BCF Toys - 2015 Degree of Difficulty

FEI Degree of Difficulty Ratings

FEI Degree of Difficulty (DOD) ratings are based on FEI ratings, but instead of measuring efficiency against schedule, DOD measures record against schedule. How difficult would it be for an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) to play a given team's schedule to date and achieve that team's record? This question is closely aligned with the post-season selection priorities for the College Football Playoff committee.

The table below includes ratings for each team's schedule strength to date (PSOS), the average number of wins an elite team would have against the given team's schedule to date (EMW), and the given team's record against FEI top 15 (v15) and FEI top 30 (v30) opponents. Each team's overall schedule strength (SOS) is also provided. Only the top 30 DOD ratings to date are ranked. All other FBS teams are listed alphabetically.

2015 FEI Degree of Difficulty (updated 12/6/15)

Rk	Team	Rec	DOD	PSOS	Rk	EMW	v15	v30	SOS	Rk
1	Clemson	12-0	.309	.309	70	10.9	2-0	3-0	.309	70
2	Alabama	11-1	.538	.183	27	10.4	2-1	5-1	.183	27
3	Michigan State	12-1	.577	.191	29	11.6	1-0	4-0	.191	29
4	Oklahoma	11-1	.703	.270	58	10.8	3-0	4-0	.270	58
5	Iowa	11-1	.749	.310	71	11.0	0-1	0-1	.310	71
6	Notre Dame	10-2	.759	.091	3	10.2	1-2	2-2	.091	3
7	Ohio State	11-1	.775	.377	82	11.1	0-1	1-1	.377	82
8	Stanford	11-2	.873	.205	36	11.6	1-0	4-1	.205	36
9	Houston	11-1	.904	.541	106	11.4	1-0	2-0	.541	106
10	Northwestern	9-2	.912	.286	63	9.9	1-0	1-2	.286	63
11	Oklahoma State	9-2	.920	.293	64	9.9	1-2	1-2	.293	64
12	Navy	8-2	.922	.223	40	8.8	0-2	1-2	.221	40
13	TCU	9-2	.928	.227	42	9.8	1-1	1-2	.227	42
14	Mississippi	8-3	.939	.091	4	9.2	1-1	3-3	.091	4
15	Oregon	8-3	.947	.106	9	9.2	1-1	3-2	.106	9

Rk	Team	Rec	DOD	PSOS	Rk	EMW	v15	v30	SOS	Rk
16	Florida State	9-2	.948	.243	47	9.9	0-1	1-1	.243	47
17	LSU	8-3	.950	.096	6	9.2	0-3	3-3	.096	6
18	Florida	10-3	.955	.144	16	11.4	2-1	2-3	.144	16
19	North Carolina	9-2	.970	.330	76	10.1	0-1	0-1	.330	76
20	Memphis	8-3	.977	.237	43	9.7	1-2	2-2	.237	43
21	Toledo	9-2	.980	.454	97	10.3	1-0	2-0	.454	97
22	Washington State	8-3	.982	.265	55	9.8	0-1	1-2	.265	55
23	Michigan	9-3	.982	.264	54	10.8	0-2	0-3	.264	54
24	Temple	10-3	.984	.283	60	11.9	0-2	1-2	.283	60
25	Utah	9-3	.989	.300	66	10.9	0-0	3-1	.300	66
26	Georgia	8-3	.991	.249	48	9.8	0-2	0-3	.249	48
27	Baylor	8-3	.992	.286	62	9.9	0-2	1-2	.286	62
28	Bowling Green	10-3	.994	.447	95	12.3	0-1	0-3	.447	95
29	Mississippi State	7-4	.995	.165	21	9.5	1-2	1-3	.165	21
30	Wisconsin	9-3	.995	.259	52	10.9	0-1	0-2	.259	52

