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FEI Ratings
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FEI ratings (FEI) represent the per-possession scoring advantage a team would be expected to have on a neutral field against an average opponent. Ratings this week are partly (14 percent) based on weighted five-year FEI ratings. OFEI Offense ratings (OFEI) and Projected DFEI Defense ratings (DFEI) represent per-possession advantages projected for each unit. Projected losses (PL) represent the average number of losses expected based on individual game win likelihoods in regular season games. Projected season outcome distributions are also provided, represented as the percent chance of losing a given number of regular season games (0L is zero losses, 1L is one loss, etc).

Ratings and supporting data are calculated from the results of non-garbage possessions in FBS vs. FBS games.

 

2019 FEI Ratings (through Week 6)
:: Pre Championship :: W16 :: W15 :: W14 :: W13 :: W12 :: W11 :: W10 :: W9 :: W8 :: W7 :: W6 :: W5 :: W4 :: W3 :: W2 :: W1 :: Preseason

 

Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
1 Alabama 5-0 1.67   2.43 1 1.12 3   .3   71 27 2 - - - - - - - - - -
2 Ohio State 6-0 1.55   1.74 3 1.36 2   .5   63 31 6 - - - - - - - - - -
3 Oklahoma 4-0 1.21   2.39 2 .05 51   1.2   24 40 25 10 1 - - - - - - - -
4 Georgia 4-0 1.20   1.25 7 .87 10   .9   34 45 18 3 - - - - - - - - -
5 Wisconsin 5-0 1.16   1.26 6 1.04 5   1.4   11 50 29 9 1 - - - - - - - -
6 Clemson 5-0 1.14   .90 12 1.40 1   .4   67 29 3 1 - - - - - - - - -
7 LSU 4-0 1.11   1.68 4 .44 27   1.7   5 43 36 14 2 - - - - - - - -
8 Baylor 4-0 .86   1.32 5 .39 30   1.9   8 30 36 21 4 1 - - - - - - -
9 Central Florida 3-2 .85   1.01 9 .63 19   2.8   - - 41 41 15 3 - - - - - - -
10 Penn State 4-0 .83   .82 16 .86 11   2.5   2 16 33 33 14 2 - - - - - - -
11 Missouri 3-1 .79   .70 21 .79 14   2.6   - 11 40 34 13 2 - - - - - - -
12 Notre Dame 4-1 .77   .69 23 .82 12   2.4   - 19 35 30 13 3 - - - - - - -
13 Auburn 5-1 .74   .58 28 .81 13   3.6   - 1 8 35 44 11 1 - - - - - -
14 Oregon 3-1 .68   .33 42 .96 7   2.9   - 10 28 34 19 8 1 - - - - - -
15 Iowa 4-1 .65   .19 53 .99 6   3.3   - 2 19 36 28 13 2 - - - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
16 Texas 4-1 .63   1.16 8 .07 48   4.0   - 1 7 24 35 24 8 1 - - - - -
17 Michigan State 4-2 .63   .20 52 1.09 4   4.0   - - 4 25 42 25 4 - - - - - -
18 Iowa State 2-2 .59   .98 11 .29 35   4.6   - - 3 15 31 30 17 3 1 - - - -
19 TCU 2-2 .54   .35 40 .74 15   5.3   - - 1 6 18 32 27 13 3 - - - -
20 SMU 6-0 .54   .85 14 .22 38   1.8   11 31 34 18 5 1 - - - - - - -
21 Washington 3-2 .49   .75 17 .31 32   4.1   - - 6 23 35 26 9 1 - - - - -
22 Cincinnati 4-1 .46   .38 38 .62 21   2.6   - 13 37 33 15 2 - - - - - - -
23 Florida 4-0 .45   .03 72 .91 9   3.1   1 5 19 39 28 8 - - - - - - -
24 Utah 3-1 .44   .66 25 .43 28   3.2   - 7 23 33 23 12 2 - - - - - -
