | .004 |
W 42-20 | Win | 10/20 | .739 | Eastern Michigan | Ball State | 30-19 | .201 | .219 | .193 | .127 | .181 | .044 | .025 | .011 |
W 36-17 | Win | 10/20 | .920 | Florida International | Rice | 39-17 | .338 | .270 | .207 | .104 | .060 | .011 | .006 | .002 |
W 38-17 | Win | 10/20 | .852 | Florida State | Wake Forest | 29-17 | .221 | .251 | .226 | .154 | .102 | .025 | .015 | .006 |
W 38-7 | Win | 10/20 | .839 | Fresno State | New Mexico | 34-15 | .320 | .245 | .185 | .089 | .123 | .023 | .012 | .004 |
W 48-31 | Win | 10/20 | .716 | Georgia Southern | New Mexico State | 33-19 | .180 | .210 | .192 | .133 | .194 | .049 | .029 | .013 |
L 22-40 | Win | 10/20 | .568 | Hawaii | Nevada | 30-28 | .062 | .037 | .203 | .267 | .251 | .091 | .059 | .030 |
W 49-36 | Win | 10/20 | .831 | Houston | Navy | 39-19 | .307 | .244 | .186 | .093 | .128 | .024 | .013 | .005 |
W 23-0 | Win | 10/20 | .915 | Iowa | Maryland | 32-14 | .327 | .270 | .209 | .109 | .063 | .012 | .007 | .002 |
W 14-7 | Lose | 10/20 | .984 | Kentucky | Vanderbilt | 36-9 | .560 | .247 | .154 | .022 | .015 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
W 31-24 | Win | 10/20 | .881 | Louisiana Tech | UTEP | 33-15 | .264 | .262 | .220 | .135 | .085 | .019 | .011 | .004 |
W 19-3 | Win | 10/20 | .851 | LSU | Mississippi State | 29-18 | .220 | .251 | .226 | .154 | .102 | .025 | .015 | .006 |
W 31-7 | Win | 10/20 | .839 | Marshall | Florida Atlantic | 34-22 | .205 | .246 | .228 | .161 | .109 | .028 | .016 | .007 |
L 13-24 | Lose | 10/20 | .656 | Massachusetts | Coastal Carolina | 39-36 | .078 | .120 | .220 | .239 | .207 | .070 | .044 | .022 |
L 7-21 | Lose | 10/20 | .654 | Michigan State | Michigan | 24-23 | .077 | .118 | .220 | .239 | .208 | .071 | .045 | .022 |
W 21-13 | Win | 10/20 | .777 | Middle Tennessee | Charlotte | 34-24 | .143 | .212 | .230 | .191 | .144 | .042 | .025 | .012 |
L 28-53 | Lose | 10/20 | .624 | Minnesota | Nebraska | 29-21 | .117 | .171 | .184 | .152 | .244 | .070 | .043 | .020 |
W 65-33 | Win | 10/20 | .890 | Missouri | Memphis | 41-21 | .279 | .265 | .218 | .129 | .079 | .017 | .010 | .004 |
L 21-29 | Lose | 10/20 | .742 | North Texas | UAB | 29-17 | .204 | .220 | .193 | .126 | .179 | .043 | .025 | .011 |
W 18-15 | Lose | 10/20 | .965 | Northwestern | Rutgers | 37-8 | .620 | .213 | .124 | .008 | .034 | .000 | .000 | .001 |
W 49-14 | Win | 10/20 | .902 | Ohio | Bowling Green | 43-24 | .300 | .268 | .214 | .120 | .072 | .015 | .008 | .003 |
L 20-49 | Lose | 10/20 | .748 | Ohio State | Purdue | 36-22 | .209 | .222 | .193 | .124 | .176 | .042 | .024 | .010 |
W 52-27 | Win | 10/20 | .866 | Oklahoma | TCU | 39-19 | .363 | .248 | .179 | .075 | .106 | .017 | .009 | .003 |
W 33-28 | Win | 10/20 | .730 | Penn State | Indiana | 33-21 | .192 | .216 | .192 | .129 | .186 | .046 | .026 | .011 |
W 16-13 | Lose | 10/20 | .990 | San Diego State | San Jose State | 38-7 | .623 | .230 | .137 | .000 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 38-30 | Lose | 10/20 | .990 | South Florida | Connecticut | 52-11 | .691 | .171 | .091 | .037 | .008 | .002 | .000 | .000 |
W 27-17 | Lose | 10/20 | .911 | Southern Mississippi | UTSA | 29-11 | .318 | .269 | .211 | .113 | .066 | .013 | .007 | .003 |
W 40-37 | Lose | 10/20 | .948 | Syracuse | North Carolina | 37-15 | .412 | .269 | .191 | .076 | .041 | .006 | .003 | .001 |
L 14-20 | Win | 10/20 | .675 | Texas State | Louisiana Monroe | 29-23 | .149 | .194 | .190 | .143 | .217 | .058 | .035 | .016 |
W 48-16 | Win | 10/20 | .964 | Texas Tech | Kansas | 39-14 | .464 | .264 | .179 | .056 | .031 | .004 | .002 | .000 |
L 23-27 | Lose | 10/20 | .802 | Tulane | SMU | 32-21 | .165 | .226 | .230 | .180 | .130 | .036 | .022 | .010 |
W 31-30 | Win | 10/20 | .687 | UCLA | Arizona | 28-22 | .089 | .146 | .224 | .227 | .192 | .063 | .040 | .019 |
W 41-28 | Lose | 10/20 | .657 | Utah | USC | 25-20 | .078 | .121 | .220 | .238 | .206 | .070 | .044 | .022 |
W 24-16 | Lose | 10/20 | .912 | Utah State | Wyoming | 38-13 | .461 | .245 | .162 | .044 | .075 | .009 | .004 | .000 |
W 27-13 | Win | 10/20 | .797 | Washington | Colorado | 32-22 | .161 | .224 | .230 | .182 | .133 | .037 | .022 | .010 |
W 34-20 | n/a | 10/20 | .611 | Washington State | Oregon | 32-29 | .067 | .076 | .212 | .256 | .230 | .081 | .052 | .026 |
L 34-37 | Win | 10/20 | .565 | Western Kentucky | Old Dominion | 27-26 | .062 | .033 | .202 | .268 | .253 | .092 | .060 | .030 |
W 35-10 | Lose | 10/20 | .502 | Western Michigan | Central Michigan | 30-26 | .066 | .109 | .163 | .163 | .306 | .100 | .063 | .031 |
W 49-20 | Win | 10/20 | .988 | Wisconsin | Illinois | 44-12 | .589 | .240 | .147 | .012 | .011 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
Week 7 Game Projections and Results
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
W 35-9 | Win | 10/9 | .836 | Appalachian State | Arkansas State | 36-20 | .316 | .245 | .185 | .091 | .124 | .023 | .012 | .004 |
W 15-13 | Win | 10/11 | .849 | Georgia Southern | Texas State | 34-18 | .335 | .246 | .183 | .084 | .117 | .021 | .010 | .003 |
L 14-17 | Win | 10/11 | .548 | TCU | Texas Tech | 28-26 | .061 | .016 | .198 | .273 | .261 | .096 | .062 | .032 |
W 21-17 | Lose | 10/12 | .903 | San Diego State | Air Force | 35-14 | .302 | .268 | .214 | .119 | .071 | .015 | .008 | .003 |
L 24-25 | Win | 10/12 | .574 | Tulsa | South Florida | 27-24 | .062 | .043 | .204 | .265 | .248 | .090 | .058 | .030 |
W 42-10 | Win | 10/12 | .854 | Utah | Arizona | 31-15 | .224 | .252 | .226 | .152 | .101 | .025 | .014 | .006 |
W 39-10 | Lose | 10/13 | .941 | Alabama | Missouri | 43-19 | .390 | .270 | .196 | .084 | .047 | .008 | .004 | .001 |
W 52-3 | Win | 10/13 | .912 | Army | San Jose State | 40-18 | .461 | .245 | .162 | .044 | .075 | .009 | .004 | .000 |
L 24-30 | Lose | 10/13 | .990 | Auburn | Tennessee | 41-3 | .659 | .198 | .111 | .021 | .009 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 31-27 | Lose | 10/13 | .926 | Boise State | Nevada | 37-13 | .497 | .241 | .155 | .033 | .065 | .006 | .002 | .000 |
W 38-20 | Win | 10/13 | .963 | Boston College | Louisville | 40-13 | .463 | .264 | .179 | .057 | .031 | .004 | .002 | .000 |
W 24-6 | Win | 10/13 | .829 | Buffalo | Akron | 32-18 | .193 | .241 | .229 | .167 | .115 | .030 | .018 | .008 |
W 49-23 | Lose | 10/13 | .718 | BYU | Hawaii | 33-25 | .104 | .171 | .227 | .215 | .175 | .055 | .034 | .017 |
