BCF Toys - 2018 Possession Margins

2018 Possession Margins

Teams are ranked according to average possession margin (APM), the average lead or deficit the team has held at the start of its non-garbage possessions. The remaining colums provide the distribution of non-garbage possessions contested by the given team against their opponents with the following scoring margins: leading by 25 or more points (W25+), leading by 17 or more points (W17+), leading by 9 or more points (W9+), leading by any margin (W), tied with their opponent (T), trailing by any margin (L), trailing by 9 or more points (L9+), trailing by 17 or more points (L17+), or trailing by 25 or more points (L25+).

Ratings and supporting data are calculated from the results of non-garbage possesssions in FBS vs. FBS games.

Rk	Team	Rec	APM	W25+	Rk	W17+	Rk	W9+	Rk	W	Rk	T	Rk	L	Rk	L9+	Rk	L17+	Rk	L25+	Rk
1	Alabama	13-1	13.5	.178	2	.434	1	.626	1	.773	1	.126	18	.101	2	.042	8	.007	12	.000	1
2	Utah State	10-2	11.9	.228	1	.325	2	.454	3	.745	3	.142	34	.113	3	.033	4	.000	1	.000	1
3	Clemson	14-0	11.2	.130	3	.304	3	.491	2	.745	2	.161	56	.093	1	.022	1	.000	1	.000	1
4	Notre Dame	12-1	7.3	.034	42	.143	22	.437	4	.700	4	.160	53	.140	5	.038	5	.020	23	.003	45
5	Appalachian State	10-2	7.2	.070	9	.189	8	.378	9	.637	9	.233	121	.130	4	.044	9	.019	20	.000	1
6	West Virginia	7-4	6.6	.091	4	.178	10	.341	18	.602	15	.163	57	.235	18	.061	16	.000	1	.000	1
7	Georgia	10-3	6.5	.067	13	.194	7	.413	5	.683	5	.127	19	.190	8	.151	52	.020	22	.000	1
8	Army	9-2	6.3	.037	36	.115	39	.351	15	.665	6	.178	71	.157	7	.058	12	.037	40	.000	1
9	LSU	9-3	6.0	.037	39	.156	15	.392	7	.618	12	.159	51	.223	16	.060	15	.010	15	.000	1
10	Syracuse	9-3	6.0	.053	28	.169	12	.365	13	.644	8	.134	22	.223	15	.059	13	.024	25	.003	41
11	Buffalo	9-4	5.8	.079	6	.152	16	.307	24	.586	19	.200	96	.214	10	.076	19	.028	29	.010	61
12	Fresno State	11-2	5.7	.043	33	.135	29	.327	20	.598	18	.253	125	.149	6	.032	3	.000	1	.000	1
13	Boise State	10-3	5.6	.076	7	.196	6	.278	32	.574	24	.206	106	.220	14	.052	10	.003	9	.000	1
14	Washington State	10-2	5.5	.050	31	.145	20	.271	34	.599	16	.183	75	.218	11	.027	2	.000	1	.000	1
15	Ohio State	13-1	5.3	.084	5	.134	30	.342	17	.625	10	.120	9	.255	23	.070	17	.008	14	.000	1

Rk	Team	Rec	APM	W25+	Rk	W17+	Rk	W9+	Rk	W	Rk	T	Rk	L	Rk	L9+	Rk	L17+	Rk	L25+	Rk
16	Oklahoma	12-2	5.0	.061	21	.150	17	.310	23	.585	21	.180	72	.235	17	.092	25	.048	47	.003	43
17	North Texas	8-4	5.0	.064	16	.138	27	.357	14	.657	7	.125	15	.219	12	.057	11	.051	51	.044	99
18	Oregon	8-4	5.0	.069	10	.188	9	.406	6	.551	28	.175	68	.274	27	.132	40	.050	49	.010	59
19	Memphis	7-6	4.8	.069	11	.157	14	.345	16	.605	13	.122	12	.273	26	.075	18	.044	43	.013	67
20	Iowa	8-4	4.8	.036	41	.101	50	.273	33	.576	22	.205	103	.219	13	.040	7	.000	1	.000	1
21	Central Florida	11-1	4.5	.025	51	.175	11	.389	8	.575	23	.120	8	.305	34	.160	57	.029	34	.000	1
22	Texas	10-4	4.5	.000	94	.105	46	.338	19	.603	14	.086	1	.311	35	.086	24	.025	26	.000	1
23	Washington	9-4	4.4	.037	37	.121	36	.278	31	.586	20	.220	113	.194	9	.081	22	.033	39	.011	63
24	UAB	10-3	4.4	.056	26	.141	24	.303	26	.542	32	.176	70	.282	29	.144	47	.046	44	.004	48
25	Ohio	8-4	4.3	.072	8	.217	4	.369	12	.490	40	.153	44	.357	50	.173	66	.068	66	.012	66
26	North Carolina State	8-4	4.2	.037	37	.161	13	.370	11	.623	11	.117	6	.260	24	.128	35	.062	63	.018	75
27	Temple	8-4	4.2	.069	12	.138	28	.284	30	.497	37	.200	96	.303	33	.113	28	.028	31	.009	58
28	Virginia	7-5	4.2	.011	75	.097	51	.303	25	.566	26	.195	92	.240	20	.082	23	.007	13	.000	1
29	Auburn	7-5	4.1	.055	27	.129	33	.269	35	.550	30	.137	24	.314	38	.166	60	.030	35	.000	1
30	Penn State	9-4	3.9	.027	49	.074	67	.262	38	.565	27	.199	95	.235	19	.060	14	.012	16	.003	42

