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FEI Degree of Difficulty Ratings

 

FEI Degree of Difficulty (DOD) ratings are based on FEI ratings, but instead of measuring efficiency against schedule, DOD measures record against schedule. How difficult would it be for an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) to play a given team's schedule to date and achieve that team's record? This question is closely aligned with the post-season selection priorities for the College Football Playoff committee.

The table below includes ratings for each team's schedule strength to date (PSOS), the average number of wins an elite team would have against the given team's schedule to date (EMW), and the given team's record against FEI top 15 (v15) and FEI top 30 (v30) opponents. Each team's overall schedule strength (SOS) is also provided. Only the top 30 DOD ratings to date are ranked. All other FBS teams are listed alphabetically.

 

2015 FEI Degree of Difficulty (updated 12/6/15)

 

Rk Team Rec DOD   PSOS Rk EMW v15 v30   SOS Rk
1 Clemson 12-0 .309   .309 70 10.9 2-0 3-0   .309 70
2 Alabama 11-1 .538   .183 27 10.4 2-1 5-1   .183 27
3 Michigan State 12-1 .577   .191 29 11.6 1-0 4-0   .191 29
4 Oklahoma 11-1 .703   .270 58 10.8 3-0 4-0   .270 58
5 Iowa 11-1 .749   .310 71 11.0 0-1 0-1   .310 71
6 Notre Dame 10-2 .759   .091 3 10.2 1-2 2-2   .091 3
7 Ohio State 11-1 .775   .377 82 11.1 0-1 1-1   .377 82
8 Stanford 11-2 .873   .205 36 11.6 1-0 4-1   .205 36
9 Houston 11-1 .904   .541 106 11.4 1-0 2-0   .541 106
10 Northwestern 9-2 .912   .286 63 9.9 1-0 1-2   .286 63
11 Oklahoma State 9-2 .920   .293 64 9.9 1-2 1-2   .293 64
12 Navy 8-2 .922   .223 40 8.8 0-2 1-2   .221 40
13 TCU 9-2 .928   .227 42 9.8 1-1 1-2   .227 42
14 Mississippi 8-3 .939   .091 4 9.2 1-1 3-3   .091 4
15 Oregon 8-3 .947   .106 9 9.2 1-1 3-2   .106 9
 
Rk Team Rec DOD   PSOS Rk EMW v15 v30   SOS Rk
16 Florida State 9-2 .948   .243 47 9.9 0-1 1-1   .243 47
17 LSU 8-3 .950   .096 6 9.2 0-3 3-3   .096 6
18 Florida 10-3 .955   .144 16 11.4 2-1 2-3   .144 16
19 North Carolina 9-2 .970   .330 76 10.1 0-1 0-1   .330 76
20 Memphis 8-3 .977   .237 43 9.7 1-2 2-2   .237 43
21 Toledo 9-2 .980   .454 97 10.3 1-0 2-0   .454 97
22 Washington State 8-3 .982   .265 55 9.8 0-1 1-2   .265 55
23 Michigan 9-3 .982   .264 54 10.8 0-2 0-3   .264 54
24 Temple 10-3 .984   .283 60 11.9 0-2 1-2   .283 60
25 Utah 9-3 .989   .300 66 10.9 0-0 3-1   .300 66
26 Georgia 8-3 .991   .249 48 9.8 0-2 0-3   .249 48
27 Baylor 8-3 .992   .286 62 9.9 0-2 1-2   .286 62
28 Bowling Green 10-3 .994   .447 95 12.3 0-1 0-3   .447 95
29 Mississippi State 7-4 .995   .165 21 9.5 1-2 1-3   .165 21
30 Wisconsin 9-3 .995   .259 52 10.9 0-1 0-2   .259 52
 