L 7-37 | Win | 10/13 | .664 | California | UCLA | 27-21 | .080 | .127 | .221 | .236 | .203 | .068 | .043 | .021 |
W 31-30 | Lose | 10/13 | .816 | Central Florida | Memphis | 43-28 | .287 | .241 | .188 | .100 | .137 | .027 | .015 | .005 |
L 23-24 | Lose | 10/13 | .636 | Central Michigan | Ball State | 26-21 | .072 | .101 | .217 | .246 | .217 | .075 | .048 | .024 |
L 20-45 | Lose | 10/13 | .744 | Coastal Carolina | Louisiana Monroe | 39-29 | .119 | .190 | .229 | .205 | .162 | .049 | .030 | .015 |
W 28-14 | Win | 10/13 | .888 | Duke | Georgia Tech | 38-19 | .406 | .248 | .172 | .062 | .092 | .013 | .006 | .001 |
W 28-26 | Win | 10/13 | .942 | Eastern Michigan | Toledo | 42-17 | .392 | .270 | .196 | .083 | .046 | .008 | .004 | .001 |
W 37-27 | Win | 10/13 | .968 | Florida | Vanderbilt | 37-8 | .628 | .208 | .120 | .012 | .031 | .000 | .000 | .001 |
W 24-21 | Win | 10/13 | .785 | Florida International | Middle Tennessee | 33-21 | .150 | .217 | .230 | .188 | .140 | .040 | .024 | .011 |
W 27-3 | Win | 10/13 | .898 | Fresno State | Wyoming | 32-12 | .293 | .267 | .215 | .123 | .074 | .016 | .009 | .003 |
L 16-36 | Win | 10/13 | .554 | Georgia | LSU | 28-26 | .084 | .137 | .173 | .160 | .279 | .087 | .054 | .026 |
W 42-20 | Win | 10/13 | .871 | Houston | East Carolina | 37-19 | .373 | .248 | .178 | .072 | .103 | .016 | .008 | .002 |
W 42-16 | Win | 10/13 | .758 | Iowa | Indiana | 29-18 | .219 | .225 | .192 | .121 | .171 | .040 | .022 | .009 |
W 22-16 | Win | 10/13 | .590 | Liberty | Troy | 29-26 | .064 | .057 | .208 | .261 | .240 | .086 | .055 | .028 |
W 31-3 | Win | 10/13 | .955 | Louisiana Tech | UTSA | 37-10 | .591 | .225 | .135 | .004 | .042 | .001 | .000 | .001 |
W 42-20 | Lose | 10/13 | .561 | Marshall | Old Dominion | 28-26 | .087 | .140 | .174 | .159 | .276 | .085 | .053 | .025 |
W 34-7 | Win | 10/13 | .961 | Maryland | Rutgers | 37-10 | .454 | .265 | .181 | .060 | .032 | .004 | .002 | .000 |
L 13-16 | Win | 10/13 | .655 | Miami | Virginia | 28-22 | .135 | .185 | .188 | .146 | .227 | .063 | .038 | .017 |
W 31-6 | Lose | 10/13 | .747 | Miami (OH) | Kent State | 32-22 | .121 | .192 | .229 | .204 | .160 | .049 | .030 | .014 |
W 37-33 | Lose | 10/13 | .693 | Mississippi | Arkansas | 32-24 | .161 | .201 | .191 | .139 | .207 | .054 | .032 | .014 |
L 18-20 | Lose | 10/13 | .686 | New Mexico | Colorado State | 32-24 | .157 | .199 | .190 | .140 | .210 | .056 | .033 | .015 |
L 38-66 | Lose | 10/13 | .777 | New Mexico State | Louisiana Lafayette | 37-25 | .239 | .231 | .192 | .115 | .160 | .036 | .020 | .008 |
W 30-7 | Win | 10/13 | .884 | North Texas | Southern Mississippi | 31-13 | .268 | .263 | .219 | .133 | .083 | .019 | .010 | .004 |
W 24-21 | Win | 10/13 | .655 | Northern Illinois | Ohio | 29-24 | .077 | .119 | .220 | .239 | .208 | .070 | .045 | .022 |
W 34-31 | Push | 10/13 | .937 | Northwestern | Nebraska | 36-12 | .381 | .271 | .198 | .088 | .049 | .008 | .004 | .001 |
W 19-14 | Lose | 10/13 | .990 | Notre Dame | Pittsburgh | 46-6 | .678 | .182 | .099 | .031 | .009 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
W 30-14 | Lose | 10/13 | .990 | Ohio State | Minnesota | 44-10 | .606 | .236 | .142 | .006 | .009 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
L 12-31 | Lose | 10/13 | .848 | Oklahoma State | Kansas State | 38-22 | .334 | .246 | .183 | .085 | .117 | .021 | .011 | .004 |
L 17-21 | Win | 10/13 | .602 | Penn State | Michigan State | 27-24 | .065 | .068 | .210 | .258 | .234 | .083 | .053 | .027 |
W 46-7 | Win | 10/13 | .835 | Purdue | Illinois | 34-19 | .313 | .245 | .186 | .091 | .125 | .023 | .012 | .004 |
W 24-17 | Win | 10/13 | .887 | Temple | Navy | 37-17 | .405 | .248 | .173 | .062 | .092 | .013 | .006 | .001 |
W 23-17 | Lose | 10/13 | .955 | Texas | Baylor | 42-15 | .434 | .267 | .186 | .067 | .037 | .005 | .002 | .001 |
W 26-23 | Lose | 10/13 | .546 | Texas A&M | South Carolina | 26-24 | .081 | .132 | .172 | .161 | .284 | .089 | .055 | .027 |
W 42-0 | Lose | 10/13 | .711 | UAB | Rice | 32-23 | .176 | .209 | .192 | .134 | .197 | .050 | .029 | .013 |
W 31-20 | n/a | 10/13 | .702 | USC | Colorado | 31-24 | .096 | .158 | .226 | .222 | .184 | .059 | .037 | .018 |
W 59-28 | Lose | 10/13 | .947 | Utah State | UNLV | 41-16 | .409 | .269 | .192 | .077 | .042 | .007 | .003 | .001 |
W 22-19 | Lose | 10/13 | .943 | Virginia Tech | North Carolina | 38-12 | .549 | .233 | .144 | .017 | .052 | .003 | .001 | .000 |
L 27-30 | Lose | 10/13 | .937 | Washington | Oregon | 39-15 | .527 | .237 | .149 | .023 | .057 | .004 | .002 | .000 |
L 14-30 | Lose | 10/13 | .701 | West Virginia | Iowa State | 30-23 | .168 | .205 | .191 | .137 | .202 | .052 | .031 | .014 |
L 14-40 | Lose | 10/13 | .815 | Western Kentucky | Charlotte | 33-19 | .285 | .241 | .189 | .100 | .137 | .028 | .015 | .006 |
W 42-35 | Win | 10/13 | .688 | Western Michigan | Bowling Green | 36-29 | .158 | .199 | .191 | .140 | .209 | .055 | .033 | .015 |
L 13-38 | Lose | 10/13 | .535 | Wisconsin | Michigan | 27-26 | .077 | .127 | .170 | .161 | .289 | .091 | .057 | .028 |
Week 6 Game Projections and Results
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
W 41-26 | Win | 10/4 | 0.825 | Houston | Tulsa | 34-20 | 0.189 | 0.239 | 0.229 | 0.168 | 0.117 | 0.031 | 0.018 | 0.008 |
W 37-20 | Push | 10/4 | 0.894 | Troy | Georgia State | 38-18 | 0.285 | 0.266 | 0.217 | 0.126 | 0.077 | 0.017 | 0.009 | 0.004 |
L 20-45 | Lose | 10/5 | 0.726 | BYU | Utah State | 30-22 | 0.108 | 0.177 | 0.228 | 0.212 | 0.171 | 0.054 | 0.033 | 0.016 |
L 31-66 | Lose | 10/5 | 0.575 | Louisville | Georgia Tech | 29-27 | 0.062 | 0.044 | 0.204 | 0.265 | 0.248 | 0.090 | 0.058 | 0.029 |
L 24-34 | Lose | 10/5 | 0.928 | Marshall | Middle Tennessee | 35-12 | 0.356 | 0.271 | 0.204 | 0.097 | 0.055 | 0.010 | 0.005 | 0.002 |
W 35-7 | Win | 10/6 | 0.504 | Air Force | Navy | 31-30 | 0.055 | 0.034 | 0.162 | 0.253 | 0.283 | 0.107 | 0.070 | 0.036 |
L 17-41 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.667 | Akron | Miami (OH) | 26-20 | 0.081 | 0.130 | 0.221 | 0.235 | 0.202 | 0.067 | 0.043 | 0.021 |
W 65-31 | Win | 10/6 | 0.986 | Alabama | Arkansas | 43-9 | 0.691 | 0.168 | 0.089 | 0.038 | 0.011 | 0.002 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
W 24-17 | Win | 10/6 | 0.730 | Arizona | California | 29-21 | 0.111 | 0.180 | 0.228 | 0.211 | 0.169 | 0.053 | 0.033 | 0.016 |
