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FEI Ratings
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FEI ratings (FEI) represent the per-possession scoring advantage a team would be expected to have on a neutral field against an average opponent. Ratings this week are partly (43 percent) based on weighted five-year FEI ratings. OFEI Offense ratings (OFEI) and Projected DFEI Defense ratings (DFEI) represent per-possession advantages projected for each unit. Projected losses (PL) represent the average number of losses expected based on individual game win likelihoods in regular season games. Projected season outcome distributions are also provided, represented as the percent chance of losing a given number of regular season games (0L is zero losses, 1L is one loss, etc).

Ratings and supporting data are calculated from the results of non-garbage possessions in FBS vs. FBS games.

 

2019 FEI Ratings (through Week 4)
:: Pre Championship :: W16 :: W15 :: W14 :: W13 :: W12 :: W11 :: W10 :: W9 :: W8 :: W7 :: W6 :: W5 :: W4 :: W3 :: W2 :: W1 :: Preseason

 

Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
1 Alabama 4-0 1.49   1.86 2 1.15 2   .5   57 34 8 1 - - - - - - - - -
2 Clemson 4-0 1.26   1.05 7 1.48 1   .2   79 18 3 - - - - - - - - - -
3 Ohio State 4-0 1.03   1.38 3 .72 7   1.3   25 38 25 10 2 - - - - - - - -
4 Georgia 3-0 1.01   1.18 4 .76 6   1.2   26 39 24 9 2 - - - - - - - -
5 Oklahoma 2-0 .98   2.21 1 -.24 80   1.6   15 34 32 14 4 1 - - - - - - -
6 Wisconsin 3-0 .94   .88 11 .91 4   1.7   9 32 35 19 4 1 - - - - - - -
7 LSU 3-0 .90   1.03 10 .61 11   2.3   3 19 35 29 11 3 - - - - - - -
8 Auburn 4-0 .64   .58 18 .65 9   3.3   - 6 19 31 28 14 2 - - - - - -
9 Notre Dame 2-1 .60   .62 17 .49 20   3.1   - 9 27 31 21 10 2 - - - - - -
10 Central Florida 2-1 .57   1.07 5 .13 34   2.5   - 17 36 30 14 3 - - - - - - -
11 Oregon 2-1 .57   .52 22 .60 12   3.3   - 4 20 32 26 13 4 1 - - - - -
12 Missouri 2-1 .56   .48 25 .54 18   3.4   - 3 17 32 31 11 5 1 - - - - -
13 Michigan State 3-1 .55   .01 75 1.08 3   4.0   - 1 8 25 33 25 7 1 - - - - -
14 Mississippi State 3-1 .53   .50 23 .64 10   4.1   - 1 8 22 33 27 8 1 - - - - -
15 Appalachian State 2-0 .49   .69 14 .32 26   1.4   21 38 28 10 2 1 - - - - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
16 Iowa 3-0 .48   .18 53 .68 8   3.2   1 8 22 29 23 11 5 1 - - - - -
17 Baylor 2-0 .48   1.04 8 -.11 62   3.7   1 5 15 26 26 18 7 2 - - - - -
18 Michigan 2-1 .47   .30 39 .57 15   4.7   - 1 5 15 26 26 20 6 1 - - - -
19 Boise State 3-0 .45   .48 24 .49 21   1.3   23 37 29 9 2 - - - - - - - -
20 Washington 2-1 .45   .63 15 .41 22   3.6   - 4 15 31 26 18 5 1 - - - - -
21 Florida 3-0 .44   .21 49 .58 14   3.5   1 5 16 31 30 13 4 - - - - - -
22 Penn State 2-0 .41   .26 41 .59 13   3.9   1 3 11 27 29 19 8 2 - - - - -
23 Kansas State 2-0 .39   .62 16 .12 36   4.1   - 2 10 22 27 23 11 4 1 - - - -