Rk	Team	Rec	DOD	PSOS	Rk	EMW	v15	v30	SOS	Rk
-	Air Force	7-5	-	.263	53	10.9	0-2	0-2	.263	53
-	Akron	6-5	-	.308	69	10.1	0-1	0-2	.308	69
-	Appalachian State	9-2	-	.364	81	10.3	0-1	0-1	.364	81
-	Arizona	5-6	-	.173	24	9.6	0-1	1-3	.173	24
-	Arizona State	5-6	-	.285	61	9.8	0-0	1-3	.285	61
-	Arkansas	6-5	-	.070	1	9.0	2-1	3-3	.070	1
-	Arkansas State	8-3	-	.441	94	10.3	0-0	0-2	.441	94
-	Army	1-8	-	.782	127	8.8	0-0	0-0	.607	113
-	Auburn	5-6	-	.142	15	9.4	0-3	0-5	.142	15
-	Ball State	2-9	-	.421	88	10.2	0-0	0-2	.421	88
-	Boise State	7-4	-	.629	116	10.6	0-0	1-0	.629	117
-	Boston College	1-9	-	.169	22	8.6	0-2	0-3	.169	22
-	Buffalo	4-7	-	.692	122	10.6	0-0	0-1	.692	123
-	BYU	8-3	-	.432	90	10.2	0-0	0-1	.432	90
-	California	6-5	-	.126	13	9.3	0-1	1-4	.126	13
-	Central Florida	0-11	-	.253	50	9.9	0-2	0-2	.253	50
-	Central Michigan	6-5	-	.323	73	10.1	0-1	0-3	.323	73
-	Charlotte	1-10	-	.766	126	10.7	0-0	0-0	.766	127
-	Cincinnati	6-5	-	.305	68	9.9	0-1	0-2	.305	68
-	Colorado	3-9	-	.203	35	10.6	0-1	0-4	.203	35
-	Colorado State	6-5	-	.787	128	10.8	0-0	0-0	.787	128
-	Connecticut	5-6	-	.383	84	10.1	1-1	1-1	.383	84
-	Duke	6-5	-	.494	98	10.4	0-1	0-1	.494	98
-	East Carolina	4-7	-	.355	79	10.1	0-1	0-2	.355	79
-	Eastern Michigan	1-11	-	.424	89	11.2	0-0	0-2	.424	89
-	Florida Atlantic	3-9	-	.523	103	11.4	0-0	0-2	.523	103
-	Florida International	4-7	-	.633	117	10.6	0-0	0-1	.633	118
-	Fresno State	2-9	-	.383	83	10.2	0-1	0-2	.383	83
-	Georgia Southern	7-4	-	.586	111	10.5	0-0	0-0	.586	111
-	Georgia State	6-5	-	.608	113	10.5	0-0	0-1	.608	114
-	Georgia Tech	2-9	-	.113	11	9.3	0-3	1-3	.113	11
-	Hawaii	2-10	-	.364	80	11.2	0-1	0-1	.364	80
-	Idaho	3-8	-	.546	108	10.4	0-0	0-1	.546	108
-	Illinois	4-7	-	.243	46	9.8	0-2	0-3	.243	46
-	Indiana	5-6	-	.208	37	9.7	0-2	1-4	.208	37
-	Iowa State	2-9	-	.113	12	9.2	0-3	0-6	.113	12
-	Kansas	0-11	-	.217	39	9.7	0-3	0-5	.217	39
-	Kansas State	5-6	-	.282	59	9.9	0-3	0-4	.282	59
-	Kent State	2-9	-	.542	107	10.4	0-0	0-2	.542	107
-	Kentucky	4-7	-	.434	91	10.2	0-1	0-3	.434	91
-	Louisiana Lafayette	3-8	-	.703	123	10.7	0-0	0-0	.703	124
-	Louisiana Monroe	1-11	-	.251	49	11.1	0-1	0-1	.251	49
-	Louisiana Tech	7-4	-	.513	100	10.4	0-0	0-2	.513	100
-	Louisville	6-5	-	.258	51	9.8	0-2	0-3	.258	51
-	Marshall	8-3	-	.648	119	10.6	0-0	0-1	.648	120
-	Maryland	2-9	-	.109	10	9.2	0-2	0-5	.109	10
-	Massachusetts	3-9	-	.304	67	11.0	0-1	0-3	.304	67
-	Miami	7-4	-	.201	33	9.6	0-2	0-3	.201	33