L 21-28 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.797 | Arizona State | Colorado | 35-22 | 0.262 | 0.237 | 0.190 | 0.108 | 0.148 | 0.031 | 0.017 | 0.007 |
L 9-23 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.787 | Auburn | Mississippi State | 28-16 | 0.250 | 0.234 | 0.191 | 0.112 | 0.154 | 0.034 | 0.018 | 0.007 |
W 37-34 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.713 | Baylor | Kansas State | 32-24 | 0.101 | 0.167 | 0.227 | 0.217 | 0.178 | 0.057 | 0.035 | 0.017 |
L 13-19 | Win | 10/6 | 0.764 | Boise State | San Diego State | 32-21 | 0.133 | 0.204 | 0.230 | 0.197 | 0.151 | 0.045 | 0.027 | 0.013 |
W 34-24 | Win | 10/6 | 0.777 | Buffalo | Central Michigan | 30-18 | 0.239 | 0.231 | 0.192 | 0.115 | 0.160 | 0.036 | 0.020 | 0.008 |
W 48-20 | Win | 10/6 | 0.985 | Central Florida | SMU | 48-16 | 0.571 | 0.245 | 0.152 | 0.018 | 0.013 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
W 37-21 | Win | 10/6 | 0.825 | Cincinnati | Tulane | 33-19 | 0.188 | 0.239 | 0.229 | 0.169 | 0.118 | 0.031 | 0.018 | 0.008 |
W 63-3 | Win | 10/6 | 0.952 | Clemson | Wake Forest | 39-12 | 0.580 | 0.228 | 0.138 | 0.007 | 0.045 | 0.002 | 0.000 | 0.001 |
L 24-27 | Win | 10/6 | 0.638 | Eastern Michigan | Western Michigan | 30-25 | 0.125 | 0.178 | 0.186 | 0.149 | 0.236 | 0.067 | 0.040 | 0.019 |
W 21-3 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.839 | Fresno State | Nevada | 35-19 | 0.320 | 0.245 | 0.185 | 0.089 | 0.123 | 0.023 | 0.012 | 0.004 |
W 41-13 | Win | 10/6 | 0.990 | Georgia | Vanderbilt | 49-6 | 0.721 | 0.145 | 0.074 | 0.050 | 0.003 | 0.005 | 0.000 | 0.001 |
W 48-13 | n/a | 10/6 | 0.804 | Georgia Southern | South Alabama | 34-21 | 0.168 | 0.228 | 0.230 | 0.179 | 0.129 | 0.036 | 0.021 | 0.010 |
W 17-13 | Win | 10/6 | 0.584 | Hawaii | Wyoming | 29-27 | 0.063 | 0.052 | 0.206 | 0.262 | 0.243 | 0.087 | 0.056 | 0.029 |
W 48-31 | Win | 10/6 | 0.807 | Iowa | Minnesota | 26-12 | 0.275 | 0.239 | 0.189 | 0.104 | 0.142 | 0.029 | 0.016 | 0.006 |
L 14-20 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.590 | Kentucky | Texas A&M | 26-23 | 0.100 | 0.155 | 0.179 | 0.156 | 0.261 | 0.078 | 0.048 | 0.023 |
L 41-49 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.674 | Liberty | New Mexico State | 28-21 | 0.148 | 0.194 | 0.190 | 0.143 | 0.217 | 0.058 | 0.035 | 0.016 |
L 7-28 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.978 | Louisiana Tech | UAB | 44-13 | 0.529 | 0.254 | 0.163 | 0.033 | 0.020 | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.000 |
L 19-27 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.806 | LSU | Florida | 30-16 | 0.273 | 0.239 | 0.190 | 0.104 | 0.143 | 0.029 | 0.016 | 0.006 |
W 55-14 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.990 | Memphis | Connecticut | 51-17 | 0.604 | 0.236 | 0.143 | 0.007 | 0.009 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
W 28-27 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.863 | Miami | Florida State | 30-14 | 0.236 | 0.256 | 0.224 | 0.147 | 0.095 | 0.023 | 0.013 | 0.006 |
W 42-21 | Win | 10/6 | 0.876 | Michigan | Maryland | 33-15 | 0.255 | 0.261 | 0.221 | 0.139 | 0.088 | 0.020 | 0.011 | 0.005 |
L 19-29 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.942 | Michigan State | Northwestern | 34-10 | 0.392 | 0.270 | 0.196 | 0.083 | 0.046 | 0.008 | 0.004 | 0.001 |
W 70-21 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.887 | Mississippi | Louisiana Monroe | 39-20 | 0.274 | 0.264 | 0.219 | 0.131 | 0.081 | 0.018 | 0.010 | 0.004 |
W 28-23 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.820 | North Carolina State | Boston College | 34-20 | 0.183 | 0.236 | 0.229 | 0.171 | 0.120 | 0.032 | 0.019 | 0.009 |
W 27-24 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.961 | North Texas | UTEP | 39-10 | 0.609 | 0.220 | 0.129 | 0.003 | 0.038 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.001 |
W 24-16 | n/a | 10/6 | 0.573 | Northern Illinois | Ball State | 23-20 | 0.092 | 0.146 | 0.177 | 0.158 | 0.270 | 0.082 | 0.051 | 0.024 |
W 45-23 | Win | 10/6 | 0.715 | Notre Dame | Virginia Tech | 27-19 | 0.180 | 0.210 | 0.192 | 0.133 | 0.194 | 0.049 | 0.029 | 0.013 |
W 27-26 | Win | 10/6 | 0.711 | Ohio | Kent State | 36-27 | 0.176 | 0.209 | 0.192 | 0.134 | 0.197 | 0.050 | 0.029 | 0.013 |
W 49-26 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.981 | Ohio State | Indiana | 43-11 | 0.543 | 0.251 | 0.159 | 0.028 | 0.017 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 |
L 45-48 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.768 | Oklahoma | Texas | 35-24 | 0.184 | 0.224 | 0.210 | 0.150 | 0.157 | 0.041 | 0.024 | 0.011 |
L 42-48 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.842 | Oklahoma State | Iowa State | 34-19 | 0.209 | 0.247 | 0.227 | 0.159 | 0.107 | 0.027 | 0.016 | 0.007 |
L 33-52 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.507 | Old Dominion | Florida Atlantic | 29-28 | 0.068 | 0.112 | 0.164 | 0.163 | 0.303 | 0.098 | 0.062 | 0.030 |
L 3-20 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.720 | Rice | UTSA | 32-24 | 0.105 | 0.173 | 0.228 | 0.215 | 0.174 | 0.055 | 0.034 | 0.017 |
L 17-38 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.558 | Rutgers | Illinois | 25-23 | 0.061 | 0.026 | 0.200 | 0.270 | 0.257 | 0.094 | 0.061 | 0.031 |
L 30-42 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.642 | San Jose State | Colorado State | 30-25 | 0.074 | 0.107 | 0.218 | 0.244 | 0.214 | 0.073 | 0.047 | 0.023 |
W 37-35 | Win | 10/6 | 0.668 | South Carolina | Missouri | 31-25 | 0.082 | 0.130 | 0.222 | 0.234 | 0.201 | 0.067 | 0.043 | 0.021 |
W 58-42 | Win | 10/6 | 0.839 | South Florida | Massachusetts | 37-21 | 0.320 | 0.245 | 0.185 | 0.089 | 0.122 | 0.022 | 0.012 | 0.004 |
L 21-40 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.887 | Stanford | Utah | 31-13 | 0.273 | 0.264 | 0.219 | 0.131 | 0.081 | 0.018 | 0.010 | 0.004 |
L 37-44 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.759 | Syracuse | Pittsburgh | 32-21 | 0.220 | 0.226 | 0.192 | 0.121 | 0.170 | 0.039 | 0.022 | 0.009 |
W 49-6 | Win | 10/6 | 0.929 | Temple | East Carolina | 37-14 | 0.359 | 0.271 | 0.203 | 0.096 | 0.055 | 0.010 | 0.005 | 0.002 |
L 27-42 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.835 | Texas State | Louisiana Lafayette | 37-23 | 0.200 | 0.244 | 0.228 | 0.163 | 0.112 | 0.029 | 0.017 | 0.008 |