Rk	Team	Rec	APM	W25+	Rk	W17+	Rk	W9+	Rk	W	Rk	T	Rk	L	Rk	L9+	Rk	L17+	Rk	L25+	Rk
31	Michigan	10-3	3.9	.063	19	.145	21	.268	36	.491	39	.193	89	.316	39	.156	56	.037	41	.000	1
32	Toledo	6-6	3.8	.059	22	.201	5	.327	21	.571	25	.145	39	.284	30	.155	55	.076	76	.023	79
33	Troy	9-3	3.6	.014	69	.128	34	.374	10	.599	17	.149	41	.253	21	.131	37	.080	78	.031	88
34	Missouri	7-5	3.4	.052	29	.146	19	.316	22	.549	31	.111	5	.340	44	.142	45	.056	57	.000	1
35	Cincinnati	10-2	3.4	.058	23	.082	61	.203	64	.457	46	.268	126	.275	28	.100	27	.031	36	.003	46
36	Marshall	8-4	3.0	.000	94	.091	54	.287	29	.541	33	.206	105	.253	22	.132	38	.047	46	.020	76
37	Arkansas State	7-5	2.7	.052	30	.131	32	.241	47	.522	34	.192	88	.285	31	.120	32	.072	69	.038	94
38	Mississippi State	7-5	2.5	.067	14	.142	23	.251	41	.485	41	.163	58	.351	48	.151	51	.050	50	.000	1
39	Wisconsin	8-5	2.2	.003	92	.140	25	.291	27	.425	62	.223	114	.353	49	.168	61	.027	28	.000	1
40	Utah	8-5	2.2	.033	46	.107	45	.248	42	.456	47	.205	104	.339	43	.121	33	.013	17	.000	1
41	Florida	8-3	1.9	.036	40	.140	26	.232	50	.452	48	.144	38	.404	66	.152	53	.032	38	.004	53
42	Eastern Michigan	6-6	1.8	.013	71	.081	63	.185	71	.428	59	.199	94	.374	58	.094	26	.000	1	.000	1
43	Purdue	6-7	1.8	.016	65	.061	74	.247	44	.458	44	.212	109	.330	41	.119	30	.051	52	.026	84
44	Oklahoma State	6-6	1.8	.023	55	.118	38	.252	40	.474	42	.137	25	.389	63	.144	46	.023	24	.000	1
45	Houston	7-5	1.8	.062	20	.148	18	.255	39	.446	55	.132	20	.422	71	.222	80	.062	61	.015	72