24 Oklahoma State 2-1 .38   1.05 6 -.32 85   4.5   - 1 4 16 27 28 18 5 1 - - - -
25 Washington State 2-1 .38   1.04 9 -.21 75   4.3   - 1 8 20 29 26 13 3 - - - - -
26 TCU 1-1 .38   -.03 79 .85 5   5.1   - - 1 10 20 29 23 12 4 1 - - -
27 Texas 3-1 .37   .74 12 .07 40   4.7   - - 4 14 26 29 19 6 2 - - - -
28 Memphis 2-0 .36   .53 21 .14 33   2.9   4 13 25 28 17 9 3 1 - - - - -
29 Utah 2-1 .30   .21 50 .34 25   4.1   - 1 9 23 27 24 11 4 1 - - - -
30 Army 2-1 .28   .30 38 .19 31   2.9   - 11 28 33 18 8 2 - - - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
31 Arizona State 2-1 .28   .40 30 .07 41   4.5   - 1 5 16 26 30 16 5 1 - - - -
32 Minnesota 2-0 .26   .20 51 .27 30   3.8   1 4 11 25 26 21 9 3 - - - - -
33 West Virginia 2-1 .26   .42 29 .03 46   5.6   - - 1 6 13 28 28 19 5 - - - -
34 Miami 1-2 .24   -.09 87 .55 17   5.0   - - 2 11 23 29 22 10 3 - - - -
35 Iowa State 1-1 .24   .47 26 .05 44   5.8   - - 1 5 13 23 28 21 8 1 - - -
36 Texas A&M 1-2 .24   .35 35 .10 39   6.4   - - - - 3 19 31 32 13 2 - - -
37 Utah State 1-1 .22   .39 31 .12 35   4.2   - 1 7 24 30 22 13 3 - - - - -
38 USC 3-1 .20   .34 36 .11 37   5.3   - - 1 6 19 28 24 18 4 - - - -
39 Cincinnati 2-1 .19   .14 58 .31 27   4.4   - 1 5 21 27 27 14 4 1 - - - -
40 California 3-0 .18   .04 72 .29 29   3.9   1 3 13 25 27 22 8 1 - - - - -
41 San Diego State 2-1 .14   -.30 108 .52 19   3.2   - 7 22 33 23 11 3 1 - - - - -
42 Wake Forest 3-0 .13   .15 56 .11 38   3.9   - 2 11 25 29 22 9 2 - - - - -
43 Virginia 3-0 .13   -.04 81 .40 23   3.5   1 4 18 30 26 16 4 1 - - - - -
44 Indiana 2-1 .12   .24 45 -.15 67   5.3   - - 2 9 18 30 26 13 2 - - - -
45 North Carolina State 2-1 .12   .26 43 .04 45   4.9   - - 2 12 25 29 21 9 2 - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
46 SMU 4-0 .10   .44 28 -.21 77   3.3   2 8 18 31 27 11 3 - - - - - -
47 Pittsburgh 2-2 .09   .08 65 .30 28   5.1   - - 2 11 22 31 22 9 3 - - - -
48 Florida State 2-2 .09   .16 55 -.02 52   6.1   - - - 2 7 22 32 26 10 1 - - -
49 Western Michigan 1-2 .09   .56 19 -.46 101   4.3   - - 6 20 33 26 12 3 - - - - -
50 Mississippi 1-2 .09   .31 37 -.06 58   7.0   - - - - 1 6 25 36 27 5 - - -
51 Colorado 3-1 .09   .44 27 -.26 81   5.6   - - 1 7 13 26 29 17 6 1 - - -
52 Kentucky 2-2 .06   .19 52 .00 48   5.4   - - - 5 17 30 29 14 4 1 - - -
53 Duke 1-1 .05   .24 44 -.14 65   5.7   - - 1 6 13 24 28 19 7 2 - - -
54 Temple 1-1 .04   -.27 103 .37 24   5.0   - - 3 11 22 30 21 11 2 - - - -
55 Air Force 1-1 .04   .38 32 -.33 88   4.3   - 1 8 18 26 26 15 5 1 - - - -
56 Arizona 1-1 .04   .22 48 -.21 76   6.1   - - - 3 10 21 28 23 11 4 - - -
57 Nebraska 3-1 .04   .10 61 .06 43   5.9   - - - 3 11 21 32 23 8 2 - - -
58 Troy 1-1 .04   .24 46 -.15 68   4.6   - - 4 15 29 28 16 7 1 - - - -
59 Northwestern 1-2 .03   -.46 114 .56 16   7.0   - - - - 3 11 21 30 25 8 2 - -
60 Houston 0-3 .03   .55 20 -.42 97   6.9   - - - - 2 12 24 31 20 10 1 - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