W 52-36 | Win | 10/6 | 0.723 | Toledo | Bowling Green | 37-29 | 0.107 | 0.175 | 0.228 | 0.213 | 0.173 | 0.054 | 0.034 | 0.016 |
L 14-50 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.742 | UNLV | New Mexico | 33-23 | 0.118 | 0.189 | 0.229 | 0.206 | 0.163 | 0.050 | 0.031 | 0.015 |
W 31-24 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.990 | Washington | UCLA | 44-8 | 0.715 | 0.150 | 0.078 | 0.047 | 0.005 | 0.004 | 0.000 | 0.001 |
W 56-37 | Win | 10/6 | 0.903 | Washington State | Oregon State | 42-21 | 0.438 | 0.247 | 0.167 | 0.051 | 0.081 | 0.010 | 0.005 | 0.001 |
W 38-22 | n/a | 10/6 | 0.963 | West Virginia | Kansas | 40-13 | 0.461 | 0.264 | 0.180 | 0.057 | 0.031 | 0.004 | 0.002 | 0.000 |
W 41-24 | Lose | 10/6 | 0.990 | Wisconsin | Nebraska | 43-8 | 0.628 | 0.226 | 0.133 | 0.003 | 0.010 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Week 5 Game Projections and Results
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
W 47-10 | Win | 9/27 | .946 | Miami | North Carolina | 38-13 | .406 | .269 | .193 | .078 | .043 | .007 | .003 | .001 |
W 38-16 | Lose | 9/28 | .544 | Colorado | UCLA | 29-27 | .061 | .012 | .197 | .274 | .263 | .097 | .063 | .032 |
L 24-40 | Win | 9/28 | .748 | Memphis | Tulane | 36-25 | .209 | .222 | .193 | .125 | .176 | .042 | .024 | .010 |
L 25-28 | Lose | 9/29 | .686 | Air Force | Nevada | 34-27 | .089 | .146 | .224 | .228 | .192 | .063 | .040 | .020 |
W 56-14 | Lose | 9/29 | .990 | Alabama | Louisiana Lafayette | 62-3 | .887 | .010 | .020 | .073 | .007 | .000 | .001 | .001 |
W 52-7 | Lose | 9/29 | .892 | Appalachian State | South Alabama | 38-19 | .283 | .265 | .217 | .127 | .078 | .017 | .009 | .004 |
W 52-24 | Win | 9/29 | .961 | Arizona State | Oregon State | 44-16 | .457 | .265 | .181 | .059 | .032 | .004 | .002 | .000 |
W 24-13 | Lose | 9/29 | .990 | Auburn | Southern Mississippi | 45-0 | .731 | .136 | .069 | .054 | .003 | .004 | .001 | .002 |
W 52-24 | Lose | 9/29 | .631 | Ball State | Kent State | 28-24 | .071 | .096 | .216 | .248 | .220 | .076 | .049 | .024 |
W 34-14 | Lose | 9/29 | .822 | Boise State | Wyoming | 33-18 | .295 | .242 | .188 | .097 | .133 | .026 | .014 | .005 |
W 45-35 | Win | 9/29 | .667 | Boston College | Temple | 26-20 | .081 | .129 | .221 | .235 | .202 | .068 | .043 | .021 |
L 13-42 | Lose | 9/29 | .751 | Buffalo | Army | 35-25 | .124 | .195 | .230 | .202 | .158 | .048 | .029 | .014 |
L 24-42 | Lose | 9/29 | .557 | California | Oregon | 25-23 | .061 | .025 | .200 | .270 | .257 | .094 | .061 | .031 |
W 45-14 | Win | 9/29 | .915 | Central Florida | Pittsburgh | 42-21 | .326 | .270 | .210 | .109 | .064 | .013 | .007 | .002 |
W 49-7 | Win | 9/29 | .897 | Cincinnati | Connecticut | 38-18 | .425 | .247 | .169 | .056 | .086 | .011 | .005 | .001 |
W 27-23 | Lose | 9/29 | .990 | Clemson | Syracuse | 42-8 | .613 | .233 | .140 | .004 | .009 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
L 14-31 | Lose | 9/29 | .726 | Duke | Virginia Tech | 25-17 | .108 | .177 | .228 | .212 | .171 | .054 | .033 | .016 |
W 37-35 | Win | 9/29 | .620 | East Carolina | Old Dominion | 29-25 | .068 | .085 | .214 | .253 | .225 | .079 | .051 | .025 |
L 23-26 | Win | 9/29 | .616 | Eastern Michigan | Northern Illinois | 22-19 | .068 | .081 | .213 | .254 | .227 | .080 | .051 | .026 |
L 24-25 | Win | 9/29 | .500 | Florida Atlantic | Middle Tennessee | 31-30 | .066 | .109 | .163 | .163 | .306 | .100 | .063 | .031 |
W 28-24 | Lose | 9/29 | .652 | Florida State | Louisville | 25-19 | .133 | .184 | .187 | .147 | .229 | .064 | .038 | .018 |
W 49-27 | Lose | 9/29 | .705 | Fresno State | Toledo | 32-25 | .098 | .161 | .226 | .220 | .182 | .058 | .036 | .018 |
W 38-12 | Lose | 9/29 | .990 | Georgia | Tennessee | 50-0 | .793 | .085 | .042 | .070 | .007 | .000 | .001 | .001 |
W 28-21 | Win | 9/29 | .633 | Georgia Southern | Arkansas State | 27-23 | .071 | .098 | .216 | .247 | .219 | .076 | .048 | .024 |
W 63-17 | Lose | 9/29 | .779 | Georgia Tech | Bowling Green | 34-23 | .145 | .213 | .230 | .190 | .143 | .041 | .025 | .012 |
W 44-41 | Win | 9/29 | .537 | Hawaii | San Jose State | 29-28 | .078 | .128 | .170 | .161 | .288 | .091 | .057 | .027 |
W 24-17 | Win | 9/29 | .695 | Indiana | Rutgers | 26-18 | .164 | .202 | .191 | .138 | .205 | .054 | .032 | .014 |
W 24-10 | Win | 9/29 | .572 | Kentucky | South Carolina | 26-24 | .062 | .040 | .203 | .266 | .250 | .090 | .059 | .030 |
L 14-46 | Win | 9/29 | .562 | Louisiana Monroe | Georgia State | 30-28 | .087 | .141 | .175 | .159 | .276 | .085 | .053 | .025 |
W 29-27 | Win | 9/29 | .571 | Louisiana Tech | North Texas | 28-25 | .091 | .145 | .176 | .158 | .271 | .083 | .051 | .024 |
W 45-16 | Win | 9/29 | .964 | LSU | Mississippi | 41-13 | .465 | .264 | .179 | .056 | .030 | .004 | .002 | .000 |
W 20-17 | Lose | 9/29 | .691 | Marshall | Western Kentucky | 29-22 | .160 | .201 | .191 | .139 | .208 | .055 | .032 | .014 |
L 39-40 | Win | 9/29 | .532 | Miami (OH) | Western Michigan | 27-26 | .061 | .003 | .192 | .276 | .270 | .100 | .065 | .033 |
W 20-17 | Win | 9/29 | .795 | Michigan | Northwestern | 29-16 | .260 | .236 | .191 | .108 | .149 | .032 | .017 | .007 |
W 31-20 | Lose | 9/29 | .990 | Michigan State | Central Michigan | 42-3 | .670 | .189 | .104 | .027 | .009 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
L 6-13 | Lose | 9/29 | .814 | Mississippi State | Florida | 32-19 | .177 | .233 | .230 | .174 | .124 | .034 | .020 | .009 |
L 43-52 | Win | 9/29 | .679 | New Mexico | Liberty | 28-22 | .086 | .140 | .223 | .230 | .196 | .065 | .041 | .020 |
W 35-21 | Win | 9/29 | .875 | North Carolina State | Virginia | 34-16 | .255 | .260 | .222 | .139 | .088 | .020 | .011 | .005 |
W 38-17 | Lose | 9/29 | .628 | Notre Dame | Stanford | 27-23 | .070 | .093 | .215 | .249 | .221 | .077 | .049 | .025 |
W 58-42 | Win | 9/29 | .881 | Ohio | Massachusetts | 40-22 | .263 | .262 | .220 | .135 | .085 | .019 | .011 | .004 |
W 27-26 | Lose | 9/29 | .696 | Ohio State | Penn State | 35-27 | .164 | .203 | .191 | .138 | .205 | .053 | .031 | .014 |
W 66-33 | Win | 9/29 | .928 | Oklahoma | Baylor | 41-19 | .357 | .271 | .203 | .097 | .055 | .010 | .005 | .002 |
W 48-28 | Win | 9/29 | .897 | Oklahoma State | Kansas | 36-16 | .425 | .247 | .169 | .056 | .086 | .011 | .005 | .001 |
W 42-28 | Win | 9/29 | .636 | Purdue | Nebraska | 27-22 | .124 | .177 | .186 | .150 | .237 | .067 | .041 | .019 |