Rk	Team	Rec	APM	W25+	Rk	W17+	Rk	W9+	Rk	W	Rk	T	Rk	L	Rk	L9+	Rk	L17+	Rk	L25+	Rk
46	Georgia Southern	9-3	1.8	.020	60	.101	49	.243	45	.518	35	.211	108	.271	25	.166	59	.105	89	.000	1
47	Texas A&M	8-4	1.8	.014	67	.059	76	.201	65	.458	44	.250	124	.292	32	.080	21	.028	30	.007	54
48	Michigan State	7-6	1.6	.003	93	.033	101	.153	81	.396	72	.291	130	.312	37	.039	6	.000	1	.000	1
49	BYU	6-6	1.6	.046	32	.131	31	.242	46	.412	67	.192	87	.396	65	.150	50	.054	55	.015	72
50	California	6-6	1.6	.014	70	.112	41	.218	58	.422	63	.190	85	.388	62	.136	42	.048	47	.003	43
51	Kentucky	9-3	1.5	.022	57	.067	70	.210	60	.449	52	.240	123	.311	36	.139	43	.064	65	.004	51
52	Middle Tennessee	7-6	1.5	.027	48	.120	37	.288	28	.493	38	.103	4	.404	67	.178	70	.075	75	.027	85
53	USC	5-7	1.5	.000	94	.075	66	.194	68	.500	36	.139	28	.361	52	.139	44	.037	42	.000	1
54	Duke	7-5	1.3	.010	78	.087	55	.232	51	.470	43	.171	63	.359	51	.181	71	.054	54	.010	60
55	Southern Mississippi	5-5	1.2	.025	52	.095	52	.218	55	.395	73	.235	122	.370	57	.128	34	.004	11	.000	1
56	Miami (OH)	6-6	1.2	.042	34	.109	44	.197	67	.433	57	.187	81	.380	59	.155	54	.028	32	.000	1
57	Nevada	7-5	1.2	.012	73	.056	81	.205	62	.450	50	.165	60	.385	61	.118	29	.031	37	.000	1
58	Virginia Tech	5-7	1.1	.020	59	.058	78	.200	66	.447	54	.231	119	.322	40	.132	41	.061	60	.000	1
59	Iowa State	7-5	1.0	.000	94	.062	72	.203	63	.384	75	.279	128	.337	42	.130	36	.029	33	.000	1
60	Vanderbilt	5-7	0.9	.000	94	.054	82	.165	76	.450	51	.185	78	.365	53	.173	67	.019	21	.012	64

Rk	Team	Rec	APM	W25+	Rk	W17+	Rk	W9+	Rk	W	Rk	T	Rk	L	Rk	L9+	Rk	L17+	Rk	L25+	Rk
61	Northwestern	9-5	0.7	.000	94	.025	106	.161	78	.451	49	.202	101	.347	45	.148	48	.014	18	.000	1
62	Florida Atlantic	4-7	0.7	.000	94	.022	109	.225	52	.551	29	.101	3	.348	46	.169	62	.097	85	.034	91
63	Stanford	8-4	0.6	.007	83	.037	98	.172	74	.429	58	.201	100	.370	56	.161	58	.059	59	.000	1
64	Florida International	8-4	0.6	.057	25	.123	35	.213	59	.410	69	.123	13	.467	82	.172	65	.070	67	.020	77
65	Maryland	5-7	0.5	.026	50	.115	40	.237	49	.448	53	.141	31	.411	68	.237	84	.070	68	.004	50
66	San Diego State	6-6	0.3	.000	94	.000	120	.057	116	.426	60	.223	116	.351	47	.078	20	.018	19	.000	1
67	Western Kentucky	3-8	0.3	.066	15	.102	48	.176	73	.367	79	.160	52	.473	83	.195	73	.094	84	.008	55
68	Minnesota	7-6	0.1	.034	42	.109	43	.266	37	.420	65	.143	36	.437	74	.273	93	.099	86	.014	70
69	Wake Forest	6-6	0.0	.064	18	.111	42	.188	70	.376	76	.191	86	.433	73	.217	79	.102	87	.038	95
70	South Carolina	6-6	0.0	.064	17	.094	53	.218	56	.406	70	.154	46	.440	76	.214	77	.083	80	.004	52
71	Boston College	6-5	-0.1	.024	53	.042	93	.150	82	.411	68	.223	115	.366	55	.178	69	.063	64	.003	47
72	Arizona State	7-6	-0.1	.017	63	.049	88	.142	86	.354	81	.201	99	.444	77	.132	39	.003	10	.000	1
73	Wyoming	5-6	-0.2	.004	87	.053	84	.247	43	.417	66	.146	40	.437	75	.202	74	.093	83	.008	56
74	Miami	6-6	-0.3	.017	64	.103	47	.221	54	.372	77	.138	26	.490	88	.224	81	.062	62	.010	61
75	Tulane	6-6	-0.3	.010	80	.071	68	.191	69	.440	56	.194	90	.366	54	.172	64	.074	70	.039	96