25 Michigan 4-1 .43   .12 63 .73 17   4.7   - - 2 11 27 34 19 6 1 - - - -
26 Oklahoma State 3-2 .40   .69 22 .06 49   5.2   - - 1 4 18 34 31 11 1 - - - -
27 Memphis 4-0 .38   .44 33 .40 29   2.7   4 16 28 27 18 6 1 - - - - - -
28 Boise State 4-0 .38   .13 59 .57 23   1.3   23 37 27 11 2 - - - - - - - -
29 Duke 2-2 .36   .23 48 .48 26   4.7   - - 2 12 30 31 19 5 1 - - - -
30 Arizona State 3-1 .34   .27 45 .30 34   4.0   - 1 11 23 29 23 10 3 - - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
31 Mississippi State 3-2 .31   .60 27 .09 46   5.1   - - - 5 26 38 24 6 1 - - - -
32 California 3-2 .30   .04 69 .48 25   4.4   - - 3 17 34 27 15 4 - - - - -
33 Minnesota 4-0 .29   .53 31 .01 53   3.3   - 4 19 35 29 12 1 - - - - - -
34 Appalachian State 3-0 .29   .85 15 -.12 67   1.8   13 31 33 17 5 1 - - - - - - -
35 Wake Forest 4-0 .28   .42 36 .11 44   2.9   1 9 27 35 20 7 1 - - - - - -
36 Tulane 3-1 .28   .43 34 -.05 64   4.5   - 1 5 16 28 32 15 3 - - - - -
37 North Carolina 3-3 .27   .33 43 .20 39   5.1   - - - 6 23 35 27 8 1 - - - -
38 USC 3-2 .27   .42 35 .18 40   5.6   - - 1 4 14 28 31 17 5 - - - -
39 Washington State 2-2 .25   1.00 10 -.57 101   5.5   - - 1 4 16 29 33 12 4 1 - - -
40 Kansas State 2-2 .25   -.06 79 .49 24   5.9   - - - 2 10 25 32 23 7 1 - - -
41 Pittsburgh 3-2 .24   -.11 85 .74 16   3.8   - - 11 34 31 18 5 1 - - - - -
42 Indiana 2-2 .22   .63 26 -.44 90   5.1   - - 1 7 24 31 26 9 2 - - - -
43 Navy 2-1 .21   .68 24 -.04 62   4.3   - 1 7 17 29 28 14 4 - - - - -
44 Mississippi 2-3 .20   .19 54 .27 36   6.5   - - - - 2 12 31 38 16 1 - - -
45 Arizona 3-1 .19   .36 39 -.02 58   4.9   - - 2 11 23 31 23 8 2 - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
46 Army 2-2 .17   .22 49 .07 47   4.3   - - 2 22 33 29 12 2 - - - - -
47 South Carolina 1-3 .17   -.30 96 .57 22   7.0   - - - - 1 8 27 32 24 7 1 - -
48 San Diego State 3-1 .15   -.41 102 .67 18   2.8   - 12 33 30 18 6 1 - - - - - -
49 Texas A&M 2-2 .13   .16 56 .05 50   6.5   - - - - 1 12 37 38 12 - - - -
50 Miami 1-3 .12   .01 73 .24 37   6.2   - - - 1 7 22 32 24 12 2 - - -
51 Virginia 3-1 .12   -.02 75 .30 33   3.9   - 2 11 22 34 21 8 2 - - - - -
52 Air Force 2-2 .11   .25 47 -.19 72   4.5   - - 4 17 29 29 16 4 1 - - - -
53 Houston 1-3 .11   .71 19 -.46 93   6.8   - - - - 2 10 28 32 22 6 - - -
54 Louisiana Lafayette 3-1 .10   .70 20 -.40 85   3.2   - 6 21 34 27 9 3 - - - - - -
55 West Virginia 2-2 .10   .18 55 -.03 60   6.9   - - - - 1 8 26 33 25 7 - - -
56 Florida Atlantic 2-2 .09   .10 64 .00 54   3.6   - - 15 36 32 13 3 1 - - - - -
57 Colorado 3-2 .05   .75 18 -.67 107   6.3   - - - 1 7 19 26 29 16 2 - - -
58 Coastal Carolina 2-2 .05   .55 29 -.56 100   4.2   - - 7 23 34 25 9 2 - - - - -
59 Western Michigan 2-3 .05   .54 30 -.43 89   4.5   - - - 14 34 33 17 2 - - - - -
60 Florida State 3-2 .05   .21 50 -.02 57   5.5   - - - 1 14 33 34 14 4 - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