W 17-14 | Lose | 9/29 | .791 | TCU | Iowa State | 29-17 | .156 | .221 | .230 | .185 | .136 | .039 | .023 | .011 |
W 19-14 | Lose | 9/29 | .746 | Texas | Kansas State | 30-20 | .207 | .221 | .193 | .125 | .178 | .042 | .024 | .010 |
W 24-17 | n/a | 9/29 | .891 | Texas A&M | Arkansas | 36-16 | .351 | .259 | .192 | .089 | .084 | .015 | .008 | .003 |
W 45-21 | Win | 9/29 | .827 | Troy | Coastal Carolina | 37-23 | .191 | .240 | .229 | .167 | .116 | .031 | .018 | .008 |
W 28-7 | Lose | 9/29 | .706 | UAB | Charlotte | 33-25 | .098 | .162 | .226 | .220 | .181 | .058 | .036 | .018 |
W 24-20 | Win | 9/29 | .627 | USC | Arizona | 31-27 | .118 | .172 | .185 | .151 | .242 | .070 | .042 | .020 |
W 30-21 | Win | 9/29 | .667 | UTSA | UTEP | 27-21 | .082 | .130 | .221 | .234 | .201 | .067 | .043 | .021 |
W 56-24 | Lose | 9/29 | .894 | Wake Forest | Rice | 38-19 | .286 | .266 | .217 | .126 | .077 | .017 | .009 | .004 |
W 35-7 | Lose | 9/29 | .871 | Washington | BYU | 32-15 | .247 | .259 | .223 | .142 | .091 | .021 | .012 | .005 |
W 28-24 | Win | 9/29 | .546 | Washington State | Utah | 22-21 | .061 | .013 | .197 | .274 | .263 | .097 | .063 | .032 |
W 42-34 | Lose | 9/29 | .521 | West Virginia | Texas Tech | 31-30 | .072 | .120 | .167 | .162 | .296 | .095 | .059 | .029 |
Week 4 Game Projections and Results
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
W 31-17 | Win | 9/20 | .797 | Temple | Tulsa | 32-20 | .161 | .224 | .230 | .182 | .133 | .037 | .022 | .010 |
W 56-36 | Win | 9/21 | .932 | Central Florida | Florida Atlantic | 45-22 | .367 | .271 | .201 | .093 | .052 | .009 | .005 | .002 |
W 63-24 | Win | 9/21 | .939 | Penn State | Illinois | 38-12 | .535 | .236 | .147 | .021 | .055 | .004 | .001 | .000 |
W 39-36 | Lose | 9/21 | .816 | USC | Washington State | 31-18 | .179 | .234 | .230 | .173 | .122 | .033 | .020 | .009 |
W 45-23 | Win | 9/22 | .922 | Alabama | Texas A&M | 37-15 | .343 | .271 | .206 | .102 | .059 | .011 | .006 | .002 |
W 35-14 | Win | 9/22 | .753 | Arizona | Oregon State | 38-27 | .214 | .224 | .193 | .123 | .173 | .041 | .023 | .010 |
W 27-20 | n/a | 9/22 | .716 | Arkansas State | UNLV | 32-24 | .103 | .169 | .227 | .216 | .177 | .056 | .035 | .017 |
W 34-3 | Win | 9/22 | .990 | Auburn | Arkansas | 42-6 | .638 | .217 | .126 | .009 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 26-7 | Win | 9/22 | .893 | Baylor | Kansas | 34-15 | .284 | .266 | .217 | .127 | .077 | .017 | .009 | .004 |
L 13-30 | Lose | 9/22 | .730 | Boston College | Purdue | 29-19 | .192 | .216 | .192 | .130 | .186 | .046 | .026 | .011 |
L 23-38 | Lose | 9/22 | .634 | Bowling Green | Miami (OH) | 28-24 | .071 | .099 | .216 | .247 | .218 | .076 | .048 | .024 |
W 42-13 | Win | 9/22 | .703 | Buffalo | Rutgers | 29-21 | .170 | .205 | .192 | .136 | .201 | .052 | .030 | .013 |
W 34-30 | Win | 9/22 | .676 | Cincinnati | Ohio | 30-24 | .085 | .138 | .223 | .231 | .197 | .065 | .041 | .020 |
W 49-21 | Win | 9/22 | .947 | Clemson | Georgia Tech | 38-12 | .562 | .231 | .142 | .013 | .049 | .003 | .001 | .001 |
W 30-28 | Win | 9/22 | .669 | Coastal Carolina | Louisiana Lafayette | 39-32 | .145 | .192 | .189 | .144 | .219 | .060 | .035 | .016 |
W 47-21 | Win | 9/22 | .768 | Florida | Tennessee | 28-17 | .229 | .229 | .192 | .118 | .165 | .038 | .021 | .009 |
W 37-19 | Win | 9/22 | .877 | Florida State | Northern Illinois | 27-9 | .257 | .261 | .221 | .138 | .087 | .020 | .011 | .005 |
W 43-29 | Lose | 9/22 | .948 | Georgia | Missouri | 43-17 | .563 | .231 | .141 | .012 | .049 | .003 | .001 | .001 |
W 26-13 | Lose | 9/22 | .917 | Iowa State | Akron | 34-12 | .332 | .270 | .208 | .107 | .062 | .012 | .006 | .002 |
L 3-27 | Lose | 9/22 | .543 | Louisville | Virginia | 27-25 | .080 | .131 | .171 | .161 | .285 | .090 | .056 | .027 |
W 38-21 | Lose | 9/22 | .910 | LSU | Louisiana Tech | 35-14 | .317 | .269 | .211 | .113 | .067 | .013 | .007 | .003 |
W 49-31 | Lose | 9/22 | .625 | Massachusetts | Charlotte | 30-26 | .069 | .090 | .215 | .251 | .223 | .078 | .050 | .025 |
W 52-35 | Win | 9/22 | .887 | Memphis | South Alabama | 37-19 | .273 | .264 | .219 | .131 | .081 | .018 | .010 | .004 |
W 31-17 | Lose | 9/22 | .990 | Miami | Florida International | 45-10 | .627 | .227 | .134 | .002 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 56-10 | Win | 9/22 | .916 | Michigan | Nebraska | 35-13 | .328 | .270 | .209 | .108 | .063 | .012 | .007 | .002 |
W 35-21 | Win | 9/22 | .906 | Michigan State | Indiana | 34-13 | .444 | .246 | .166 | .049 | .080 | .010 | .004 | .001 |
L 13-42 | Lose | 9/22 | .507 | Minnesota | Maryland | 24-23 | .068 | .112 | .164 | .163 | .303 | .098 | .062 | .030 |
W 38-17 | Win | 9/22 | .903 | Mississippi | Kent State | 38-18 | .302 | .268 | .214 | .119 | .071 | .015 | .008 | .003 |
L 7-28 | Lose | 9/22 | .836 | Mississippi State | Kentucky | 35-20 | .316 | .245 | .185 | .091 | .124 | .023 | .012 | .004 |
L 30-31 | Lose | 9/22 | .702 | Navy | SMU | 36-28 | .169 | .205 | .191 | .137 | .202 | .052 | .031 | .014 |
W 38-35 | Win | 9/22 | .587 | North Carolina | Pittsburgh | 24-22 | .064 | .054 | .207 | .262 | .242 | .087 | .056 | .028 |
W 37-20 | Lose | 9/22 | .620 | North Carolina State | Marshall | 29-24 | .115 | .170 | .184 | .152 | .245 | .071 | .043 | .020 |
W 47-7 | Lose | 9/22 | .677 | North Texas | Liberty | 29-23 | .150 | .195 | .190 | .142 | .215 | .058 | .034 | .016 |
W 56-27 | Win | 9/22 | .865 | Notre Dame | Wake Forest | 33-15 | .362 | .248 | .179 | .076 | .107 | .017 | .009 | .003 |
W 49-6 | Lose | 9/22 | .990 | Ohio State | Tulane | 47-10 | .654 | .203 | .115 | .018 | .009 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 28-21 | Lose | 9/22 | .982 | Oklahoma | Army | 49-18 | .548 | .250 | .158 | .026 | .017 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
L 17-41 | Lose | 9/22 | .888 | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | 42-23 | .275 | .264 | .218 | .130 | .080 | .018 | .010 | .004 |
W 23-20 | Lose | 9/22 | .841 | San Diego State | Eastern Michigan | 32-17 | .207 | .247 | .227 | .160 | .108 | .028 | .016 | .007 |
W 37-14 | Win | 9/22 | .754 | South Carolina | Vanderbilt | 32-22 | .215 | .224 | .193 | .123 | .173 | .041 | .023 | .010 |
W 20-13 | Win | 9/22 | .855 | South Florida | East Carolina | 38-22 | .226 | .253 | .225 | .151 | .100 | .025 | .014 | .006 |
W 40-22 | Lose | 9/22 | .656 | Southern Mississippi | Rice | 28-23 | .078 | .120 | .220 | .239 | .207 | .070 | .045 | .022 |