Rk	Team	Rec	APM	W25+	Rk	W17+	Rk	W9+	Rk	W	Rk	T	Rk	L	Rk	L9+	Rk	L17+	Rk	L25+	Rk
76	Louisiana Lafayette	6-7	-0.4	.018	61	.085	58	.221	53	.421	64	.159	50	.421	70	.244	86	.085	81	.044	100
77	Colorado	4-7	-0.4	.022	58	.081	62	.144	85	.299	97	.277	127	.424	72	.207	75	.092	82	.000	1
78	Liberty	4-6	-0.6	.033	44	.077	65	.207	61	.399	71	.218	112	.384	60	.214	76	.077	77	.033	90
79	Louisiana Tech	7-5	-0.9	.000	94	.050	87	.145	84	.426	60	.181	73	.394	64	.191	72	.082	79	.018	74
80	TCU	6-6	-1.1	.000	94	.023	108	.059	115	.356	80	.228	118	.416	69	.119	31	.046	45	.013	68
81	Pittsburgh	6-7	-1.3	.000	94	.058	77	.136	87	.337	89	.187	83	.476	85	.214	77	.075	71	.014	69
82	Air Force	4-7	-1.3	.000	94	.029	103	.124	93	.306	94	.174	66	.521	94	.149	49	.025	27	.000	1
83	Texas Tech	4-7	-1.3	.011	76	.054	83	.122	94	.391	74	.154	45	.455	79	.233	83	.075	73	.022	78
84	Northern Illinois	8-6	-1.5	.000	94	.014	113	.094	104	.369	78	.174	67	.457	80	.174	68	.054	56	.000	1
85	Georgia Tech	6-6	-1.7	.039	35	.086	56	.185	72	.348	84	.176	69	.476	86	.240	85	.112	92	.043	98
86	Indiana	5-7	-1.7	.011	77	.057	79	.157	80	.346	85	.143	35	.511	89	.254	90	.054	53	.004	49
87	Hawaii	7-6	-2.1	.010	79	.066	71	.168	75	.349	82	.184	77	.467	81	.253	89	.132	95	.056	106
88	Kansas State	4-7	-2.2	.023	56	.036	99	.117	96	.266	101	.284	129	.450	78	.171	63	.104	88	.036	92
89	SMU	4-7	-2.4	.000	94	.061	73	.158	79	.301	96	.186	80	.513	90	.247	87	.115	93	.025	81
90	Nebraska	3-8	-2.4	.018	62	.085	59	.132	88	.324	91	.125	16	.551	97	.290	98	.107	91	.029	87

Rk	Team	Rec	APM	W25+	Rk	W17+	Rk	W9+	Rk	W	Rk	T	Rk	L	Rk	L9+	Rk	L17+	Rk	L25+	Rk
91	South Florida	6-6	-2.4	.006	85	.034	100	.102	100	.314	93	.155	48	.531	96	.227	82	.056	58	.009	57
92	Louisiana Monroe	5-6	-2.9	.013	72	.085	57	.218	57	.346	86	.141	33	.513	91	.329	103	.141	97	.056	105
93	Mississippi	4-7	-3.0	.024	54	.053	84	.146	83	.324	90	.194	91	.482	87	.271	92	.150	100	.061	107
94	Tulsa	2-9	-3.1	.008	81	.019	111	.086	110	.339	88	.187	82	.475	84	.300	99	.132	96	.023	80
95	UCLA	3-9	-3.5	.000	94	.021	110	.089	107	.257	102	.182	74	.561	98	.286	96	.075	72	.014	71
96	Tennessee	4-7	-3.7	.000	94	.083	60	.240	48	.341	87	.140	29	.520	93	.358	109	.210	114	.079	111
97	Baylor	6-6	-3.9	.000	94	.041	94	.120	95	.303	95	.120	7	.577	103	.266	91	.150	101	.041	97
98	North Carolina	1-9	-4.3	.000	94	.000	120	.023	126	.199	116	.226	117	.575	101	.252	88	.105	89	.000	1
99	Florida State	4-7	-4.5	.000	94	.056	80	.164	77	.241	107	.161	54	.598	111	.343	106	.143	99	.052	103
100	Massachusetts	3-8	-4.6	.058	24	.069	69	.088	108	.273	100	.165	61	.562	99	.315	101	.162	105	.092	117
101	Akron	3-8	-4.6	.000	94	.014	114	.053	118	.205	114	.208	107	.587	107	.279	95	.124	94	.049	101
102	UNLV	3-8	-4.7	.033	44	.052	86	.107	97	.284	99	.140	30	.576	102	.314	100	.151	102	.096	119
103	Texas State	2-9	-4.7	.000	94	.007	117	.102	101	.255	104	.149	42	.596	110	.360	110	.142	98	.025	83
104	Ball State	3-8	-4.9	.004	88	.044	91	.101	103	.250	106	.169	62	.581	106	.351	108	.153	104	.028	86
105	Charlotte	4-7	-5.0	.004	86	.017	112	.102	102	.318	92	.093	2	.589	109	.347	107	.153	103	.076	109