Rk Team Rec DOD   PSOS Rk EMW v15 v30   SOS Rk
- Air Force 7-5 -   .263 53 10.9 0-2 0-2   .263 53
- Akron 6-5 -   .308 69 10.1 0-1 0-2   .308 69
- Appalachian State 9-2 -   .364 81 10.3 0-1 0-1   .364 81
- Arizona 5-6 -   .173 24 9.6 0-1 1-3   .173 24
- Arizona State 5-6 -   .285 61 9.8 0-0 1-3   .285 61
- Arkansas 6-5 -   .070 1 9.0 2-1 3-3   .070 1
- Arkansas State 8-3 -   .441 94 10.3 0-0 0-2   .441 94
- Army 1-8 -   .782 127 8.8 0-0 0-0   .607 113
- Auburn 5-6 -   .142 15 9.4 0-3 0-5   .142 15
- Ball State 2-9 -   .421 88 10.2 0-0 0-2   .421 88
- Boise State 7-4 -   .629 116 10.6 0-0 1-0   .629 117
- Boston College 1-9 -   .169 22 8.6 0-2 0-3   .169 22
- Buffalo 4-7 -   .692 122 10.6 0-0 0-1   .692 123
- BYU 8-3 -   .432 90 10.2 0-0 0-1   .432 90
- California 6-5 -   .126 13 9.3 0-1 1-4   .126 13
- Central Florida 0-11 -   .253 50 9.9 0-2 0-2   .253 50
- Central Michigan 6-5 -   .323 73 10.1 0-1 0-3   .323 73
- Charlotte 1-10 -   .766 126 10.7 0-0 0-0   .766 127
- Cincinnati 6-5 -   .305 68 9.9 0-1 0-2   .305 68
- Colorado 3-9 -   .203 35 10.6 0-1 0-4   .203 35
- Colorado State 6-5 -   .787 128 10.8 0-0 0-0   .787 128
- Connecticut 5-6 -   .383 84 10.1 1-1 1-1   .383 84
- Duke 6-5 -   .494 98 10.4 0-1 0-1   .494 98
- East Carolina 4-7 -   .355 79 10.1 0-1 0-2   .355 79
- Eastern Michigan 1-11 -   .424 89 11.2 0-0 0-2   .424 89
- Florida Atlantic 3-9 -   .523 103 11.4 0-0 0-2   .523 103
- Florida International 4-7 -   .633 117 10.6 0-0 0-1   .633 118
- Fresno State 2-9 -   .383 83 10.2 0-1 0-2   .383 83
- Georgia Southern 7-4 -   .586 111 10.5 0-0 0-0   .586 111
- Georgia State 6-5 -   .608 113 10.5 0-0 0-1   .608 114
- Georgia Tech 2-9 -   .113 11 9.3 0-3 1-3   .113 11
- Hawaii 2-10 -   .364 80 11.2 0-1 0-1   .364 80
- Idaho 3-8 -   .546 108 10.4 0-0 0-1   .546 108
- Illinois 4-7 -   .243 46 9.8 0-2 0-3   .243 46
- Indiana 5-6 -   .208 37 9.7 0-2 1-4   .208 37
- Iowa State 2-9 -   .113 12 9.2 0-3 0-6   .113 12
- Kansas 0-11 -   .217 39 9.7 0-3 0-5   .217 39
- Kansas State 5-6 -   .282 59 9.9 0-3 0-4   .282 59
- Kent State 2-9 -   .542 107 10.4 0-0 0-2   .542 107
- Kentucky 4-7 -   .434 91 10.2 0-1 0-3   .434 91
- Louisiana Lafayette 3-8 -   .703 123 10.7 0-0 0-0   .703 124
- Louisiana Monroe 1-11 -   .251 49 11.1 0-1 0-1   .251 49
- Louisiana Tech 7-4 -   .513 100 10.4 0-0 0-2   .513 100
- Louisville 6-5 -   .258 51 9.8 0-2 0-3   .258 51
- Marshall 8-3 -   .648 119 10.6 0-0 0-1   .648 120
- Maryland 2-9 -   .109 10 9.2 0-2 0-5   .109 10
- Massachusetts 3-9 -   .304 67 11.0 0-1 0-3   .304 67
- Miami 7-4 -   .201 33 9.6 0-2 0-3   .201 33