W 38-31 | Win | 9/22 | .764 | Stanford | Oregon | 31-20 | .225 | .227 | .192 | .119 | .167 | .038 | .022 | .009 |
W 51-21 | Push | 9/22 | .921 | Syracuse | Connecticut | 42-20 | .341 | .270 | .207 | .103 | .059 | .011 | .006 | .002 |
W 31-16 | Win | 9/22 | .568 | Texas | TCU | 24-21 | .062 | .036 | .202 | .267 | .252 | .091 | .059 | .030 |
W 63-44 | Win | 9/22 | .799 | Toledo | Nevada | 37-25 | .162 | .225 | .230 | .181 | .132 | .037 | .022 | .010 |
W 35-27 | Lose | 9/22 | .605 | Troy | Louisiana Monroe | 28-24 | .107 | .162 | .182 | .154 | .253 | .075 | .046 | .022 |
W 42-32 | Win | 9/22 | .795 | Utah State | Air Force | 35-23 | .159 | .223 | .230 | .183 | .134 | .038 | .023 | .010 |
L 20-27 | Lose | 9/22 | .502 | UTEP | New Mexico State | 24-23 | .055 | .036 | .160 | .251 | .284 | .107 | .070 | .036 |
W 25-21 | Win | 9/22 | .624 | UTSA | Texas State | 26-22 | .069 | .089 | .215 | .251 | .223 | .078 | .050 | .025 |
L 35-49 | Win | 9/22 | .949 | Virginia Tech | Old Dominion | 33-7 | .569 | .230 | .140 | .011 | .047 | .002 | .001 | .001 |
W 27-20 | Lose | 9/22 | .884 | Washington | Arizona State | 34-15 | .268 | .263 | .220 | .133 | .083 | .019 | .010 | .004 |
W 35-6 | Lose | 9/22 | .632 | West Virginia | Kansas State | 31-27 | .071 | .097 | .216 | .248 | .219 | .076 | .049 | .024 |
W 28-20 | Win | 9/22 | .516 | Western Kentucky | Ball State | 25-24 | .070 | .117 | .166 | .163 | .299 | .096 | .060 | .029 |
W 34-15 | Lose | 9/22 | .622 | Western Michigan | Georgia State | 31-26 | .116 | .170 | .184 | .152 | .245 | .071 | .043 | .020 |
W 28-17 | n/a | 9/22 | .577 | Wisconsin | Iowa | 22-19 | .094 | .148 | .177 | .158 | .268 | .081 | .050 | .024 |
Week 3 Game Projections and Results
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
W 41-34 | Lose | 9/13 | .566 | Boston College | Wake Forest | 25-23 | .089 | .143 | .175 | .159 | .273 | .084 | .052 | .025 |
W 28-25 | Win | 9/13 | .575 | Charlotte | Old Dominion | 24-21 | .062 | .043 | .204 | .265 | .248 | .090 | .058 | .029 |
W 59-22 | Lose | 9/14 | .935 | Memphis | Georgia State | 39-16 | .375 | .271 | .199 | .090 | .050 | .009 | .004 | .001 |
W 62-7 | Lose | 9/15 | .909 | Alabama | Mississippi | 37-15 | .453 | .246 | .164 | .047 | .077 | .009 | .004 | .001 |
L 21-28 | Lose | 9/15 | .659 | Arizona State | San Diego State | 31-25 | .138 | .187 | .188 | .146 | .225 | .062 | .037 | .017 |
L 17-44 | Lose | 9/15 | .818 | Arkansas | North Texas | 39-25 | .182 | .236 | .229 | .172 | .121 | .033 | .019 | .009 |
W 28-21 | Push | 9/15 | .845 | Army | Hawaii | 40-25 | .213 | .249 | .227 | .157 | .106 | .027 | .016 | .007 |
L 21-22 | Lose | 9/15 | .875 | Auburn | LSU | 33-15 | .255 | .260 | .222 | .139 | .088 | .020 | .011 | .005 |
L 27-40 | Win | 9/15 | .512 | Baylor | Duke | 24-23 | .057 | .026 | .170 | .259 | .279 | .105 | .069 | .035 |
W 35-28 | Win | 9/15 | .775 | Buffalo | Eastern Michigan | 30-19 | .142 | .211 | .230 | .192 | .145 | .042 | .026 | .012 |
W 38-7 | Lose | 9/15 | .990 | Clemson | Georgia Southern | 42-6 | .636 | .219 | .127 | .008 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 48-10 | Win | 9/15 | .925 | Florida | Colorado State | 38-15 | .350 | .271 | .205 | .100 | .057 | .011 | .005 | .002 |
L 7-30 | Lose | 9/15 | .873 | Florida State | Syracuse | 33-15 | .377 | .248 | .177 | .071 | .101 | .016 | .008 | .002 |
W 49-7 | Win | 9/15 | .990 | Georgia | Middle Tennessee | 44-3 | .702 | .161 | .084 | .042 | .007 | .002 | .000 | .000 |
L 49-63 | Lose | 9/15 | .539 | Houston | Texas Tech | 27-26 | .079 | .129 | .171 | .161 | .287 | .090 | .056 | .027 |
W 38-10 | Lose | 9/15 | .771 | Indiana | Ball State | 30-19 | .139 | .208 | .230 | .194 | .147 | .043 | .026 | .012 |
W 55-14 | Win | 9/15 | .630 | Kansas | Rutgers | 27-23 | .071 | .095 | .216 | .249 | .220 | .076 | .049 | .024 |
W 41-17 | Win | 9/15 | .942 | Kansas State | UTSA | 36-12 | .393 | .270 | .196 | .083 | .046 | .008 | .004 | .001 |
W 20-17 | Win | 9/15 | .859 | Louisville | Western Kentucky | 36-20 | .230 | .254 | .225 | .149 | .098 | .024 | .014 | .006 |
L 14-35 | Win | 9/15 | .502 | Maryland | Temple | 25-24 | .055 | .037 | .159 | .250 | .284 | .108 | .071 | .036 |
L 24-63 | Lose | 9/15 | .535 | Massachusetts | Florida International | 28-27 | .077 | .127 | .170 | .161 | .289 | .091 | .057 | .028 |
W 49-24 | Lose | 9/15 | .753 | Miami | Toledo | 31-21 | .214 | .224 | .193 | .123 | .173 | .041 | .023 | .010 |
W 45-20 | Win | 9/15 | .986 | Michigan | SMU | 43-11 | .573 | .244 | .151 | .017 | .013 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
W 26-3 | n/a | 9/15 | .819 | Minnesota | Miami (OH) | 30-16 | .182 | .236 | .229 | .172 | .121 | .032 | .019 | .009 |
W 56-10 | Win | 9/15 | .990 | Mississippi State | Louisiana Lafayette | 45-10 | .633 | .222 | .130 | .006 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
L 19-24 | Win | 9/15 | .749 | Nebraska | Troy | 30-20 | .123 | .194 | .230 | .203 | .159 | .048 | .030 | .014 |
W 37-35 | Lose | 9/15 | .646 | Nevada | Oregon State | 34-29 | .075 | .110 | .218 | .243 | .212 | .073 | .046 | .023 |
L 25-42 | Lose | 9/15 | .515 | New Mexico State | New Mexico | 25-24 | .057 | .022 | .174 | .262 | .277 | .104 | .068 | .035 |
W 24-16 | Lose | 9/15 | .861 | Northern Illinois | Central Michigan | 29-13 | .234 | .255 | .224 | .148 | .096 | .023 | .013 | .006 |
L 34-39 | Lose | 9/15 | .937 | Northwestern | Akron | 34-10 | .380 | .271 | .198 | .088 | .049 | .008 | .004 | .001 |
W 22-17 | Lose | 9/15 | .990 | Notre Dame | Vanderbilt | 46-9 | .653 | .204 | .115 | .018 | .009 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 40-28 | Lose | 9/15 | .848 | Ohio State | TCU | 35-18 | .279 | .252 | .203 | .115 | .111 | .023 | .013 | .005 |
W 37-27 | Win | 9/15 | .848 | Oklahoma | Iowa State | 39-22 | .334 | .246 | .183 | .085 | .117 | .021 | .011 | .004 |
W 44-21 | Win | 9/15 | .565 | Oklahoma State | Boise State | 30-28 | .062 | .034 | .202 | .268 | .253 | .092 | .060 | .030 |
W 35-22 | Win | 9/15 | .988 | Oregon | San Jose State | 42-9 | .586 | .241 | .147 | .013 | .012 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
W 63-10 | n/a | 9/15 | .990 | Penn State | Kent State | 41-6 | .618 | .232 | .138 | .002 | .010 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
W 24-19 | Win | 9/15 | .548 | Pittsburgh | Georgia Tech | 26-25 | .061 | .015 | .198 | .273 | .262 | .096 | .063 | .032 |