61 Tulsa 2-3 .04   .07 67 .11 45   7.0   - - - - 1 8 24 34 24 8 1 - -
62 Northwestern 1-4 .04   -.84 119 .92 8   7.6   - - - - - 2 12 29 35 19 3 - -
63 Temple 3-1 .00   -.67 113 .63 20   5.0   - - 1 7 22 37 27 6 - - - - -
64 Louisville 2-2 .00   .34 41 -.41 86   6.2   - - - 1 6 22 30 26 13 2 - - -
65 Kentucky 2-3 -.01   .03 70 -.01 55   6.1   - - - - 5 24 40 23 7 1 - - -
66 North Texas 1-3 -.03   .15 58 -.24 75   5.2   - - - 6 23 30 28 11 2 - - - -
67 UAB 3-1 -.04   .13 62 -.04 61   2.9   - 8 27 39 20 5 1 - - - - - -
68 Fresno State 1-2 -.04   -.18 87 .16 41   4.9   - - 1 11 24 33 22 7 2 - - - -
69 Wyoming 3-1 -.04   -.02 76 -.01 56   4.0   - 1 7 25 35 24 7 1 - - - - -
70 Stanford 3-3 -.05   .06 68 -.27 78   6.7   - - - - 2 11 28 35 19 5 - - -
71 Louisiana Tech 3-1 -.05   -.08 82 -.15 68   2.8   - 11 31 36 19 3 - - - - - - -
72 Texas Tech 2-2 -.06   .13 61 -.29 80   7.0   - - - - 2 7 22 34 28 7 - - -
73 North Carolina State 2-2 -.07   -.09 83 -.05 63   6.0   - - - 2 9 23 33 23 9 1 - - -
74 Utah State 2-2 -.08   -.36 98 .12 43   5.1   - - 1 8 23 29 27 10 2 - - - -
75 Nebraska 4-2 -.08   -.16 86 .15 42   6.0   - - - 1 9 21 35 26 8 - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
76 Western Kentucky 3-1 -.08   -.58 112 .31 31   3.8   - 2 13 28 26 21 9 1 - - - - -
77 Hawaii 3-1 -.09   .42 37 -.50 98   4.5   - 1 6 17 30 25 15 5 1 - - - -
78 Purdue 1-4 -.13   -.06 80 -.23 74   8.4   - - - - - - 5 18 33 29 13 2 -
79 Maryland 2-2 -.14   -.01 74 -.25 76   7.0   - - - - 2 8 23 35 25 7 - - -
80 Ohio 1-3 -.18   -.06 81 -.39 83   5.1   - - - 7 26 33 24 8 2 - - - -
81 Buffalo 1-4 -.19   -.25 91 .02 52   5.7   - - - - 11 31 38 16 4 - - - -
82 Troy 1-3 -.20   .26 46 -.63 106   6.2   - - - 1 4 20 33 28 10 3 1 - -
83 UCLA 1-5 -.20   .13 60 -.47 95   9.2   - - - - - - 1 5 18 35 30 11 -
84 Toledo 3-1 -.21   .03 71 -.45 91   3.5   - 3 18 30 29 16 4 - - - - - -
85 Boston College 2-3 -.21   .07 66 -.46 94   7.3   - - - - - 2 18 35 34 11 - - -
86 Oregon State 1-3 -.24   .89 13 -1.46 128   8.6   - - - - - 1 2 11 28 39 19 - -
87 Syracuse 2-2 -.25   -.37 99 -.12 66   6.7   - - - - 3 10 22 34 24 7 - - -
88 Arkansas State 2-3 -.25   -.02 77 -.45 92   5.5   - - - 3 16 32 31 15 3 - - - -
89 Florida International 1-3 -.26   .08 65 -.61 105   5.8   - - - 1 10 29 32 20 7 1 - - -
90 Virginia Tech 2-2 -.26   -.05 78 -.49 96   6.3   - - - - 5 16 32 35 12 - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
91 Central Michigan 2-3 -.28   -.44 105 -.18 71   5.2   - - - 4 21 38 26 10 1 - - - -
92 Eastern Michigan 2-2 -.28   -.11 84 -.53 99   5.0   - - 1 10 25 30 24 8 2 - - - -
93 Illinois 2-3 -.28   -.38 100 -.26 77   8.0   - - - - - 1 4 22 40 30 3 - -
94 Kansas 1-4 -.29   -.24 90 -.43 87   8.9   - - - - - - 1 5 25 43 26 - -
95 Southern Mississippi 2-2 -.30   .20 51 -.87 116   5.7   - - - 3 12 27 32 20 5 1 - - -
96 Liberty 3-2 -.31   -.57 110 -.02 59   3.8   - - 6 30 42 18 4 - - - - - -