Rk	Team	Rec	APM	W25+	Rk	W17+	Rk	W9+	Rk	W	Rk	T	Rk	L	Rk	L9+	Rk	L17+	Rk	L25+	Rk
106	Western Michigan	6-6	-5.1	.004	91	.047	89	.094	105	.254	105	.232	120	.514	92	.290	97	.181	111	.091	116
107	Kansas	3-8	-5.1	.004	89	.080	64	.132	89	.256	103	.164	59	.580	105	.392	116	.224	119	.012	65
108	Arizona	4-7	-5.4	.004	90	.037	97	.126	92	.348	83	.122	11	.530	95	.363	111	.237	121	.119	124
109	Old Dominion	3-8	-5.7	.000	94	.004	119	.022	127	.108	129	.204	102	.688	124	.276	94	.075	73	.025	81
110	Navy	2-10	-6.0	.000	94	.000	120	.046	122	.222	110	.201	98	.577	104	.335	104	.180	108	.038	93
111	Illinois	3-8	-6.1	.012	74	.044	92	.127	91	.287	98	.143	37	.570	100	.375	112	.211	116	.096	118
112	Colorado State	3-8	-6.3	.016	66	.031	102	.106	98	.197	117	.122	10	.681	122	.386	115	.232	120	.079	112
113	Coastal Carolina	4-7	-6.5	.000	94	.005	118	.086	111	.180	120	.171	64	.649	119	.405	118	.180	110	.050	102
114	Central Michigan	0-11	-6.6	.000	94	.000	120	.028	124	.155	123	.216	111	.629	115	.339	105	.163	106	.032	89
115	Bowling Green	2-9	-6.6	.000	94	.000	120	.048	121	.214	112	.161	55	.625	113	.319	102	.218	117	.129	126
116	San Jose State	1-10	-6.9	.000	94	.007	116	.051	120	.162	122	.213	110	.625	113	.404	117	.180	109	.055	104
117	Rutgers	1-11	-7.3	.000	94	.060	75	.079	113	.184	119	.184	76	.633	116	.472	125	.273	127	.071	108
118	Kent State	1-10	-7.3	.000	94	.000	120	.044	123	.225	109	.188	84	.587	108	.380	113	.210	115	.118	123
119	UTSA	3-9	-7.4	.000	94	.008	115	.129	90	.231	108	.125	16	.644	117	.470	124	.250	124	.087	114
120	New Mexico State	2-9	-7.5	.000	94	.000	120	.052	119	.185	118	.195	93	.620	112	.432	120	.192	113	.080	113

Rk	Team	Rec	APM	W25+	Rk	W17+	Rk	W9+	Rk	W	Rk	T	Rk	L	Rk	L9+	Rk	L17+	Rk	L25+	Rk
121	New Mexico	2-9	-7.5	.030	47	.041	95	.093	106	.219	111	.133	21	.648	118	.422	119	.237	121	.100	120
122	East Carolina	3-8	-7.8	.007	84	.025	105	.057	116	.213	113	.138	27	.649	120	.383	114	.223	118	.121	125
123	Georgia State	1-10	-7.8	.014	67	.046	90	.088	109	.134	126	.171	65	.694	125	.477	126	.273	126	.088	115
124	Arkansas	1-10	-7.9	.000	94	.027	104	.105	99	.202	115	.125	14	.673	121	.447	123	.249	123	.105	122
125	South Alabama	2-9	-8.1	.000	94	.023	107	.081	112	.112	128	.186	79	.702	128	.442	122	.186	112	.078	110
126	Rice	1-11	-8.6	.000	94	.000	120	.022	127	.147	124	.158	49	.695	126	.437	121	.179	107	.104	121
127	UTEP	1-10	-8.7	.008	82	.038	96	.060	114	.147	125	.154	46	.699	127	.485	127	.259	125	.132	127
128	Connecticut	0-11	-10.6	.000	94	.000	120	.009	129	.173	121	.141	32	.686	123	.527	129	.345	129	.145	129
129	Louisville	1-10	-10.9	.000	94	.000	120	.026	125	.128	127	.150	43	.722	129	.500	128	.316	128	.171	130
130	Oregon State	1-10	-12.8	.000	94	.000	120	.000	130	.012	130	.134	23	.854	130	.606	130	.354	130	.134	128