L 37-40 | Win | 9/15 | .526 | Purdue | Missouri | 26-25 | .059 | .010 | .186 | .271 | .272 | .102 | .066 | .034 |
W 41-31 | n/a | 9/15 | .759 | South Alabama | Texas State | 28-18 | .130 | .200 | .230 | .199 | .154 | .046 | .028 | .013 |
W 25-19 | Win | 9/15 | .740 | South Florida | Illinois | 29-19 | .160 | .212 | .209 | .160 | .172 | .047 | .028 | .013 |
W 24-0 | Win | 9/15 | .901 | Tennessee | UTEP | 34-14 | .298 | .267 | .215 | .121 | .072 | .015 | .008 | .003 |
W 48-10 | Lose | 9/15 | .946 | Texas A&M | Louisiana Monroe | 43-17 | .407 | .269 | .193 | .078 | .043 | .007 | .003 | .001 |
L 24-31 | Win | 9/15 | .585 | Tulane | UAB | 29-26 | .097 | .152 | .179 | .157 | .264 | .079 | .049 | .023 |
L 20-29 | n/a | 9/15 | .556 | Tulsa | Arkansas State | 30-28 | .061 | .024 | .200 | .271 | .258 | .094 | .061 | .031 |
L 14-38 | Lose | 9/15 | .732 | UCLA | Fresno State | 32-23 | .112 | .181 | .228 | .210 | .168 | .052 | .032 | .016 |
L 14-37 | Lose | 9/15 | .561 | USC | Texas | 24-22 | .087 | .140 | .174 | .159 | .276 | .085 | .053 | .025 |
W 45-31 | n/a | 9/15 | .640 | Virginia | Ohio | 28-23 | .073 | .105 | .217 | .245 | .215 | .074 | .047 | .024 |
W 21-7 | Win | 9/15 | .779 | Washington | Utah | 31-19 | .241 | .232 | .192 | .114 | .159 | .035 | .020 | .008 |
L 21-24 | Win | 9/15 | .910 | Wisconsin | BYU | 32-12 | .317 | .269 | .211 | .113 | .067 | .013 | .007 | .003 |
Week 2 Game Projections and Results
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
W 42-12 | Lose | 9/7 | .876 | TCU | SMU | 40-21 | .383 | .248 | .176 | .069 | .099 | .015 | .007 | .002 |
W 57-7 | Win | 9/8 | .990 | Alabama | Arkansas State | 45-6 | .667 | .192 | .106 | .025 | .009 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
W 45-9 | Lose | 9/8 | .792 | Appalachian State | Charlotte | 30-17 | .256 | .235 | .191 | .109 | .151 | .032 | .018 | .007 |
L 27-34 | Win | 9/8 | .755 | Arkansas | Colorado State | 37-26 | .216 | .225 | .193 | .122 | .172 | .040 | .023 | .010 |
W 38-14 | Win | 9/8 | .870 | Army | Liberty | 39-22 | .246 | .258 | .223 | .142 | .091 | .021 | .012 | .005 |
W 37-20 | Push | 9/8 | .890 | Baylor | UTSA | 33-13 | .410 | .248 | .172 | .060 | .090 | .013 | .006 | .001 |
W 62-7 | Lose | 9/8 | .986 | Boise State | Connecticut | 43-10 | .577 | .243 | .150 | .016 | .013 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
L 14-45 | Lose | 9/8 | .554 | Bowling Green | Maryland | 29-27 | .061 | .022 | .199 | .271 | .259 | .095 | .061 | .031 |
L 18-21 | Lose | 9/8 | .599 | BYU | California | 26-23 | .065 | .065 | .210 | .259 | .236 | .084 | .054 | .027 |
W 28-26 | Lose | 9/8 | .856 | Clemson | Texas A&M | 31-14 | .346 | .247 | .181 | .081 | .112 | .019 | .010 | .003 |
W 21-7 | Win | 9/8 | .551 | Duke | Northwestern | 22-20 | .083 | .135 | .173 | .160 | .281 | .088 | .054 | .026 |
L 16-27 | Win | 9/8 | .809 | Florida | Kentucky | 31-18 | .172 | .231 | .230 | .176 | .126 | .035 | .021 | .009 |
W 33-27 | Lose | 9/8 | .824 | Florida Atlantic | Air Force | 41-27 | .188 | .239 | .229 | .169 | .118 | .031 | .018 | .008 |
W 41-17 | Win | 9/8 | .865 | Georgia | South Carolina | 33-15 | .362 | .248 | .179 | .076 | .106 | .017 | .009 | .003 |
W 34-13 | Win | 9/8 | .794 | Georgia Southern | Massachusetts | 32-20 | .158 | .222 | .230 | .184 | .135 | .038 | .023 | .011 |
L 38-49 | Win | 9/8 | .564 | Georgia Tech | South Florida | 27-25 | .088 | .142 | .175 | .159 | .274 | .085 | .052 | .025 |
W 43-29 | Win | 9/8 | .616 | Hawaii | Rice | 31-27 | .068 | .081 | .213 | .254 | .227 | .080 | .051 | .026 |
W 45-18 | Lose | 9/8 | .549 | Houston | Arizona | 30-29 | .061 | .017 | .198 | .273 | .261 | .096 | .062 | .032 |
W 20-16 | Win | 9/8 | .629 | Indiana | Virginia | 24-20 | .070 | .094 | .215 | .249 | .221 | .077 | .049 | .025 |
W 13-3 | Win | 9/8 | .758 | Iowa | Iowa State | 28-18 | .129 | .200 | .230 | .199 | .154 | .046 | .028 | .013 |
W 31-7 | Win | 9/8 | .548 | Kansas | Central Michigan | 26-25 | .082 | .134 | .172 | .160 | .282 | .088 | .055 | .026 |
W 21-20 | Win | 9/8 | .537 | Louisiana Monroe | Southern Mississippi | 30-29 | .078 | .128 | .170 | .161 | .288 | .091 | .057 | .028 |
L 21-22 | Win | 9/8 | .547 | Memphis | Navy | 33-32 | .082 | .133 | .172 | .160 | .283 | .088 | .055 | .027 |
L 0-21 | Win | 9/8 | .545 | Miami (OH) | Cincinnati | 26-25 | .061 | .013 | .197 | .274 | .263 | .097 | .063 | .032 |
W 49-3 | Lose | 9/8 | .940 | Michigan | Western Michigan | 35-11 | .387 | .270 | .197 | .086 | .047 | .008 | .004 | .001 |
L 13-16 | Lose | 9/8 | .720 | Michigan State | Arizona State | 30-21 | .184 | .212 | .192 | .132 | .192 | .048 | .028 | .012 |
W 21-14 | Win | 9/8 | .669 | Minnesota | Fresno State | 25-19 | .082 | .132 | .222 | .234 | .200 | .067 | .042 | .021 |
W 31-10 | Win | 9/8 | .681 | Mississippi State | Kansas State | 30-23 | .153 | .197 | .190 | .141 | .213 | .057 | .034 | .015 |
W 40-13 | Lose | 9/8 | .778 | Missouri | Wyoming | 30-19 | .145 | .213 | .230 | .191 | .143 | .041 | .025 | .012 |
L 28-33 | Lose | 9/8 | .773 | Nebraska | Colorado | 33-22 | .140 | .209 | .230 | .193 | .146 | .043 | .026 | .012 |
L 19-41 | Win | 9/8 | .832 | North Carolina | East Carolina | 37-22 | .309 | .244 | .186 | .093 | .127 | .024 | .013 | .004 |
W 41-7 | Win | 9/8 | .958 | North Carolina State | Georgia State | 38-11 | .445 | .266 | .184 | .063 | .034 | .005 | .002 | .000 |
W 24-16 | Lose | 9/8 | .990 | Notre Dame | Ball State | 47-7 | .683 | .177 | .096 | .033 | .008 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
W 52-3 | Win | 9/8 | .990 | Ohio State | Rutgers | 45-3 | .701 | .162 | .086 | .042 | .008 | .002 | .000 | .000 |
W 49-21 | Win | 9/8 | .912 | Oklahoma | UCLA | 45-24 | .321 | .269 | .210 | .111 | .065 | .013 | .007 | .003 |
W 55-13 | Lose | 9/8 | .951 | Oklahoma State | South Alabama | 41-15 | .420 | .268 | .189 | .073 | .039 | .006 | .003 | .001 |
L 20-28 | Lose | 9/8 | .652 | Old Dominion | Florida International | 28-23 | .076 | .116 | .219 | .240 | .209 | .071 | .045 | .023 |
W 51-6 | Win | 9/8 | .749 | Penn State | Pittsburgh | 31-20 | .210 | .223 | .193 | .124 | .175 | .042 | .024 | .010 |
L 19-20 | n/a | 9/8 | .831 | Purdue | Eastern Michigan | 29-14 | .196 | .242 | .228 | .165 | .114 | .030 | .017 | .008 |
W 17-3 | Win | 9/8 | .662 | Stanford | USC | 31-26 | .080 | .126 | .221 | .236 | .204 | .069 | .043 | .022 |