97 Louisiana Monroe 1-3 -.32   .52 32 -.96 120   6.7   - - - - 2 12 28 34 18 5 1 - -
98 BYU 2-3 -.34   -.40 101 -.15 69   6.2   - - - 1 5 19 35 32 8 - - - -
99 Vanderbilt 1-4 -.35   -.22 89 -.59 102   8.1   - - - - - - 5 22 37 30 6 - -
100 Charlotte 1-3 -.36   .15 57 -.96 119   6.2   - - - 1 8 21 33 25 10 2 - - -
101 Arkansas 1-3 -.36   -.22 88 -.49 97   8.9   - - - - - - 1 6 23 44 26 - -
102 South Florida 1-3 -.38   -.69 114 -.17 70   8.0   - - - - - 1 6 22 39 25 7 - -
103 Miami (OH) 1-3 -.40   -.43 104 -.35 82   6.0   - - - 1 8 26 35 22 7 1 - - -
104 Georgia Tech 1-3 -.40   -.32 97 -.39 84   8.3   - - - - - - 4 15 32 36 13 - -
105 Tennessee 0-4 -.41   -.48 106 -.43 88   9.4   - - - - - - 1 4 15 32 36 12 -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
106 Georgia State 2-2 -.49   .31 44 -1.12 123   6.2   - - - 1 7 18 32 28 12 2 - - -
107 Ball State 1-3 -.52   -.77 118 -.21 73   7.2   - - - 1 1 8 20 29 26 12 3 - -
108 Northern Illinois 0-4 -.53   -.77 117 -.32 81   8.3   - - - - - 2 6 20 28 28 14 2 -
109 Texas State 1-3 -.53   -1.00 121 -.10 65   7.8   - - - - - 2 12 23 36 23 4 - -
110 Marshall 1-3 -.57   -.50 107 -.78 110   7.5   - - - - - 5 15 29 28 18 5 - -
111 Colorado State 0-5 -.58   -.30 95 -.75 109   9.0   - - - - - - 1 7 24 35 27 6 -
112 Middle Tennessee 1-3 -.62   -.29 94 -.82 114   7.5   - - - - 1 5 15 26 36 15 2 - -
113 Kent State 1-3 -.64   -.29 93 -.88 117   7.3   - - - - 1 5 19 29 31 13 2 - -
114 Old Dominion 0-4 -.64   -1.01 122 -.28 79   8.3   - - - - - 1 6 17 30 30 15 1 -
115 San Jose State 2-2 -.68   -.51 108 -.82 113   7.2   - - - - 1 4 17 36 31 11 - - -
116 Rice 0-6 -.72   -.76 116 -.60 104   9.1   - - - - - - 1 7 20 36 26 9 1
117 New Mexico 1-3 -.72   -.27 92 -1.21 125   8.2   - - - - - 1 5 19 34 30 11 - -
118 UNLV 0-4 -.75   -.53 109 -.81 112   8.8   - - - - - - 2 11 25 32 24 6 -
119 Georgia Southern 1-3 -.76   -.92 120 -.71 108   8.2   - - - - - 1 5 18 33 32 11 - -
120 Nevada 2-2 -.79   -.58 111 -1.19 124   7.1   - - - - 1 6 22 35 29 7 - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
121 East Carolina 1-3 -.82   -.74 115 -.81 111   7.8   - - - - - - 4 28 49 19 - - -
122 New Mexico State 0-6 -.83   -.41 103 -1.06 121   9.3   - - - - - - - 2 16 39 35 8 -
123 South Alabama 0-5 -.88   -1.14 128 -.59 103   9.9   - - - - - - - 1 6 23 40 30 -
124 Rutgers 1-4 -1.00   -1.05 125 -.85 115   10.5   - - - - - - - - 1 6 35 58 -
125 Akron 0-5 -1.04   -1.13 127 -.95 118   10.1   - - - - - - - 1 6 19 33 32 9
126 Connecticut 0-4 -1.19   -1.27 130 -1.07 122   9.9   - - - - - - - - 3 27 53 17 -
127 UTSA 1-3 -1.20   -1.11 126 -1.32 127   9.2   - - - - - - - 2 15 42 41 - -
128 UTEP 0-4 -1.23   -1.19 129 -1.26 126   10.1   - - - - - - - - 3 18 39 40 -
129 Bowling Green 0-4 -1.38   -1.03 124 -1.72 129   10.3   - - - - - - - - 1 13 43 43 -
130 Massachusetts 1-4 -1.67   -1.03 123 -2.14 130   9.6   - - - - - - - - 3 36 61 - -