61 Fresno State 0-2 .02   .09 63 .17 32   4.9   - - 2 10 25 31 20 9 2 1 - - -
62 Stanford 1-3 .02   .11 60 -.05 57   7.3   - - - - 1 6 19 28 27 15 4 - -
63 South Carolina 0-3 .02   -.06 85 -.01 49   8.2   - - - - - 1 6 19 32 27 13 2 -
64 North Carolina 2-2 .00   .08 64 -.14 66   6.3   - - - 1 6 16 30 28 16 3 - - -
65 Maryland 1-1 -.01   .05 70 -.02 51   6.5   - - - 1 5 15 27 27 18 6 1 - -
66 Virginia Tech 1-1 -.02   -.14 91 -.03 54   5.8   - - 1 5 12 24 29 22 6 1 - - -
67 Louisiana Tech 2-1 -.04   -.02 77 -.10 61   3.3   - 5 20 31 27 13 3 1 0 - - - -
68 UCLA 1-3 -.04   .23 47 -.31 83   7.4   - - - - 1 4 17 29 28 16 4 1 -
69 Southern Mississippi 1-2 -.04   .04 71 -.36 92   4.8   - - 2 12 27 28 20 9 2 - - - -
70 Ohio 0-3 -.05   .28 40 -.33 86   5.4   - - - 4 20 31 27 13 4 1 - - -
71 Tulsa 2-2 -.06   -.05 82 -.02 50   6.4   - - - 1 5 17 30 28 14 4 1 - -
72 Tulane 2-1 -.06   -.06 83 -.12 63   5.6   - - 1 3 12 29 31 17 7 - - - -
73 Purdue 1-2 -.08   .09 62 -.19 73   7.6   - - - - 1 6 11 29 28 18 6 1 -
74 Georgia Tech 1-1 -.08   .26 42 -.32 84   6.5   - - - 2 6 16 26 27 16 5 2 - -
75 Boston College 2-1 -.08   -.07 86 -.02 53   6.2   - - - 2 9 19 33 24 11 2 - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
76 Arkansas State 1-2 -.09   -.12 90 .07 42   4.8   - - 2 15 27 29 18 8 1 - - - -
77 Texas Tech 1-1 -.09   .38 33 -.58 106   7.4   - - - - 1 7 16 28 27 17 4 - -
78 Syracuse 2-2 -.10   -.19 96 -.03 55   6.1   - - - 2 8 23 29 24 12 2 - - -
79 South Florida 0-2 -.10   -.31 109 .03 47   6.7   - - - 1 5 15 24 29 18 7 1 - -
80 Marshall 1-1 -.11   -.21 98 -.04 56   4.8   - 1 4 15 25 27 18 8 2 - - - -
81 Georgia Southern 0-2 -.12   -.03 78 -.36 93   5.9   - - - 2 11 25 29 21 10 2 - - -
82 Navy 1-0 -.12   .70 13 -.77 115   5.5   - - 1 7 16 23 27 18 7 1 - - -
83 Louisville 1-2 -.12   -.04 80 -.35 91   7.4   - - - - 1 5 15 30 28 17 4 - -
84 Western Kentucky 1-1 -.13   -.18 94 -.23 79   5.4   - 1 3 7 16 27 24 15 6 1 - - -
85 UAB 2-0 -.13   .08 66 -.10 60   3.1   2 8 22 28 26 10 3 1 - - - - -
86 North Texas 1-2 -.13   -.06 84 -.22 78   5.3   - - 1 6 18 29 28 13 4 1 - - -
87 Tennessee 0-3 -.15   -.33 110 -.20 74   8.8   - - - - - 1 1 11 26 35 20 6 -
88 BYU 2-2 -.16   -.14 92 -.17 70   5.8   - - - 3 13 25 34 21 4 - - - -
89 Louisiana Lafayette 2-1 -.18   .35 34 -.66 110   4.8   - - 3 11 24 30 19 11 2 - - - -
90 Florida Atlantic 1-2 -.19   -.18 95 -.18 71   5.3   - - 1 7 18 30 25 13 5 1 - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
91 Vanderbilt 0-3 -.20   -.02 76 -.41 96   7.8   - - - - - 3 12 26 30 21 7 1 -
92 Illinois 2-2 -.23   -.20 97 -.34 89   7.8   - - - - - 3 11 21 37 23 5 - -
93 Florida International 0-3 -.23   .06 69 -.64 108   6.4   - - - 1 5 17 28 28 18 3 - - -
94 Wyoming 2-1 -.24   -.37 111 -.07 59   5.2   - - 1 7 21 31 28 10 2 - - - -
95 Eastern Michigan 2-1 -.26   -.25 102 -.16 69   4.4   - 1 6 19 26 24 16 7 1 - - - -
96 Toledo 1-1 -.26   .14 57 -.65 109   4.9   - - 3 13 22 27 22 9 3 1 - - -