L 29-36 | Lose | 9/8 | .724 | Temple | Buffalo | 30-21 | .107 | .176 | .228 | .213 | .172 | .054 | .034 | .016 |
W 28-21 | Lose | 9/8 | .932 | Texas | Tulsa | 37-14 | .367 | .271 | .201 | .093 | .052 | .009 | .005 | .002 |
L 24-47 | Win | 9/8 | .542 | UAB | Coastal Carolina | 28-26 | .079 | .130 | .171 | .161 | .286 | .090 | .056 | .027 |
W 52-24 | Lose | 9/8 | .835 | UNLV | UTEP | 36-21 | .200 | .244 | .228 | .163 | .112 | .029 | .017 | .008 |
W 17-6 | Win | 9/8 | .649 | Utah | Northern Illinois | 25-19 | .131 | .182 | .187 | .148 | .230 | .064 | .039 | .018 |
W 60-13 | Lose | 9/8 | .851 | Utah State | New Mexico State | 31-15 | .220 | .251 | .226 | .154 | .102 | .025 | .015 | .006 |
W 41-10 | Lose | 9/8 | .594 | Vanderbilt | Nevada | 31-28 | .064 | .061 | .209 | .260 | .238 | .085 | .055 | .028 |
W 31-0 | Lose | 9/8 | .953 | Washington State | San Jose State | 37-11 | .426 | .268 | .188 | .070 | .038 | .006 | .003 | .001 |
W 45-14 | Lose | 9/8 | .990 | Wisconsin | New Mexico | 44-6 | .658 | .200 | .112 | .020 | .009 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
Week 1 Game Projections and Results
Result | ATS | Date | WL | Projected Winner | Projected Loser | PF | DW | SW | MW | NW | NL | ML | SL | DL |
W 56-17 | Win | 8/30 | .954 | Central Florida | Connecticut | 43-16 | .584 | .227 | .137 | .006 | .044 | .002 | .000 | .001 |
W 48-10 | Lose | 8/30 | .912 | Minnesota | New Mexico State | 34-13 | .320 | .269 | .211 | .112 | .066 | .013 | .007 | .003 |
W 31-27 | Win | 8/30 | .572 | Northwestern | Purdue | 23-20 | .092 | .146 | .176 | .158 | .270 | .083 | .051 | .024 |
W 23-17 | n/a | 8/30 | .674 | Wake Forest | Tulane | 32-25 | .148 | .194 | .190 | .143 | .217 | .059 | .035 | .016 |
W 45-13 | Lose | 8/31 | .584 | Colorado | Colorado State | 31-28 | .074 | .122 | .192 | .197 | .253 | .084 | .053 | .026 |
W 34-14 | Win | 8/31 | .876 | Duke | Army | 37-19 | .256 | .261 | .221 | .138 | .087 | .020 | .011 | .005 |
W 38-31 | Lose | 8/31 | .966 | Michigan State | Utah State | 36-8 | .473 | .263 | .177 | .053 | .029 | .004 | .002 | .000 |
W 31-10 | Win | 8/31 | .909 | Stanford | San Diego State | 38-17 | .313 | .269 | .212 | .114 | .068 | .014 | .007 | .003 |
L 42-55 | Lose | 8/31 | .623 | Western Michigan | Syracuse | 28-24 | .069 | .089 | .215 | .251 | .224 | .078 | .050 | .025 |
W 34-3 | Win | 8/31 | .956 | Wisconsin | Western Kentucky | 37-11 | .439 | .267 | .185 | .066 | .036 | .005 | .002 | .001 |
W 51-14 | Lose | 9/1 | .923 | Alabama | Louisville | 38-15 | .423 | .257 | .179 | .063 | .063 | .009 | .004 | .001 |
L 23-28 | Win | 9/1 | .722 | Arizona | BYU | 33-24 | .106 | .174 | .228 | .214 | .173 | .055 | .034 | .016 |
W 49-7 | Win | 9/1 | .937 | Arizona State | UTSA | 37-13 | .380 | .271 | .198 | .088 | .049 | .008 | .004 | .001 |
W 21-16 | Win | 9/1 | .616 | Auburn | Washington | 27-23 | .086 | .142 | .197 | .191 | .238 | .076 | .047 | .023 |
W 56-20 | Win | 9/1 | .794 | Boise State | Troy | 30-17 | .259 | .236 | .191 | .109 | .150 | .032 | .017 | .007 |
W 55-21 | Win | 9/1 | .912 | Boston College | Massachusetts | 34-13 | .321 | .269 | .210 | .111 | .065 | .013 | .007 | .003 |
W 24-17 | Push | 9/1 | .596 | California | North Carolina | 27-24 | .065 | .063 | .209 | .260 | .237 | .085 | .055 | .028 |
W 45-27 | Win | 9/1 | .881 | Houston | Rice | 36-17 | .392 | .248 | .175 | .066 | .096 | .014 | .007 | .002 |
W 31-24 | Win | 9/1 | .696 | Illinois | Kent State | 25-18 | .093 | .154 | .225 | .224 | .187 | .061 | .038 | .019 |
W 38-28 | Win | 9/1 | .752 | Indiana | Florida International | 30-20 | .213 | .223 | .193 | .123 | .174 | .041 | .023 | .010 |
W 33-7 | Win | 9/1 | .838 | Iowa | Northern Illinois | 28-13 | .203 | .245 | .228 | .162 | .110 | .028 | .017 | .007 |
W 35-20 | Lose | 9/1 | .875 | Kentucky | Central Michigan | 34-16 | .254 | .260 | .222 | .139 | .088 | .020 | .012 | .005 |
W 30-26 | Win | 9/1 | .712 | Louisiana Tech | South Alabama | 29-20 | .177 | .209 | .192 | .134 | .196 | .050 | .029 | .013 |
W 35-28 | Win | 9/1 | .704 | Marshall | Miami (OH) | 27-19 | .170 | .206 | .192 | .136 | .201 | .052 | .030 | .013 |
W 47-27 | Win | 9/1 | .635 | Mississippi | Texas Tech | 32-27 | .094 | .154 | .200 | .187 | .228 | .071 | .044 | .021 |
L 41-59 | Lose | 9/1 | .814 | Navy | Hawaii | 38-24 | .283 | .241 | .189 | .101 | .138 | .028 | .015 | .006 |
W 24-17 | Win | 9/1 | .749 | Notre Dame | Michigan | 27-18 | .123 | .193 | .230 | .203 | .159 | .048 | .030 | .014 |
W 77-31 | Win | 9/1 | .990 | Ohio State | Oregon State | 51-9 | .710 | .155 | .080 | .045 | .006 | .003 | .000 | .000 |
W 63-14 | Win | 9/1 | .929 | Oklahoma | Florida Atlantic | 46-23 | .360 | .271 | .203 | .096 | .054 | .010 | .005 | .002 |
L 10-52 | Win | 9/1 | .565 | Old Dominion | Liberty | 26-23 | .088 | .142 | .175 | .159 | .274 | .084 | .052 | .025 |
W 58-24 | Win | 9/1 | .902 | Oregon | Bowling Green | 38-18 | .301 | .268 | .214 | .119 | .071 | .015 | .008 | .003 |
W 45-38 | Win | 9/1 | .921 | Penn State | Appalachian State | 37-15 | .340 | .270 | .207 | .104 | .060 | .011 | .006 | .002 |
W 35-7 | Lose | 9/1 | .798 | Rutgers | Texas State | 29-17 | .162 | .225 | .230 | .182 | .132 | .037 | .022 | .010 |
L 23-46 | Lose | 9/1 | .531 | SMU | North Texas | 34-33 | .075 | .125 | .169 | .162 | .291 | .093 | .058 | .028 |
W 49-15 | Lose | 9/1 | .929 | South Carolina | Coastal Carolina | 36-14 | .359 | .271 | .203 | .096 | .054 | .010 | .005 | .002 |
L 29-34 | Lose | 9/1 | .856 | Texas | Maryland | 31-14 | .291 | .254 | .201 | .110 | .106 | .022 | .012 | .004 |
L 17-26 | Lose | 9/1 | .872 | UCLA | Cincinnati | 39-21 | .249 | .259 | .222 | .141 | .090 | .021 | .012 | .005 |
W 43-21 | Lose | 9/1 | .982 | USC | UNLV | 45-14 | .548 | .250 | .158 | .026 | .017 | .001 | .000 | .000 |
W 35-7 | Lose | 9/1 | .545 | Vanderbilt | Middle Tennessee | 27-25 | .061 | .013 | .197 | .274 | .263 | .097 | .063 | .032 |
W 41-19 | Win | 9/1 | .598 | Washington State | Wyoming | 24-20 | .104 | .159 | .181 | .155 | .257 | .076 | .047 | .022 |
W 40-14 | Lose | 9/1 | .656 | West Virginia | Tennessee | 29-23 | .104 | .167 | .203 | .182 | .217 | .066 | .041 | .020 |
L 17-33 | Lose | 9/2 | .603 | Miami | LSU | 25-21 | .081 | .134 | .195 | .193 | .244 | .079 | .050 | .024 |
L 3-24 | Lose | 9/3 | .751 | Florida State | Virginia Tech | 26-16 | .124 | .195 | .230 | .202 | .158 | .048 | .029 | .014 |