- Miami (OH) 2-9 -   .516 102 10.4 0-0 0-1   .516 102
- Middle Tennessee 6-5 -   .213 38 9.9 0-1 0-2   .213 38
- Minnesota 5-7 -   .203 34 10.7 0-2 0-4   .203 34
- Missouri 4-7 -   .319 72 10.0 0-2 0-4   .319 72
- Nebraska 5-7 -   .414 87 11.2 1-0 1-1   .414 87
- Nevada 5-6 -   .642 118 10.6 0-0 0-0   .642 119
- New Mexico 6-5 -   .707 124 10.7 0-0 0-0   .707 125
- New Mexico State 3-9 -   .437 92 11.3 0-1 0-2   .437 92
- North Carolina State 6-5 -   .295 65 9.9 0-2 0-3   .295 65
- North Texas 1-10 -   .334 77 10.0 0-1 0-3   .334 77
- Northern Illinois 7-5 -   .269 57 10.9 0-1 1-2   .269 57
- Ohio 7-4 -   .594 112 10.5 0-0 0-1   .594 112
- Old Dominion 4-7 -   .623 115 10.5 0-0 0-1   .623 116
- Oregon State 1-10 -   .183 28 9.5 0-1 0-5   .183 28
- Penn State 7-5 -   .154 19 10.5 0-2 0-3   .154 19
- Pittsburgh 7-4 -   .325 74 10.0 0-2 0-3   .325 74
- Purdue 1-10 -   .197 31 9.6 0-1 0-3   .197 31
- Rice 4-7 -   .535 104 10.4 0-1 0-2   .535 104
- Rutgers 3-8 -   .240 45 9.7 0-2 0-3   .240 45
- San Diego State 9-3 -   .719 125 11.7 0-0 0-0   .719 126
- San Jose State 4-7 -   .691 121 10.6 0-0 0-0   .691 122
- SMU 2-9 -   .156 20 9.4 0-4 0-5   .156 20
- South Alabama 4-7 -   .612 114 10.5 0-0 0-0   .612 115
- South Carolina 3-8 -   .142 14 9.3 1-2 1-4   .142 14
- South Florida 7-4 -   .345 78 10.1 0-1 0-3   .345 78
- Southern Mississippi 8-4 -   .452 96 11.3 0-0 0-2   .452 96
- Syracuse 3-8 -   .240 44 9.8 0-1 0-3   .240 44
- Tennessee 7-4 -   .104 7 9.3 0-3 1-4   .104 7
- Texas 5-7 -   .096 5 10.1 2-2 2-3   .096 5
- Texas A&M 7-4 -   .150 18 9.4 1-2 2-3   .150 18
- Texas State 2-9 -   .401 85 10.2 0-1 0-2   .401 85
- Texas Tech 6-5 -   .148 17 9.4 1-3 1-4   .148 17
- Troy 3-8 -   .499 99 10.4 0-0 0-1   .499 99
- Tulane 2-9 -   .327 75 10.0 0-2 0-3   .327 75
- Tulsa 6-6 -   .224 41 10.8 0-3 0-4   .224 41
- UCLA 8-4 -   .196 30 10.7 0-1 1-2   .196 30
- UNLV 2-9 -   .559 109 10.5 0-0 0-1   .559 109
- USC 8-5 -   .081 2 10.9 0-3 1-5   .081 2
- Utah State 5-6 -   .439 93 10.2 0-0 0-2   .439 93
- UTEP 4-7 -   .536 105 10.4 0-1 0-1   .536 105
- UTSA 3-9 -   .662 120 11.6 0-0 0-1   .662 121
- Vanderbilt 3-8 -   .171 23 9.5 0-3 0-5   .171 23
- Virginia 3-8 -   .269 56 9.8 0-2 0-2   .269 56
- Virginia Tech 5-6 -   .412 86 10.2 0-2 0-2   .412 86
- Wake Forest 2-9 -   .104 8 9.3 0-3 0-4   .104 8
- Washington 5-6 -   .178 26 9.6 0-1 1-3   .178 26
- West Virginia 6-5 -   .174 25 9.6 0-3 0-4   .174 25
- Western Kentucky 11-2 -   .577 110 12.5 0-0 0-1   .577 110
- Western Michigan 6-5 -   .197 32 9.7 0-2 1-3   .197 32
- Wyoming 2-9 -   .514 101 10.4 0-0 0-0   .514 101