-	Miami (OH)	2-9	-	.516	102	10.4	0-0	0-1	.516	102
-	Middle Tennessee	6-5	-	.213	38	9.9	0-1	0-2	.213	38
-	Minnesota	5-7	-	.203	34	10.7	0-2	0-4	.203	34
-	Missouri	4-7	-	.319	72	10.0	0-2	0-4	.319	72
-	Nebraska	5-7	-	.414	87	11.2	1-0	1-1	.414	87
-	Nevada	5-6	-	.642	118	10.6	0-0	0-0	.642	119
-	New Mexico	6-5	-	.707	124	10.7	0-0	0-0	.707	125
-	New Mexico State	3-9	-	.437	92	11.3	0-1	0-2	.437	92
-	North Carolina State	6-5	-	.295	65	9.9	0-2	0-3	.295	65
-	North Texas	1-10	-	.334	77	10.0	0-1	0-3	.334	77
-	Northern Illinois	7-5	-	.269	57	10.9	0-1	1-2	.269	57
-	Ohio	7-4	-	.594	112	10.5	0-0	0-1	.594	112
-	Old Dominion	4-7	-	.623	115	10.5	0-0	0-1	.623	116
-	Oregon State	1-10	-	.183	28	9.5	0-1	0-5	.183	28
-	Penn State	7-5	-	.154	19	10.5	0-2	0-3	.154	19
-	Pittsburgh	7-4	-	.325	74	10.0	0-2	0-3	.325	74
-	Purdue	1-10	-	.197	31	9.6	0-1	0-3	.197	31
-	Rice	4-7	-	.535	104	10.4	0-1	0-2	.535	104
-	Rutgers	3-8	-	.240	45	9.7	0-2	0-3	.240	45
-	San Diego State	9-3	-	.719	125	11.7	0-0	0-0	.719	126
-	San Jose State	4-7	-	.691	121	10.6	0-0	0-0	.691	122
-	SMU	2-9	-	.156	20	9.4	0-4	0-5	.156	20
-	South Alabama	4-7	-	.612	114	10.5	0-0	0-0	.612	115
-	South Carolina	3-8	-	.142	14	9.3	1-2	1-4	.142	14
-	South Florida	7-4	-	.345	78	10.1	0-1	0-3	.345	78
-	Southern Mississippi	8-4	-	.452	96	11.3	0-0	0-2	.452	96
-	Syracuse	3-8	-	.240	44	9.8	0-1	0-3	.240	44
-	Tennessee	7-4	-	.104	7	9.3	0-3	1-4	.104	7
-	Texas	5-7	-	.096	5	10.1	2-2	2-3	.096	5
-	Texas A&M	7-4	-	.150	18	9.4	1-2	2-3	.150	18
-	Texas State	2-9	-	.401	85	10.2	0-1	0-2	.401	85
-	Texas Tech	6-5	-	.148	17	9.4	1-3	1-4	.148	17
-	Troy	3-8	-	.499	99	10.4	0-0	0-1	.499	99
-	Tulane	2-9	-	.327	75	10.0	0-2	0-3	.327	75
-	Tulsa	6-6	-	.224	41	10.8	0-3	0-4	.224	41
-	UCLA	8-4	-	.196	30	10.7	0-1	1-2	.196	30
-	UNLV	2-9	-	.559	109	10.5	0-0	0-1	.559	109
-	USC	8-5	-	.081	2	10.9	0-3	1-5	.081	2
-	Utah State	5-6	-	.439	93	10.2	0-0	0-2	.439	93
-	UTEP	4-7	-	.536	105	10.4	0-1	0-1	.536	105
-	UTSA	3-9	-	.662	120	11.6	0-0	0-1	.662	121
-	Vanderbilt	3-8	-	.171	23	9.5	0-3	0-5	.171	23
-	Virginia	3-8	-	.269	56	9.8	0-2	0-2	.269	56
-	Virginia Tech	5-6	-	.412	86	10.2	0-2	0-2	.412	86
-	Wake Forest	2-9	-	.104	8	9.3	0-3	0-4	.104	8
-	Washington	5-6	-	.178	26	9.6	0-1	1-3	.178	26
-	West Virginia	6-5	-	.174	25	9.6	0-3	0-4	.174	25
-	Western Kentucky	11-2	-	.577	110	12.5	0-0	0-1	.577	110
-	Western Michigan	6-5	-	.197	32	9.7	0-2	1-3	.197	32
-	Wyoming	2-9	-	.514	101	10.4	0-0	0-0	.514	101