97 Coastal Carolina 2-1 -.28   .16 54 -.74 113   5.4   - - 1 5 20 33 24 12 4 1 - - -
98 Arkansas 1-2 -.28   -.22 99 -.33 87   8.4   - - - - - 1 3 13 32 36 15 - -
99 Nevada 2-1 -.29   -.24 101 -.46 100   5.2   - - 1 6 22 32 24 11 4 - - - -
100 Charlotte 1-2 -.30   -.09 88 -.61 107   6.0   - - - 3 12 23 28 22 10 2 - - -
101 Buffalo 1-2 -.33   .03 74 -.54 104   5.4   - - - 7 20 26 24 17 5 1 - - -
102 Kansas 1-2 -.33   -.22 100 -.41 95   8.5   - - - - - 1 3 13 27 35 21 - -
103 Northern Illinois 0-2 -.34   -.53 119 -.19 72   6.8   - - - 1 5 14 23 26 22 8 1 - -
104 Middle Tennessee 0-2 -.35   -.16 93 -.44 99   7.0   - - - 1 2 9 22 29 24 11 2 - -
105 Louisiana Monroe 0-2 -.38   .11 59 -.86 119   7.1   - - - 1 2 8 21 29 25 12 2 - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
106 Miami (OH) 0-3 -.38   -.28 105 -.49 102   6.9   - - - - 3 12 25 30 21 8 1 - -
107 Liberty 1-2 -.39   -.49 115 -.34 90   5.1   - - 1 8 24 33 24 9 1 - - - -
108 Hawaii 2-1 -.41   .07 68 -.87 120   6.5   - - - 1 6 15 26 26 18 7 1 - -
109 Central Michigan 1-2 -.42   -.78 124 -.12 64   6.1   - - - 1 11 21 28 22 13 3 1 - -
110 Old Dominion 0-2 -.50   -.29 107 -.75 114   7.1   - - - 1 3 9 21 27 24 11 4 - -
111 Kent State 1-2 -.50   -.53 117 -.43 98   7.0   - - - - 2 9 24 29 25 10 1 - -
112 Ball State 0-3 -.53   -.43 113 -.57 105   8.0   - - - - - 2 11 20 30 23 12 2 -
113 Texas State 1-3 -.58   -.95 127 -.26 82   7.9   - - - - - 1 9 25 36 24 5 - -
114 UNLV 0-2 -.59   -.27 104 -.80 116   8.1   - - - - - 2 8 22 28 25 13 2 -
115 Colorado State 0-3 -.60   .03 73 -1.07 125   8.8   - - - - - 1 2 12 24 33 22 6 -
116 Georgia State 1-2 -.60   -.11 89 -1.06 124   7.6   - - - - 1 3 11 27 30 23 5 - -
117 Oregon State 0-2 -.61   .07 67 -1.45 129   9.9   - - - - - - - 1 6 19 43 31 -
118 Rutgers 1-2 -.62   -.80 125 -.39 94   9.5   - - - - - - - 3 12 28 38 19 -
119 San Jose State 1-1 -.65   -.53 118 -.70 111   7.7   - - - - 1 4 13 25 30 23 4 - -
120 New Mexico 1-1 -.70   -.28 106 -1.04 123   7.5   - - - - 1 4 14 29 31 17 4 - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
121 East Carolina 0-2 -.72   -.61 120 -.83 117   8.2   - - - - - 2 5 19 33 31 10 - -
122 Akron 0-4 -.77   -.97 128 -.52 103   9.1   - - - - - 1 2 10 21 28 25 12 1
123 New Mexico State 0-4 -.82   -.43 112 -1.14 126   9.1   - - - - - - 2 5 22 35 29 7 -
124 Rice 0-4 -.82   -.74 123 -.90 121   9.8   - - - - - - 1 2 10 24 35 23 5
125 South Alabama 0-3 -.90   -.85 126 -.85 118   9.5   - - - - - - - 5 13 29 37 16 -
126 UTEP 0-2 -.95   -1.01 129 -.73 112   8.6   - - - - - 1 3 14 28 30 21 3 -
127 Connecticut 0-2 -.96   -.68 121 -1.24 127   9.4   - - - - - - - 2 14 32 36 16 -
128 Bowling Green 0-3 -.99   -.68 122 -1.24 128   9.5   - - - - - - 1 4 12 31 34 18 -
129 UTSA 0-3 -1.04   -1.10 130 -.94 122   9.5   - - - - - - 1 2 16 31 35 15 -
130 Massachusetts 0-3 -1.17   -.52 116 -1.57 130   9.6   - - - - - - - 2 11 30 41 16 -